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The Swamp

  • #13,261
  • Dec 19, 2017 6:23am Dec 19, 2017 6:23am
There is a large option, billion-euro option struck at 1770-80 that expires today

EUR/USD: 1.1730-40 (EUR 510m), 1.1770-80 (1.0bn), 1.1800 (217m), 1.1820-25 (436m), 1.1865 (169m), 1.1915 (248m)
  • #13,262
  • Dec 19, 2017 6:46am Dec 19, 2017 6:46am
Quoting Boulder
There is a large option, billion-euro option struck at 1770-80 that expires today EUR/USD: 1.1730-40 (EUR 510m), 1.1770-80 (1.0bn), 1.1800 (217m), 1.1820-25 (436m), 1.1865 (169m), 1.1915 (248m)
L closes after expiration.. it should be bullish if above 1811, it appears. i would not be surprised to see a move well above adr.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,263
  • Dec 19, 2017 6:57am Dec 19, 2017 6:57am
usdx below 93.06 and more so 92.97 with some closes would not be good for usd. more so if dec closes below. some retrace back above would be normal. before it continued south. it is below 93.55.. that is yest close. if L closes below it helps chances of 93.06/92.97 chances of being tested. if so the eu would move and additional 110 ish pips above 1825 .
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,264
  • Edited 7:38am Dec 19, 2017 7:14am | Edited 7:38am
Quoting gatorinla
usdx below 93.06 and more so 92.97 with some closes would not be good for usd. more so if dec closes below. some retrace back above would be normal. before it continued south. it is below 93.55.. that is yest close. if L closes below it helps chances of 93.06/92.97 chances of being tested. if so the eu would move and additional 110 ish pips above 1825 . {image}
it is.. very bearish currently, all the trends are down..to reaffirm bullish, we need to see 94 level to get broken again,,

USDX On 12/19/2017 at 8am est. BLDR MTF system update :
H1, downtrend, Trend stop at H1 close 93.76, Running Period: 26 hours
H4, downtrend, Trend stop at H4 close 93.94, Running Period: 22 x H4
Daily, downtrend, Trend stop at day close 94.17, Running Period: 19 days
Weekly, downtrend, Trend stop at week close 95.02, Running Period: 33 weeks

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)
  • #13,265
  • Edited 7:34am Dec 19, 2017 7:18am | Edited 7:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} L closes after expiration.. it should be bullish if above 1811, it appears. i would not be surprised to see a move well above adr.
Good morning Gator,
I got 2 long positions right now, 1776 and 1785, should I move sl to 1795?
Right now 1802 is mini nrm but it can pull back to 1785 again with my indies mybias still bullish. Hope that L closes above 181ish

If it can break 186ish today, we will see 19ish/20ish before Friday. That is what I am thinking.


Ty!



Ahhhhh. You r afk...
  • #13,266
  • Dec 19, 2017 7:19am Dec 19, 2017 7:19am
Euro On 12/19/2017 at 8am est.. BLDR MTF system update :
H1, Uptrend, Trend stop at H1 close 1773, Running Period: 27 hours
H4, Uptrend, Trend stop at H4 close 1748, Running Period: 21 x H4
Daily, uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1716, Running Period: 18 days

( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)
  • #13,267
  • Dec 19, 2017 8:00am Dec 19, 2017 8:00am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Good morning Gator, I got 2 long positions right now, 1776 and 1785, should I move sl to 1795? Right now 1802 is mini nrm but it can pull back to 1785 again with my indies mybias still bullish. Hope that L closes above 181ish If it can break 186ish today, we will see 19ish/20ish before Friday. That is what I am thinking. Ty! Ahhhhh. You r afk...
Nvm, it just touched 1832, I moved my sl to 1795 then!
going out for breakfast, bbl
  • #13,268
  • Dec 19, 2017 8:08am Dec 19, 2017 8:08am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Good morning Gator, I got 2 long positions right now, 1776 and 1785, should I move sl to 1795? Right now 1802 is mini nrm but it can pull back to 1785 again with my indies mybias still bullish. Hope that L closes above 181ish If it can break 186ish today, we will see 19ish/20ish before Friday. That is what I am thinking. Ty! Ahhhhh. You r afk...
most often its best to protect profit. u can place a new order if your stops are hit, lower. i dont know if 1795 is good. but it does protect your trades. its been closing above 1811.. so far so good. 1804 ish should be supportive also. if its going to drop, it will. the closes day through quarter were higher than previous.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,269
  • Dec 19, 2017 8:21am Dec 19, 2017 8:21am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Nvm, it just touched 1832, I moved my sl to 1795 then! going out for breakfast, bbl
the quarter, month, week, and day are all above their previous counterpart. unless something crazy happens maybe with options. it all looks bullish using closes. that 1811 and better 1826 L close above, is probably a good sign for bulls. it hasn't happened yet, the other closes lead me to believe it will. the week range and month range could move this pair up... the month range could move about 430 pips above 1716 (b4 jan 1). the thing is,, 1811 fight for q3 could continue. u want the R at 1899/1911 beat.. and a day and week close above 1939 would help..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,270
  • Edited 9:25am Dec 19, 2017 8:27am | Edited 9:25am
USDX moves up ,, after US10Y jumps above 2.4%..currently testing resistance 2.425%
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  • #13,271
  • Dec 19, 2017 8:42am Dec 19, 2017 8:42am
My thoughts also, eurusd could move up quite a bit before end of month. If it breaks 12250 by the 24th I would be looking to short eurusd. Currently I’m long this market.
  • #13,272
  • Edited 9:04am Dec 19, 2017 8:53am | Edited 9:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} most often its best to protect profit. u can place a new order if your stops are hit, lower. i dont know if 1795 is good. but it does protect your trades. its been closing above 1811.. so far so good. 1804 ish should be supportive also. if its going to drop, it will. the closes day through quarter were higher than previous.
it knocked on the door.. st term i could have used 1803.. atm 1804 is low.

fragile pa.. a HH now points to 1887 .. using st. it may dip again after a HH, back to 1804. i dont like to post st, especially in front those large closes and year end, Q3.. options at 10 est, where she stops 1 h 30 min later is important.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,273
  • Dec 19, 2017 8:59am Dec 19, 2017 8:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} most often its best to protect profit. u can place a new order if your stops are hit, lower. i dont know if 1795 is good. but it does protect your trades. its been closing above 1811.. so far so good. 1804 ish should be supportive also. if its going to drop, it will. the closes day through quarter were higher than previous.
Ty Gator!
Yes, 1804 is mini now.
Will jump in again if it hits my sl.
Need to see how L closes.
  • #13,274
  • Dec 19, 2017 9:01am Dec 19, 2017 9:01am
1794-92 may be the trigger she may test 1860 area
  • #13,275
  • Dec 19, 2017 9:04am Dec 19, 2017 9:04am
Quoting Angelina
{quote} Ty Gator! Yes, 1804 is mini now. Will jump in again if it hits my sl. Need to see how L closes.
we got 1.5 hours for them to make up their mind about 1811
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,276
  • Dec 19, 2017 10:02am Dec 19, 2017 10:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} we got 1.5 hours for them to make up their mind about 1811
witnessing a fight of the big boys..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,277
  • Dec 19, 2017 10:05am Dec 19, 2017 10:05am
some S near 1.1790, ditto R in Chf 9890...all I see nearby...

EJ seems like its caught some bids...see 133ish as S now...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #13,278
  • Dec 19, 2017 10:07am Dec 19, 2017 10:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} witnessing a fight of the big boys.. {image}
USDX may on the way to test 93.76 for H1 resistance.... with US10Y now at 2.448%,, not back down..
  • #13,279
  • Dec 19, 2017 10:13am Dec 19, 2017 10:13am
Quoting edyraper
bbl. Trading plan has been posted, the rest is up to market.
Seems like a tempo bottom is set. 1940+ was my target.
Slow-mo.
  • #13,280
  • Dec 19, 2017 10:22am Dec 19, 2017 10:22am
short some UJ at 118.86 from an hour ago, thought there was some R here, stops at 06....not sure what I want EU to do, or EJ..but I'm sure I want UJ to stop going up...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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