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The Swamp

  • #14,121
  • Jan 9, 2018 10:33am Jan 9, 2018 10:33am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} i know its counter.. since H4 downtrend just started today.. i will stay shorts for a while... tomorrow 50% chance H1 downtrend may reverse..Wed 75%, thur over 90% chance to reverse the H1 trend.. but for H4 trend, it will take days to reverse...
London closed lower today.. as I mentioned yesterday,, tues only 50% chance H1 downtrend may reverse. Wed 75%, thur over 90% chance to reverse the H1 trend...
  • #14,122
  • Jan 9, 2018 10:35am Jan 9, 2018 10:35am
Quoting edyraper
... @Gator please clarify if you single or not. Asking for a friend...
my oh my what is this thread coming to? ...
  • #14,123
  • Jan 9, 2018 10:38am Jan 9, 2018 10:38am
Quoting kasper
{quote} my oh my what is this thread coming to? ...
Blame the male whore
  • #14,124
  • Jan 9, 2018 10:40am Jan 9, 2018 10:40am
Quoting kasper
{quote} my oh my what is this thread coming to? ...
agree,,, not want to go to that direction...
  • #14,125
  • Jan 9, 2018 10:52am Jan 9, 2018 10:52am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} I'll pay back next time might be, who know hihihi! But for now, lets kill it together mate ! I stil think it would be safe to catch the retrace at 1885, will increase lots size there! Cheer !
Closed all orders, keep the 1885 only! 1925 atm

Back to class!
See ya all later !
  • #14,126
  • Jan 9, 2018 10:53am Jan 9, 2018 10:53am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} agree,,, not want to go to that direction...
if it is .. I have questions for other members in the thread ... for a friend of course ... .. but I digress.

So ... it seems EURUSD will bounce around here for the rest of the day .... probability of a retrace up vs just continuing down?
  • #14,127
  • Jan 9, 2018 10:57am Jan 9, 2018 10:57am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Closed all orders, keep the 1885 only! Back to class! See ya all later !
Pending BUY
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #14,128
  • Edited 2:25pm Jan 9, 2018 11:01am | Edited 2:25pm
Quoting kasper
{quote} if it is .. I have questions for other members in the thread ... for a friend of course ... .. but I digress. So ... it seems EURUSD will bounce around here for the rest of the day .... probability of a retrace up vs just continuing down?
you ask me? I am not good to give out advice... using my system.. H1 downtrend stop is still 1978, of course that is a running stop.. the stop will go lower if Euro pulls back.... I will let you know if that gets close to break..
so my current view is still bearish by system... till it reverses...I am only to follow market... don't predict..
  • #14,129
  • Jan 9, 2018 11:29am Jan 9, 2018 11:29am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} you ask me? I am not good to give out advice... using my system.. H1 downtrend stop is still 1978, of course that is a running stop.. the stop will go lower if Euro pulls back.... I will let you know if that gets close to break.. so my current view is still bearish by system... till it reverses...I am only follow... don't predict..
More a general question to the thread, not directed towards anyone in particular. thank you for answering though. Am quite interested in how your system works.
  • #14,130
  • Jan 9, 2018 11:40am Jan 9, 2018 11:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} tying one on that pong shot toward 1.2... some possible support 1917/1911 area.. pong at 1914.. giving 18 pips.. still expect 1822, so i may short, if this one works out 1.2ish, i would like the bounce to be below 1914
i was hoping it hit 1914 and just bounced.. so far it's a miss... the day closed lower again today, for 3 in a row. to bounce closes 1924+ would be helpful. the lower close on the day is indicative of lower support test. i dont know if 1914 is enough, another possible 1911.. i treat 1896/1914 as a area.. strength unknown.

1917 may be deceiving,, its the midpoint to 1.3495..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #14,131
  • Jan 9, 2018 11:44am Jan 9, 2018 11:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i was hoping it hit 1914 and just bounced.. so far it's a miss... the day closed lower again today, for 3 in a row. to bounce closes 1924+ would be helpful. the lower close on the day is indicative of lower support test. i dont know if 1914 is enough, another possible 1911.. i treat 1896/1914 as a area.. strength unknown. {image}
I think todays excitement has already done..the low has been set... rest of the day will be slow...now break time ..

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  • #14,132
  • Jan 9, 2018 12:09pm Jan 9, 2018 12:09pm
stops were hit last week, dont buy now its still going down to maybe 1.186x or 1.1800 or much more
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #14,133
  • Jan 9, 2018 12:12pm Jan 9, 2018 12:12pm
my target was missed by 0.5 pips at 1.2089 mofu
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #14,134
  • Jan 9, 2018 12:24pm Jan 9, 2018 12:24pm
I tried to figure out that 4 letter words that I see often in trading and charts.
i found one.. i don't think its close,..
Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)
anyway.. will keep search.. ..
  • #14,135
  • Edited 4:27pm Jan 9, 2018 3:02pm | Edited 4:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i was hoping it hit 1914 and just bounced.. so far it's a miss... the day closed lower again today, for 3 in a row. to bounce closes 1924+ would be helpful. the lower close on the day is indicative of lower support test. i dont know if 1914 is enough, another possible 1911.. i treat 1896/1914 as a area.. strength unknown. 1917 may be deceiving,, its the midpoint to 1.3495.. {image}
you pretty much nailed the low today.. awesome...
dollar high today 92.64.. close to daily supply zone at 92.70... now it may do as you said earlier..
close #6 position now at 1936,, leave only one position open ...
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  • #14,136
  • Edited 8:20pm Jan 9, 2018 7:47pm | Edited 8:20pm
Quoting Boulder
Euro On 1/9/2018 at 8am est.. BLDR MTF system update : H1, Downtrend, Trend stop at H1 close 1978, Running Period: 55 hours H4, Downtrend, Trend stop at H4 close 2083, Running Period: 7 x H4 Daily, uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1724, Running Period: 31 days ( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action) Current 5 open positions for H1.... first two short positions at 2030 and 2040 on 5th were manually closed at 1979 yesterday... {image} {image}
Euro On 1/9/2018 at 9pm est update
FYI, this H1 downtrend has a potential to break, current downtrend stop move down to 1951 at H1 close..

No buy yet till the trend stop actually breaks.......the last short remains open ...
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  • #14,137
  • Jan 9, 2018 7:57pm Jan 9, 2018 7:57pm
Looking for 1957 reaction and will see from there
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  • #14,138
  • Jan 9, 2018 8:19pm Jan 9, 2018 8:19pm
Pending SHORT
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #14,139
  • Jan 9, 2018 11:47pm Jan 9, 2018 11:47pm
bidding 1.1888 today, seems like a fair chance of getting them, risk 20...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #14,140
  • Edited 3:44am Jan 10, 2018 3:33am | Edited 3:44am
my trading plan for the next 10 years.
i have no number at the orange TL.

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