Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 445 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #8,881
  • Oct 26, 2017 1:21am Oct 26, 2017 1:21am
GBPUSD weekly uptrend, weekly demand levels created. Long bias
Strong weekly demand zone on GBPUSD around 1.2950, price is falling short of retracing to it. Long bias on GBPUSD major Forex cross pair

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How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,882
  • Oct 26, 2017 1:39pm Oct 26, 2017 1:39pm
New to the thread and been reviewing the history. I think It would be useful to restate the "rules" as they have obviously evolved since 2013. thanks
  • #8,883
  • Oct 26, 2017 10:56pm Oct 26, 2017 10:56pm
Quoting Psj69
New to the thread and been reviewing the history. I think It would be useful to restate the "rules" as they have obviously evolved since 2013. thanks
There is a PDF file you can download from post #1 links, those are the basic rules. Please download it and read the basic rules and ideas.
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,884
  • Oct 26, 2017 10:58pm Oct 26, 2017 10:58pm
New Daily demand zone being created on Dollar Index around 94. Weekly supply level eliminated, long bias at Daily and Weekly demand levels.
Have a nice weekend
Cheers,


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dollar_index_dxy_demand_level_imbalance.png Size: 64 KB


How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,885
  • Oct 30, 2017 8:56pm Oct 30, 2017 8:56pm
Hi Alfonso and guys, I'm new to supply and demand trading, I read free ebook in first post and watched some videos on Youtube. And now, I'm practicing on AUDUSD chart. Please help me 2 questions:
1. Is price in a weekly demand zone and long bias? Plz see below image
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 79 KB

2. How should I use D1 20 EMA horizonal line?
  • #8,886
  • Oct 31, 2017 12:20am Oct 31, 2017 12:20am
Quoting OtusFX
Hi Alfonso and guys, I'm new to supply and demand trading, I read free ebook in first post and watched some videos on Youtube. And now, I'm practicing on AUDUSD chart. Please help me 2 questions: 1. Is price in a weekly demand zone and long bias? Plz see below image {image} 2. How should I use D1 20 EMA horizonal line?
You are not doing a supply and demand top down analysis on AUDUSD forex cross pairs, you just drew a weekly demand level and that's all. AUDUSD bias is shorts.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,887
  • Oct 31, 2017 12:21am Oct 31, 2017 12:21am
Nasdaq Futures NQ1! daily uptrend. New daily demand zones being created and respected at all time highs. Longs at new area of demand around 6088. Previous daily demand levels around 6016 and 5844 played out nicely, Clear long bias, buy at new and clear demand imbalances.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,888
  • Oct 31, 2017 1:20am Oct 31, 2017 1:20am
Quoting panoramia
GBPUSD weekly uptrend, weekly demand levels created. Long bias Strong weekly demand zone on GBPUSD around 1.2950, price is falling short of retracing to it. Long bias on GBPUSD major Forex cross pair
Alfonso, but this last W Demand zone that you drew, did it clear the precious supply zone?
  • #8,889
  • Edited 5:56am Oct 31, 2017 5:28am | Edited 5:56am
Quoting juliuy
{quote} Alfonso, but this last W Demand zone that you drew, did it clear the precious supply zone?
Well, I know what it accomplished, please apply the basic rules and learn if it did remove previous weekly supply imbalance.
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,890
  • Oct 31, 2017 7:19am Oct 31, 2017 7:19am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} You are not doing a supply and demand top down analysis on AUDUSD forex cross pairs, you just drew a weekly demand level and that's all. AUDUSD bias is shorts. Cheers, Alfonso
Hello Alfonso, Since price is hitting Weekly Demand Level, aren't we looking for a Long setup? Could you kindly explain what is the clue for you to say it's short bias on this pair?

