Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 448 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #8,941
  • Dec 11, 2017 1:49am Dec 11, 2017 1:49am
Forex pair AUDUSD is dropping on the daily and creating brand new levels of daily supply for potential shorts. In a downtrend supply imbalances are respected and demand zones and levels are removed.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 286 KB


How to trade stocks and Forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,942
  • Dec 13, 2017 12:13am Dec 13, 2017 12:13am
Quoting panoramia
Forex pair AUDUSD is dropping on the daily and creating brand new levels of daily supply for potential shorts. In a downtrend supply imbalances are respected and demand zones and levels are removed. {image} How to trade stocks and Forex using supply and demand imbalances
Quick update. AUDUSD has not accomplished a minimum 2:1 Reward-Risk supply imbalance therefore it's not a tradable daily supply zone to set and forget for shorts.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,943
  • Dec 13, 2017 11:45am Dec 13, 2017 11:45am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Quick update. AUDUSD has not accomplished a minimum 2:1 Reward-Risk supply imbalance therefore it's not a tradable daily supply zone to set and forget for shorts. Cheers, Alfonso
Supported. In the now moment, while in a larger TF sideways trend, low on the curve, the pair gave an nice opportunity to long on the 4H TF. See my trade result below:
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Cheers!
  • #8,944
  • Dec 15, 2017 1:39am Dec 15, 2017 1:39am
Barrick Gold #ABX long scenarios at new monthly demand zones. Potential new demand zones being created off tested monthly demand zone around 14.00 which played out nicely. Long term buy setup at monthly demand around 8.00, very low at all time lows. Monthly demand level has a very strong bullish impulse. Shorts if upper monthly demand level is taken out.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,945
  • Dec 18, 2017 2:44am Dec 18, 2017 2:44am
Forex cross pair GBPJPY is rallying and creating brand new daily demand zones for potential longs. In an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand zones and imbalances are being respected.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 201 KB
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,946
  • Dec 18, 2017 5:45am Dec 18, 2017 5:45am
Alfonso, I was hoping to get a better understanding from you as to why this is a zone on the AU weekly
I've annotated it.
As far as I'm aware, zones are drawn if they break momentum lines OR take out another zone, but I don't see this one doing either
Why is the blue area a supply zone?

Thank You.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,947
  • Dec 18, 2017 6:51am Dec 18, 2017 6:51am
Quoting panoramia
Forex cross pair GBPJPY is rallying and creating brand new daily demand zones for potential longs. In an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand zones and imbalances are being respected. {image}
Hey everyone,

148.74 is a sweet spot to long at the moment. Confirmation trade only.

cheers!
  • #8,948
  • Dec 18, 2017 7:00am Dec 18, 2017 7:00am
Quoting E7i
Alfonso, I was hoping to get a better understanding from you as to why this is a zone on the AU weekly I've annotated it. As far as I'm aware, zones are drawn if they break momentum lines OR take out another zone, but I don't see this one doing either Why is the blue area a supply zone? Thank You. {image}
It's supply inherit because it's not break cost demand
  • #8,949
  • Dec 18, 2017 8:08am Dec 18, 2017 8:08am
Quoting E7i
Alfonso, I was hoping to get a better understanding from you as to why this is a zone on the AU weekly I've annotated it. As far as I'm aware, zones are drawn if they break momentum lines OR take out another zone, but I don't see this one doing either Why is the blue area a supply zone? Thank You. {image}
There is no supply zone at the rectangle that you drew. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,950
  • Dec 18, 2017 9:10am Dec 18, 2017 9:10am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} There is no supply zone at the rectangle that you drew. Cheers, Alfonso
Thank You.
  • #8,951
  • Dec 18, 2017 7:21pm Dec 18, 2017 7:21pm
Hi everyone,
please have a look at this potential EURAUD trade, is the level i have a good demand zone?
Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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4hr
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,952
  • Dec 18, 2017 7:25pm Dec 18, 2017 7:25pm
Also Did i have the zone corectly identified on 4HR ON eurgbp

