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  • #13,541
  • Dec 27, 2017 6:50am Dec 27, 2017 6:50am
baby step if it can roll L 1911 +
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,542
  • Dec 27, 2017 7:14am Dec 27, 2017 7:14am
heavy offers 1910-15. I agree with tyrant. Thin market. More buyers required to take out overhead res. So a dip here say 40-80 points is warranted - to pick fresh buyers and crack overhead res.
  • #13,543
  • Dec 27, 2017 7:28am Dec 27, 2017 7:28am
Quoting edyraper
{quote} It is a thin market.
Hi eddy,
Sold EU @ 1895 sl 1915
Sold GU @ 3425 Sl 3450
Bought UC @ 2630 sl 2605
Small lots. Lets see.
  • #13,544
  • Dec 27, 2017 7:49am Dec 27, 2017 7:49am
Quoting gatorinla
baby step if it can roll L 1911 + {image}
Lost electric atm. Let’s see what London says. If above 1868, it should try 1911 area or even 1939. As long as it don’t go above 1911 w/o holding the close. Year end hedging could do a lot of lift
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,545
  • Dec 27, 2017 7:56am Dec 27, 2017 7:56am
Quoting NMZee
{quote} Hi eddy, Sold EU @ 1895 sl 1915 Sold GU @ 3425 Sl 3450 Bought UC @ 2630 sl 2605 Small lots. Lets see.
You are going against trend.
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  • #13,546
  • Dec 27, 2017 8:07am Dec 27, 2017 8:07am
Quoting Angelina
Thunder lightning. 1819 gruuuuuuuuuuuuuu Just wonder about this question: did Gator just add more right here or not, if not 1801!???..... I could be wrong as always lol Gator might has a diff and better view than mine at this point We need to see week ends at 1862+ , below 1800, will be bearish next week but my bias right now is still bullish My long was so at 1839 and already back in! {image}
Still holding my long. Sl green now.
Bias... still bullish. Tp at 196ish+
Back to my vacation now.
Good luck to Bulls and Bears !
  • #13,547
  • Dec 27, 2017 8:10am Dec 27, 2017 8:10am
Euro On 12/27/2017 at 9am est.. BLDR MTF system update :
H1, Uptrend, Trend stop at H1 close 1852, Running Period: 41 hours
H4, Uptrend, Trend stop at H4 close 1843, Running Period: 53 x H4
Daily, uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1724, Running Period: 24 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action
  • #13,548
  • Dec 27, 2017 8:18am Dec 27, 2017 8:18am
Dollar low today 92.98, close to test the daily demand zone 92.90

USDX On 12/27/2017 at 8am est. BLDR MTF system update :
H1, Downtrend, Trend stop at H1 close 93.34, Running Period: 36 hours
H4, downtrend, Trend stop at H4 close 93.44, Running Period: 52 x H4
Daily, downtrend, Trend stop at day close 94.11, Running Period: 25 days
Weekly, downtrend, Trend stop at week close 95.02, Running Period: 36 weeks
  • #13,549
  • Edited 10:18am Dec 27, 2017 9:50am | Edited 10:18am
2 more trading days of the year, a known period for institutions repositioning as with the dollar, Euro, Aussie and Loonie ..
As Dec is the best month of the year for Euro, coming to Jan, Euro will have the worst month of the year.... so be ready..
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  • #13,550
  • Dec 27, 2017 9:58am Dec 27, 2017 9:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} testing .. a london day roll below usdx 92.97 may not be good for usd bulls.. a week, and month much worse. it not only puts eu 1911 in jeopardy. it puts 1939 b/o likely. month close is also a year and a quarter close. but atm its not broken .. the r/r at 93.06 /92.97 while eu is near 1896/1911 isn't so bad for a short. i wouldn't hold it if closes are above/below those levels. these 2 levels have lined up over the past 2 weeks.. the closes are bullish indicative of the eu breaking. the usdx will have more directional indication on a eu...
30 min to go.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,551
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:08am Dec 27, 2017 10:08am
Quoting NMZee
{quote} Hi eddy, Sold EU @ 1895 sl 1915 Sold GU @ 3425 Sl 3450 Bought UC @ 2630 sl 2605 Small lots. Lets see.
So far so good..☺
Stops paid for GU & UC
  • #13,552
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:10am Dec 27, 2017 10:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} wasn't that closed on the 20th?
oh yea ur right, it did close... but i found out what the EURUSD was testing for had to go all the way to the Daily to see whats going on.....

but if we are going to see a top here.... im eyeing atleast the 1.1720 area or even 1.1420 (fib expansion 100) level for the completion of the ABCD corrective pattern before the next move up on EURUSD.

