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DAX Futures Mar18

  • #121
  • Dec 15, 2017 6:36am Dec 15, 2017 6:36am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} taking into account: desperate words from matmomo in this impossible to trade morning; a tough cold I had last night and also this morning; some internet disconnection I had this morning; a good week with gains I had; some important meeting I will have next hours for my son's future; I prefer to stop trading for this week and close at 037 last FDXM long from 028.
Hi brixen. I understand your situation. I have a long time around where you had it last, I've been holding it for about an hour. I just want to ask, maybe an independent opinion if you were not in this situation, would you be holding it, or where would you think of the exit?
No pain no gain. Psychology foundation for success
  • #122
  • Dec 15, 2017 6:42am Dec 15, 2017 6:42am
Quoting matmomo
{quote} Excellent decision mate... now i'm long from 027, and see what happens. Hoping to see 050/075. Good luck for your meetings about your son's future, and have a nice weekend. We'll stay here to guarding the fort.
thanks for your kind words.
Done for today:-2-1+19+2=TOTAL +18 pips FDAX for today.

and done also for this week (on dec 11th I have traded FDAX Dec17 for my last day on this future)
12 dec: +60,5 pips
13 dec: +50,5 pips
14 dec: +63 pips
15 dec: +18 pips
TOTAL:+192 pips FDAX.

24th week in a row with profit.
It will last, next week? who knows....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #123
  • Dec 15, 2017 6:48am Dec 15, 2017 6:48am
Quoting Piquant
{quote} I salute your perseverance ! Trading minute charts can be hectic (if I'm wrong correct me) Just took a quick at 15m chart To me this is a downtrend at least for now it looks like it Price might retrace back to 13087 and pullback from there but then again we've got divergence so it could go up from there on, whatever the case I do think the push will be up for today. {image}
No my friend, I never see or saw M1 chart.
M15 or M10 is more clear than others TF for a daytrader as me.
But more important are the price levels I have in my mind.
As I wrote early this morning: 13050 a sort of pivot for today and 13010 support (13100 resistance).
Unfortunately I don't always follow my levels, I'm a human not a robot......
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #124
  • Dec 15, 2017 6:59am Dec 15, 2017 6:59am
Quoting majklicek
{quote} Hi brixen. I understand your situation. I have a long time around where you had it last, I've been holding it for about an hour. I just want to ask, maybe an independent opinion if you were not in this situation, would you be holding it, or where would you think of the exit?
Frankly, I would have bought every dip...as you can see in M15 chart attached every dip was good to rebound.
I guess Big Hands are accumulating...but 13000 is also too fragile:one news or whatever and a lot of stops are there or slight below....do you remember 2 fridays ago...from 13000 to 12800 in 5 min.

So I only may suggest this:if price overcome 13050, OK for longs, especially after 5 hours of narrow range. Otherwise they will play the game next week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: FDAX15dec17M15.png Size: 39 KB
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #125
  • Edited 10:18am Dec 15, 2017 7:05am | Edited 10:18am
Hello everybody ...

Ger30Mar (h4) & (m30)

I think we are inside a b4 wave correction (4th"3rd's": AbC)(12345 bull market)
Top 13150, bottom 12950
(small b1 completed, now we are in the small b3co, later it will be the small b5)

P.S.
@12950 will start the b5 wave (TP 13250) ... waiting for the a(c) wave
(maybe...)
@12750 will start a new wave (the 5th one ?)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ger30Mar (h4).png Size: 96 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Ger30Mar (m30).png Size: 75 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #126
  • Dec 15, 2017 7:15am Dec 15, 2017 7:15am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Frankly, I would have bought every dip...as you can see in M15 chart attached every dip was good to rebound. I guess Big Hands are accumulating...but 13000 is also too fragile:one news or whatever and a lot of stops are there or slight below....do you remember 2 fridays ago...from 13000 to 12800 in 5 min. So I only may suggest this:if price overcome 13050, OK for longs, especially after 5 hours of narrow range. Otherwise they will play the game next week. {image}

yes, I remember the situation. I think you he'd come out before that sale. Maybe traders are exhausted after yesterday. I do not know if I will wait until the opening of the US. Anyway, thank you for your advice, I think about the price somewhere around 070, maybe I can close it BE. current 041. All good.
No pain no gain. Psychology foundation for success
  • #127
  • Dec 15, 2017 9:13am Dec 15, 2017 9:13am
heh heh I took a break after getting back the first loss and got tired of trading. Now after coming back from the Mall I see they hit my target. Ah well...
  • #128
  • Edited 12:09pm Dec 15, 2017 11:45am | Edited 12:09pm
Quoting mag00
Hello everybody ... Ger30Mar (h4) & (m30) I think we are inside a b4 wave correction (4th"3rd's": AbC)(12345 bull market) Top 13150, bottom 12950 (small b1 completed, now we are in the small b3co, later it will be the small b5) P.S. @12950 will start the b5 wave (TP 13250) ... waiting for the a(c) wave (maybe...) @12750 will start a new wave (the 5th one ?) {image} {image}
Ger30Mar (m5)

a view ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Ger30Mar (m5).png Size: 73 KB
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #129
  • Dec 15, 2017 12:29pm Dec 15, 2017 12:29pm
Quoting mag00
{quote} Ger30Mar (m5) a view ... {image}
Hey Mag00, I'm not able to draw lines and made forecast as you, I prefer short term levels price and trade step by step but I want to share my idea tonight.
Market has tested 12800 zone (for 2 times, 1st dec) and then made a rebound till 13240 zone (last friday):13020 zone is the middle,tested yd and today so double bottom).
Now we can go up again, as usual this time of the year.

