High Risk/Low Reward Ratio Trading System

I'm fairly unhappy with my result this week, not because my signal fails, but I keep looking at the wrong data!
I don't know if these were bad luck, or people claims there are ghosts or entities that can influence your vibration frequency, making you distraction when you're trading?

Just today, I was looking at EUR/CAD signal, and I opened CHF/JPY, and I enter CHF/JPY.

Probably I ALT+TAB, and look wrong.

Seriously, next week I will compile all signal into an excel format, that's better.

Signal for EUR/CAD Sell 10/100 GMT + 0000

00:00 (EP: 1.5184, TP: 1.5174, SL: 1.5284, Current: 1.5235, High: 1.5263) <- Over 1:1 Risk Reward at the moment. Approximate, 49:61
05:45
06:00
06:15
16:30

I will enter 00:00, it is a good Risk Reward for now.

Hmmm, that is weird. I compare the data with 50/100 on EUR/USD Sell and, 50/100 on USD/JPY Buy.

EUR/USD with 56 signals, differently on 12 days, have a winning rate of 53/3, 94.64%

USD/JPY (I closed the window), probably around 8 days, have a winning rate of below 30%.

Since 50/100 has a break even of 66.67%

Now I'm consider if I should only focus on researching a single pair.

Hmmm...

Comparing data with 10/100, with historical data records, with those 100% signal, say if there are 100 of them.

Loses about 33% of them, result 66.7% wins, I notice it all comes from trending.
The differences between buy and sell weight alot. Instead, if the trending was buy, and the signal cames in 15M candle stick, 14:00 14:15 14:30 14:45 15:00

You have 20 signals in a day, and when you TP, say from $10 to $11, you can enter trade and TP again with $11 to $12.1 and again and again and again.

But, losing from the trending market, was only 1 trade in lose. Of course stacking up in the lower position do burden the account a lot.

I did an experiment, comparing the result of EUR/JPY with 10/100 data from 2000s to 2016, comparing with 2017.

The result comes out as, 1139/48, W/L, total 118.

1139 = 95.96%
48 = 4.04%

Over 109 different days.

The maximum consecutive losses are 4, within the opening market hours.

I wish I can repeatly trade 100 trades without losses, haha but it is impossible, market takes time to moves.
I think I've complicate myself as the progress goes, I should back to normal stick what I did previously.
I think I shouldn't make complicated rules like entering below, or stuff position below, or start with hedging and takes position out as it draws, looking for older signal with better RR etc, I should like stick with the raw.

Or probably entry 80%, and 20% as the market price draws. I guess this is the best option.

I've done with EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, USD/JPY.

I will re-check USD/JPY as 30% is shocking low.

Mislook the signal, it should have hit it's TP already since, and I didn't look that properly, enter the position and wonder why is it getting upward, re-confirm and it hits.

But I'm kinda re-think is it good to enter more during it's draw. Although, it will definately raise the reward, but the win streak..

03:15 Signal Sell

04:00 Signal Hit.


I enter sell position after, I didn't looked properly.

This is an example of streak signal, which is pretty awesome if you look closely.

For when you limit to a single trade, $10 can be $25 fairly quickly, and -$10 can only happen once.

I guess I need to re-study a bit, of how should I place trade.

Sad, bad luck I can lose with a 10TP 100SL in streak a row, that's insanely impossible, also lose most of the time when a few pipettes, like 0.00001 to hit TP? or 0.00001 SL then pullback. Oh well, I tried another strategy which theorically works very well, will publish the information here when works.

After all, Historical Data are not 100% reliable to predict the market movement, here's a Pinbar candle stick report.

I tested EUR/USD 1H since 2004, measure Open VS High VS Close, meaning Open Price 1.0000, High 1.002, Close 0.9990, a pin bar, then compare the next candle, the outcome it some what discouraging.

Total Pin Bar = 273
Pin Bar Continue Bearish Next Candle = 143
Pin Bar Reverse Or Didn't Move Much Next Candle = 130

Testing more pattern. Will report soon.

Hi have you resolved oanda fxTrade sync issue?