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,953
  • Dec 19, 2017 1:02am Dec 19, 2017 1:02am
Quoting Deman-Uc
Hi everyone, please have a look at this potential EURAUD trade, is the level i have a good demand zone? Daily {image} 4hr {image}
You haven't even drawn the demand levels. Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,954
  • Dec 19, 2017 1:54am Dec 19, 2017 1:54am
New weekly demand level a round 50 for long term longs on Delta Airlines #DAL american stock. Previous weekly demand zones at 48.50 and 45.15 have played out nicely. Long term long bias at weekly and daily demand imbalances.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: delta_airlines_weekly_demand.png Size: 74 KB


How to trade stocks and Forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,955
  • Dec 19, 2017 5:33am Dec 19, 2017 5:33am
Quoting Deman-Uc
Hi everyone, please have a look at this potential EURAUD trade, is the level i have a good demand zone? Daily {image} 4hr {image}
Yeah you've got the zone area right

I think you've forgotten to add the drawing into the image though.
I have the demand drawn like shown in the attachment

As for the entry - It's different to mine. I usually like confirmation entries to be more conservative.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,956
  • Dec 19, 2017 9:15pm Dec 19, 2017 9:15pm
Quoting E7i
{quote} Yeah you've got the zone area right I think you've forgotten to add the drawing into the image though. I have the demand drawn like shown in the attachment As for the entry - It's different to mine. I usually like confirmation entries to be more conservative. {image}
I certainly hope you took the trade in real-time since this is one of those high RR trades.
HTFs do provide these opportunities if you have the patience to wait.
Live life king size !
  • #8,957
  • Dec 19, 2017 9:29pm Dec 19, 2017 9:29pm
Quoting Deman-Uc
Hi everyone, please have a look at this potential EURAUD trade, is the level i have a good demand zone? Daily {image} 4hr {image}
Was this trade triggered?
Please provide your 3 timeframes along with the TLs and zones marked in order to receive a constructive feedback.
Live life king size !
  • #8,958
  • Dec 19, 2017 11:31pm Dec 19, 2017 11:31pm
Quoting panoramia
New weekly demand level a round 50 for long term longs on Delta Airlines #DAL american stock. Previous weekly demand zones at 48.50 and 45.15 have played out nicely. Long term long bias at weekly and daily demand imbalances. {image} How to trade stocks and Forex using supply and demand imbalances

Hi Alfoso,
first of all i want to thank you so much for sharing such an astounding knowledge with us. I am currently backtesting this on Forextester 2 and so far i am impressed with the rusult, so thank you.

PleaseI have a question, i ran into a dilemma while backtesting. when buying RBR OR selling DBD, for the other to be triggered a trend line will be broken on the time frame i am executing my trades. Since DBD or RBR, doesnt work well againt the trend, how do you approach this?
I know you are a busy man, but if you find time please could you share with me how you approach this.

Thanks in advance.
Deman Uc

The picture below will explain what i am talking about
Attached Image
  • #8,959
  • Dec 19, 2017 11:51pm Dec 19, 2017 11:51pm
Quoting Deman-Uc
{quote} Hi Alfoso, first of all i want to thank you so much for sharing such an astounding knowledge with us. I am currently backtesting this on Forextester 2 and so far i am impressed with the rusult, so thank you. PleaseI have a question, i ran into a dilemma while backtesting. when buying RBR OR selling DBD, for the other to be triggered a trend line will be broken on the time frame i am executing my trades. Since DBD or RBR, doesnt work well againt the trend, how do you approach this? I know you are a busy man, but if you find time please could...
If entry TF TL is broken, you'll have to find a entry TF zone within your middle TF zone.
eg: W-D1-H4 Sequence.

IF, H4 (entry) TF TL is broken , look for zones on H4 nested within D1 zones.
BUT, if D1 TL is broken as well , look for D1/H4 zones nested in WK zones.
The only person you are destined to become is the person you decide to be.
  • #8,960
  • Dec 19, 2017 11:55pm Dec 19, 2017 11:55pm
Quoting isaacpeh
{quote} If entry TF TL is broken, you'll have to find a entry TF zone within your middle TF zone. eg: W-D1-H4 Sequence. IF, H4 (entry) TF TL is broken , look for zones on H4 nested within D1 zones. BUT, if D1 TL is broken as well , look for D1/H4 zones nested in WK zones.
Thank you so much, will incorporate that that rule
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