P.S.:no exact science here, market is designed to fool most of us, me too.....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #130
  • Edited 3:19pm Dec 15, 2017 12:47pm | Edited 3:19pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Hey Mag00, I'm not able to draw lines and made forecast as you, I prefer short term levels price and trade step by step but I want to share my idea tonight. Market has tested 12800 zone (for 2 times, 1st dec) and then made a rebound till 13240 zone (last friday):13020 zone is the middle,tested yd and today so double bottom). Now we can go up again, as usual this time of the year. P.S.:no exact science here, market is designed to fool most of us, me too.....
Hey Brixen,

All is possible here ...
( nothing is impossible ...)

As far as I know (and still a little)
...if the count is correct ...
the 4th wave (3rd of bull market) is always double compared to the 2nd one
(because it corrects a 3rd composed (3rd's in turn)):

in short ... I expect (apart my cognitive distortions) new C-waves ...

Again ... on the d1 chart, the price has not retested any moving average and ...
that candle is black (not for a new beginning ...)

Is this also opinion ... for strong hands?

P.S.
Then Hill indicator gives no arrow (34,2,55,34,1.618): no oversold
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #131
  • Dec 15, 2017 2:01pm Dec 15, 2017 2:01pm
Quoting mag00
{quote} Hey Brixen, All is possible here ... ( nothing is impossible ...) As far as I know (and still a little) ...if the count is correct ... the 4th wave (3rd of bull market) is always double compared to the 2nd one (because it corrects a 3rd composed (3rd's in turn)): in short ... I expect (apart my cognitive distortions) new C-waves ... Again ... on the d1 chart, the price has not retested any moving average and ... the candle is black (not for a new beginning ...) Is this also opinion ... for strong hands? P.S. Then Hill indicator gives no...
OK Mag00.
do you use everyday that indi? what's your feeback?
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #132
  • Dec 15, 2017 2:22pm Dec 15, 2017 2:22pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} OK Mag00. do you use everyday that indi? what's your feeback?

it's a good statistical data (34,2,55,34,1.618: 5size)
I look at it for the excess
(together with "divergences" of the Rmi indi (14.5))

P.S.
unfortunately it repaints ...
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #133
  • Edited 12:49pm Dec 16, 2017 12:15pm | Edited 12:49pm
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Hey Mag00, I'm not able to draw lines and made forecast as you, I prefer short term levels price and trade step by step but I want to share my idea tonight. Market has tested 12800 zone (for 2 times, 1st dec) and then made a rebound till 13240 zone (last friday):13020 zone is the middle,tested yd and today so double bottom). Now we can go up again, as usual this time of the year. P.S.:no exact science here, market is designed to fool most of us, me too.....
Hey Brixen,

you may be right by looking at the positive correlation Dax & $&P
(aka $Y : rate hike $ (last week))

P.S.
(see post 72302 USD/JPY Discussion)
... panta rei ... (Heraclitus of Ephesus, 535-475 BC)
  • #134
  • Dec 18, 2017 12:38am Dec 18, 2017 12:38am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Hey Mag00, I'm not able to draw lines and made forecast as you, I prefer short term levels price and trade step by step but I want to share my idea tonight. Market has tested 12800 zone (for 2 times, 1st dec) and then made a rebound till 13240 zone (last friday):13020 zone is the middle,tested yd and today so double bottom). Now we can go up again, as usual this time of the year. P.S.:no exact science here, market is designed to fool most of us, me too.....
The Xmas rally has just started and I miss the train....
FDAX will open around 170/190 zone, so with a huge gap-up (109 was the DAX CASH INDEX high, while FDAX has a peak around 130 last friday)

It's better to wait 9CET M15 candle before jump on this ultrafast train.
While I wait I will buy any dips around 129/149 zone for 200 target, or I will short above 200/240
Not easy to take part at this party!!!!
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #135
  • Dec 18, 2017 1:05am Dec 18, 2017 1:05am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} The Xmas rally has just started and I miss the train.... FDAX will open around 170/190 zone, so with a huge gap-up (109 was the DAX CASH INDEX high, while FDAX has a peak around 130 last friday) It's better to wait 9CET M15 candle before jump on this ultrafast train. While I wait I will buy any dips around 129/149 zone for 200 target, or I will short above 200/240 Not easy to take part at this party!!!!
Wow what a jump right at the start ,
If I'm not mistaken you enter from 15m how would have even possibly seen it coming on 15m, maybe on 1m you could have ?
and its only been 5 minutes since the open
...
  • #136
  • Dec 18, 2017 1:08am Dec 18, 2017 1:08am
some shorts are waiting....current 215.....ready
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #137
  • Dec 18, 2017 1:21am Dec 18, 2017 1:21am
Quoting Brixen
some shorts are waiting....current 215.....ready
215,5 was triggered but not the others short
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #138
  • Dec 18, 2017 1:26am Dec 18, 2017 1:26am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} 215,5 was triggered but not the others short
fixed stop at 215 for my short, current 198....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #139
  • Dec 18, 2017 1:49am Dec 18, 2017 1:49am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} fixed stop at 215 for my short, current 198....
180/190 zone could be a new base ior lower 150 zone...we'll see this only after 9CET
in any case I'm ready to act and close my short and open a new long on any decent dip
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #140
  • Dec 18, 2017 2:00am Dec 18, 2017 2:00am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} 180/190 zone could be a new base ior lower 150 zone...we'll see this only after 9CET in any case I'm ready to act and close my short and open a new long on any decent dip
just closed the short at 186,5 now
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
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