I still like my shorts here.... seems to be the top before January seasonalities kick in and drive the Euro down.

USDX may also be hitting a brick wall here finding reaction at weekly S1...
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We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,553
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:17am Dec 27, 2017 10:17am
god.... the doomsday indicator....
10y v 2y treasury yield spread now down to 0.5248, this is getting really unnerving....

once we hit 0 on that spread... itll be the beginning of the end....

in fact if you looked back to the previous financial crisis when Michael J. Burry famous for being the fund manager who predicted the 2008 financial crisis, i totally understand why he was early into the trade.... treasury yield spread hits 0 around 2006, S&P rallied another 20% until mid 2007 until finally the S&P vindicated his view with a magnificent 56% drop from the peak to trough that time....

so even if the spread hits 0, doesnt mean itll immediately correct the markets, it only means a correction is neigh... but it all comes down to how much the financial industry wants to manipulate and keep things shady like they did back in 2006-2008.... they pushed their luck for 2 whole years and it eventually came tumbling down....
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We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,554
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:22am Dec 27, 2017 10:22am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} oh yea ur right, it did close... but i found out what the EURUSD was testing for had to go all the way to the Daily to see whats going on..... but if we are going to see a top here.... im eyeing atleast the 1.1720 area or even 1.1420 (fib expansion 100) level for the completion of the ABCD corrective pattern before the next move up on EURUSD. I still like my shorts here.... seems to be the top before January seasonalities kick in and drive the Euro down. USDX may also be hitting a brick wall here finding reaction at weekly S1...{image} {image}...
i explained what these levels were, b4 W1 was produced.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,555
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:24am Dec 27, 2017 10:24am
Quoting fxtyrant
god.... the doomsday indicator.... 10y v 2y treasury yield spread now down to 0.5248, this is getting really unnerving.... once we hit 0 on that spread... itll be the beginning of the end.... {image}
you are not the only one.... just out..

FED'S ROSENGREN SAYS on BBC...
"On the financial stability front, it’s not just the United States that has had low interest rates—it’s a global phenomenon. I do worry that we may start to see “reach for yield” kinds of behaviors on financial investments that could potentially have broader implications at a time when monetary or fiscal policy can’t react if we get a big negative shock. "
  • #13,556
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:25am Dec 27, 2017 10:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i explained what these levels were, b4 W1 was produced.
you did indeed

just didnt expect to play out so predictably....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,557
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:27am Dec 27, 2017 10:27am
took a EU/Cad short at 1.5044..looking for hundreds of pips over the coming weeks..still working on determining stop
  • #13,558
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:27am Dec 27, 2017 10:27am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} you did indeed just didnt expect to play out so predictably....
If you stay in this thread long enough, you will find out Gator is magic,, his predictions are always spot -on
  • #13,559
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:29am Dec 27, 2017 10:29am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} you are not the only one.... just out.. FED'S ROSENGREN SAYS on BBC... "On the financial stability front, it’s not just the United States that has had low interest rates—it’s a global phenomenon. I do worry that we may start to see “reach for yield” kinds of behaviors on financial investments that could potentially have broader implications at a time when monetary or fiscal policy can’t react if we get a big negative shock. "
yep it does remind me of people's appetite to go for CDS/CDOs, as well as invest into junk bonds for yields, simply because the equity markets been posting a hefty 20% gain this year..... Bond funds will be taking on a lot of risk just to stay attractive as an investment other than equities but by doing so them investing in junk bonds is just as risky as betting onto equities....

wana know whats funny??

the other day was passing by the metro station... guess whats being marketed as an investment of choice by schroeders.... huge billboard advertisements and stuff...
they're now starting to pitch to retail investers to buy into "China Equities and Bond Income Funds" promising 5-6% per annum in yields.
when China equities are at all time highs....
Fund website
http://www.schroders.com/en/hk/retai...-asset-income/

this reminds me when banks were pitching to poor old granpas and grannies the AUD and NZD currency deposits promising 2-3% interests when AUDUSD was above 1.00

Lesson in life: when something hits the retail space, be sure to steer away from it.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,560
  • Dec 27, 2017 10:30am Dec 27, 2017 10:30am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} If you stay in this thread long enough, you will find out Gator is magic,, his predictions are always spot -on
yea i know... his mofu is ridiculously good....
been trying to learn but

1. dont even know what mofu means.
2. cant seem to piece together how he comes up with these levels
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
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