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The Swamp

  • #13,141
  • Dec 14, 2017 12:29pm Dec 14, 2017 12:29pm
close wise on a year chart.. 2017 closing near where its at atm.. would engulf 2016 year candle. anything is in play..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,142
  • Dec 14, 2017 12:32pm Dec 14, 2017 12:32pm
later..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,143
  • Dec 14, 2017 1:25pm Dec 14, 2017 1:25pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} it may hit that number in an hour or two..with McCain in hospital .. they are worried about tax bill again...,.
Collins and Rubio on the fence, or at least posturing as if they care, so tax bill not a done deal. Speaker Ryan to resign in 2018 to spend more time at the gym. Volatile weeks ahead.
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #13,144
  • Dec 14, 2017 1:43pm Dec 14, 2017 1:43pm
daily recap. running out of time to fill the gap @ 1880, but still very likely Friday/Monday. On it's way to 1550 ultimately.
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  • #13,145
  • Dec 14, 2017 1:53pm Dec 14, 2017 1:53pm
Quoting asgcorp
On it's way to 1550 ultimately. {image}
Cīmon, you promised this for yesterday
Seriously, I just drew a new channel that is leading to the upside.
Honestly, you could be right. We will know soon, as Gator said, anything can happen right now.
We both have our graphics to prove our point.
But I only draw graphics to be not surprised when something happens what I did not expect.
  • #13,146
  • Dec 14, 2017 1:56pm Dec 14, 2017 1:56pm
Quoting CandleStar
{quote}Seriously, I just drew a new channel that is leading to the upside.
let's see your chart.
  • #13,147
  • Dec 14, 2017 2:00pm Dec 14, 2017 2:00pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} let's see your chart.
I knew you would ask
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  • #13,148
  • Edited 2:34pm Dec 14, 2017 2:08pm | Edited 2:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
close wise on a year chart.. 2017 closing near where its at atm.. would engulf 2016 year candle. anything is in play.. {image}
Gator,, to help your points.. April, Sept and Dec are good months for Euro,, Dec is the best month.. here is 20 yrs historical chart.....for bears,, if you have ability to hold in Dec.. Jan will be a down month.....since Dec opened at 1904.. we need close above it at the end of this month...lets see,,
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  • #13,149
  • Dec 14, 2017 2:08pm Dec 14, 2017 2:08pm
Quoting CandleStar
{quote} I knew you would ask {image}
not sure if it's legit. I can see one valid TL which broke after we gapped down.

On H4 I see momentum shifted to the bull side after the Fed this Wednesday, today after ECB this TL was re-tested, however looks like we are going to get an inside candle on H4 so that's enough for the bulls to try for the gap fill again Friday/Monday.

Probably a few traders here loaded up long today.
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  • #13,150
  • Dec 14, 2017 2:14pm Dec 14, 2017 2:14pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} not sure if it's legit. I can see one valid TL which broke after we gapped down. On H4 I see momentum shifted to the bull side after the Fed this Wednesday, today after ECB this TL was re-tested, however looks like we are going to get an inside candle on H4 so that's enough for the bulls to try for the gap fill again Friday/Monday. Probably a few traders here loaded up long today. {image}
Yes, anything can happen
As I said, I prepare for every scenario, thatīs all I can do.
To be honest the upward movement yesterday surprised me a lot after the data. I was not prepared.
I just try that this does not happen again (often).
The last time we had a similar scenario like now we went honizontally for a while and then broke down.
Chalk is cheap, so letīs draw
  • #13,151
  • Dec 14, 2017 2:37pm Dec 14, 2017 2:37pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Gator,, to help your points.. April, Sept and Dec are good months for Euro,, Dec is the best month.. here is 20 yrs historical chart.....for bears,, if you have ability to hold in Dec.. Jan will be a down month.....since Dec opened at 1904.. we have to see we can close above it at the end of this month... {image}
that's why 1809 is important,, year wise it dont have to do anything but not move to engulf 2016. Q3 wise above 1811 should be ok.. week wise 1765. day wise was already closed above 1765.. week and day b/o close is above 1939. month wise above 1911...

year wise the longest/Tallest 2016 wick is 1615.. a close above the wick can be indicative of a strong move.

the one wick in 2015 after the first 1.0462 drop is/was 1712. the same place is preventing it from reaching 1706, since closing the month above Q3's 1809/11
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,152
  • Dec 14, 2017 2:53pm Dec 14, 2017 2:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} that's why 1809 is important,, year wise it dont have to do anything but not move to engulf 2016. Q3 wise above 1811 should be ok.. week wise 1765. day wise was already closed above 1765.. week and day b/o close is above 1939. month wise above 1911... year wise the longest/Tallest 2016 wick is 1615.. a close above the wick can be indicative of a strong move. the one wick in 2015 after the first 1.0462 drop is/was 1712. the same place is preventing it from reaching 1706, since closing the month above Q3's 1809/11
Gator,, I am not smart enough to digest this.... no matter how many degrees that I had... Let me think this through with time.. try to understand your points...I will raise my questions later...thanks ..Master..
  • #13,153
  • Dec 14, 2017 3:02pm Dec 14, 2017 3:02pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Gator,, I am not smart enough to digest this.... no matter how many degrees that I had... Let me think this through with time.. try to understand your points...I will raise my questions later...thanks ..Master..
nothing i said matters.. it looked bullish when the eu was at 1.6034 years ago. it just stopped going up. that can happen too. the only benchmarks i have is the closes. they can all be closed below b4 jan1.. today closed above 1765.. the month above 1811 (Q3). Q3 above Q2
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,154
  • Dec 14, 2017 3:16pm Dec 14, 2017 3:16pm
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,155
  • Dec 14, 2017 3:23pm Dec 14, 2017 3:23pm
indeed closes are important here i thought we would hit 1890 at least but no show 1864 knocked this sucker down alomst 100 pts.
We are yet to see where we close for this day. A run up to 18xx i reckon
  • #13,156
  • Dec 14, 2017 3:28pm Dec 14, 2017 3:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nothing i said matters.. it looked bullish when the eu was at 1.6034 years ago. it just stopped going up. that can happen too. the only benchmarks i have is the closes. they can all be closed below b4 jan1.. today closed above 1765.. the month above 1811 (Q3). Q3 above Q2
hey, I sent you a email...
  • #13,157
  • Dec 14, 2017 5:41pm Dec 14, 2017 5:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
https://youtu.be/600ykNF3md4
they may want to become country singers when they grow up.
  • #13,158
  • Dec 15, 2017 12:00am Dec 15, 2017 12:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nothing i said matters.. it looked bullish when the eu was at 1.6034 years ago. it just stopped going up. that can happen too. the only benchmarks i have is the closes. they can all be closed below b4 jan1.. today closed above 1765.. the month above 1811 (Q3). Q3 above Q2
I remember that time like it was yesterday...It was August of 2008...
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #13,159
  • Dec 15, 2017 1:40am Dec 15, 2017 1:40am
Im short EURUSD with a tight stop.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,160
  • Dec 15, 2017 2:29am Dec 15, 2017 2:29am
very hungover here...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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