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The Swamp

  • #13,061
  • Dec 13, 2017 1:45pm Dec 13, 2017 1:45pm
These are the levels im keeping an eye on...

EURUSD 1.18568
GBPUSD 1.34207
USDCAD 1.26893 (this is gona look like a cliff dive....)
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,062
  • Dec 13, 2017 1:47pm Dec 13, 2017 1:47pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} I'm out dude, got zung for 30 4hr...
BTW ptl, how are you doing btw?? havent seen you around on twitter.... been trying to message you there.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,063
  • Dec 13, 2017 1:54pm Dec 13, 2017 1:54pm
euro bulls are strong atm. Will look to buy the dip later. Target - gap fill. Not risking any entries now. Congrats to the bulls! who bought @ the bottom.
  • #13,064
  • Dec 13, 2017 1:56pm Dec 13, 2017 1:56pm
Quoting asgcorp
euro bulls are strong atm. Will look to buy the dip later. Target - gap fill. Not risking any entries now. Congrats to the bulls! who bought @ the bottom.
you seemed so sure that its more likely EURUSD 100 pip dump rather than a 100 pip pump...

Quoting asgcorp
a 100 point dump is more likely than 100 point pump imo.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,065
  • Dec 13, 2017 1:58pm Dec 13, 2017 1:58pm
anyone seeing the cliff dive on USDCAD as mentioned??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,066
  • Dec 13, 2017 1:58pm Dec 13, 2017 1:58pm
Sold EURUSD @1.18164
Sold GBPUSD @ 1.33952
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #13,067
  • Dec 13, 2017 1:59pm Dec 13, 2017 1:59pm
Quoting fxtyrant
These are the levels im keeping an eye on... EURUSD 1.18568 GBPUSD 1.34207 USDCAD 1.26893 (this is gona look like a cliff dive....)
GBPUSD 1.34207 Hit, thats was my original TP if i disregarded yellen....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,068
  • Dec 13, 2017 2:01pm Dec 13, 2017 2:01pm
sold cable at 1.3420, risk 25...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #13,069
  • Dec 13, 2017 2:04pm Dec 13, 2017 2:04pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
sold cable at 1.3420, risk 25...
green pips to you, im gona call it a day. possibly calling it for the week.. far too much event risk in the later part of this week.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,070
  • Dec 13, 2017 2:05pm Dec 13, 2017 2:05pm
Quoting Driver55
Sold EURUSD @1.18164 Sold GBPUSD @ 1.33952
i bought eu again at 1813..stop at 1800
  • #13,071
  • Dec 13, 2017 2:07pm Dec 13, 2017 2:07pm
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  • #13,072
  • Dec 13, 2017 2:58pm Dec 13, 2017 2:58pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} you seemed so sure that its more likely EURUSD 100 pip dump rather than a 100 pip pump... {quote}
I had pending buy orders much lower (1680), not bothered. bigger picture don't change, we do a gap fill and EURUSD resumes lower. I have a final target of 1550 next 2-4 weeks. Obviously buying dips for now until gap gets filled.
  • #13,073
  • Dec 13, 2017 3:12pm Dec 13, 2017 3:12pm
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} I had pending buy orders much lower (1680), not bothered. bigger picture don't change, we do a gap fill and EURUSD resumes lower. I have a final target of 1550 next 2-4 weeks. Obviously buying dips for now until gap gets filled.
Hmmmm i understand bigger picture not changed, but personally id be cautions with being too bearish on EURUSD, surprisingly Bund yields is not a certain that ECB wont be hawkish, also quite a few major banks are starting to forecast EURUSD higher from 1.18 onwards.

as for target 1550 in next 2-4 weeks, is kind of ambitious....... liquidity is drying up fast, so dont expect any trend moves or breakouts..... theres simply not enough volume for any follow through....
however the low liquidity environment we're getting into see some choppy price action..... but yea just be safe and dont get too overly committed too any view of a trend prior to year end of 2017.... theres not gona be much action.....