Regards
thiha
  • #8,891
  • Oct 31, 2017 7:47am Oct 31, 2017 7:47am
Quoting thiha
{quote} Hello Alfonso, Since price is hitting Weekly Demand Level, aren't we looking for a Long setup? Could you kindly explain what is the clue for you to say it's short bias on this pair? Regards thiha
No, no longs there. Top down analysis says shorts. Do the top down analysis and apply basic rules, they will tell you what to do. No longs allowed now on AUDUSD. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,892
  • Oct 31, 2017 9:58pm Oct 31, 2017 9:58pm
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Well, I know what it accomplished, please apply the basic rules and learn if it did remove previous weekly supply imbalance. Cheers, Alfonso
Thank you, Alfonso, for giving in your usual manner this light speed response. I did take some more analysis and decided to paraphrase my question. Questions are in the picture.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #8,893
  • Oct 31, 2017 10:54pm Oct 31, 2017 10:54pm
Quoting juliuy
{quote} Thank you, Alfonso, for giving in your usual manner this light speed response. I did take some more analysis and decided to paraphrase my question. Questions are in the picture. {image}
All time lows on GBPUSD cross pair? There is much more data to the left back to 1985

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,894
  • Nov 1, 2017 12:54am Nov 1, 2017 12:54am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} All time lows on GBPUSD cross pair? There is much more data to the left back to 1985 {image}
On MT4 I have data back to 1996-7, indeed on TradeView there is more data. So did the previous supply zone clear some historical supply zone that goes back to 1986 year?
  • #8,895
  • Nov 1, 2017 2:13am Nov 1, 2017 2:13am
Quoting juliuy
{quote} On MT4 I have data back to 1996-7, indeed on TradeView there is more data. So did the previous supply zone clear some historical supply zone that goes back to 1986 year?
Supply cannot remove supply I guess you are referring to historical demand levels. Just apply the basic rules and you will know what it accomplished. If you have to, sign up for a free trial on Trading View and do the analysis, you will get your answer once you do that. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,896
  • Nov 1, 2017 2:14am Nov 1, 2017 2:14am
Forex pair AUDSGD is dropping strongly and creating brand new supply imbalances on the daily. In a downtrend supply levels are respected and demand imbalances and zones are removed. Previous daily supply zones held very well and played out nicely.

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How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,897
  • Nov 1, 2017 6:57am Nov 1, 2017 6:57am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Supply cannot remove supply I guess you are referring to historical demand levels. Just apply the basic rules and you will know what it accomplished. If you have to, sign up for a free trial on Trading View and do the analysis, you will get your answer once you do that. Cheers, Alfonso
Yes, my fault, slip of the tongue. Should be "supply removed some historical demand zone". I will take a look at TradeView, then come back again here with some snapshots. Until we figure this one out. Thank you.
  • #8,898
  • Nov 1, 2017 11:20pm Nov 1, 2017 11:20pm
Intel Corp American Stock #INTC weekly demand levels and imbalances created in an uptrend. Longs at new weekly demand zone around 40 with a clear monthly uptrend. Price never pulled back to previous weekly demand zone around 37.25. Holding a long position from a lower weekly demand level around 35 price area, trailing the entry.

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Click to Enlarge Name: intel_weekly_demand_zone.png Size: 99 KB


How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,899
  • Nov 2, 2017 2:47am Nov 2, 2017 2:47am
Hi Alfonso and fellow traders. I see an opportunity to sell EUR JPY. My top down analysis. The opposite demand area in the Daily timeframe removed. What do you think? Thanks in advance.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR JPY FX.jpg Size: 244 KB
I am sorry, i speak English a little bit
  • #8,900
  • Nov 2, 2017 3:16am Nov 2, 2017 3:16am
Quoting BogdanM.ua
Hi Alfonso and fellow traders. I see an opportunity to sell EUR JPY. My top down analysis. The opposite demand area in the Daily timeframe removed. What do you think? Thanks in advance. {image}
Eurjpy monthly is UP so LONG bias! No SHORT
Remember "TRADING IS ALL ABOUT PROBABILITIES"
Follow the trend, if you want counter trend use fresh and original at extreme (valley or peak) good base 2:1 make HH or LL etc.
So, monthly UP SZ in control very high in the curve : 1.long are not allowed because we are very high in the curve
2.short are not allowed because monthly trend is up
So i take option number 3.WAIT JUST WAIT analysis another one there's a thousand pair forex,stock,commodities etc.
Hopefully this make you clear my friend
Cheers! Have a great day for you and family!
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