some of the Global bank traders are already on their holiday leave....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #13,074
  • Dec 13, 2017 4:14pm Dec 13, 2017 4:14pm
So glad I will never need to hear her dull speech again in my life.... Tomorrow its Draghi's turn
Last time, when he spoke on 10/26/2017, Euro dropped almost 200 pips.. Hope he will bring some magic for the bears tomorrow...
  • #13,075
  • Dec 13, 2017 4:28pm Dec 13, 2017 4:28pm
Euro On 12/13/2017 at 5pm est. BLDR MTF system update :
H1, Uptrend, Trend stop at H1 close 1733, Running Period: 6 hours
H4, Uptrend, Trend stop at H4 close 1728, Running Period: 1 x H4
Daily, uptrend, Trend stop at day close 1707, Running Period: 16 days
( Note: Those stops will change with hour close and price action)
  • #13,076
  • Dec 13, 2017 4:31pm Dec 13, 2017 4:31pm
i thought it would hit 1706 first.. i was waiting to long.. missed it.. i would say wait for 1774+spread to long, and place stops below 1764.. not sure it will get below 1809/11 again (hint).. not sure if 1811 will come before 1905 now in the st

... door looks open for 2164, but 1894/1911 needs closing on a day.. and a week above 1939.. just b4 2094 ish i kinda expect some big R here.. that would probably mean it would come back right here where it sits atm (1826) .. if this is to be true, this post may come to life in the next few weeks. if true, 1826 is the mid to 2094
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,077
  • Dec 13, 2017 4:43pm Dec 13, 2017 4:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
i thought it would hit 1706 first.. i was waiting to long.. missed it.. i would say wait for 1774+spread to long, and place stops below 1764.. not sure it will get below 1809/11 again.. not sure if 1811 will come before 1905... door looks open for 2164, but 1894/1911 needs closing on a day.. and a week above 1939.. just b4 2094 ish i kinda expect some big R here.. that would probably mean it would come back right here were it sits atm (1826) .. if this is to be true, this post may come to life in the next few weeks.
Gator.. this is 2nd time for me to miss my TP.... last time 1712, yesterday 1717... 3rd time will be a charm as I believe.....I always exit my trades early before.. this time I try to have patience... it just tested me again and again... I am not going to give up unless i have to....no worries here..
  • #13,078
  • Dec 13, 2017 4:51pm Dec 13, 2017 4:51pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Gator.. this is 2nd time for me to miss my TP.... last time 1712, yesterday 1717... 3rd time will be a charm as I believe.....I always exit my trades early before.. this time I try to have patience... it just tested me again and again... I am not going to give up unless i have to....no worries here..
a trader worse enemy is himself/herself. i was short too on that rise a few days ago 1799... my stops were +15.. meaning i risked +50 pips to make the the last 11 pips.. that wasn't a good trade management on my part. i leave often and left this one open.. i should have closed when L closed above 1723,,

i plan on longing.. but if tomorrow L closes below 1809.. i will close. atm if 1809/11 is the future mid.. a move to 1904 should happen.. Close R at 1894/1911,1913.. it may take a few tries.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,079
  • Dec 13, 2017 5:00pm Dec 13, 2017 5:00pm
the 6h closed above 1811 and 1826... may stop a deeper retrace than 1809 area.. making 1904 easier.
generically i would use 1774.. i just dont know if 1808.9/1811 will allow anything deeper.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #13,080
  • Dec 13, 2017 5:03pm Dec 13, 2017 5:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a trader worse enemy is himself/herself. i was short too on that rise a few days ago 1799... my stops were +15.. meaning i risked +50 pips to make the the last 11 pips.. that wasn't a good trade management on my part. i leave often and left this one open.. i should have closed when L closed above 1723,, i plan on longing.. but if tomorrow L closes below 1809.. i will close. atm if 1809/11 is the future mid.. a move to 1904 should happen.. Close R at 1894/1911,1913.. it may take a few tries.
you are absolutely right..'a trader worse enemy is himself/herself.'....I just have to learn...I am glad to have you to tell me that....
If Draghi can't bring down this tomorrow,, I will close some positions... wait to short later at a higher price....
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