Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 444 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Supply and Demand Zones 57 replies

Price movement as a function of Supply and Demand 43 replies

Supply and demand zones and EW principles 1 reply

How Markets Work, in a Nutshell! 32 replies

Demand and Supply 1 reply

Attachments: Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno
Exit Attachments

Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #8,861
  • Oct 19, 2017 10:30am Oct 19, 2017 10:30am
thanks to the fucking Chinese firewall of Internet, i can't see the video you posted.
what a pity.
  • #8,862
  • Oct 20, 2017 1:19am Oct 20, 2017 1:19am
American Stock DFS Discovery Financial Services has a clear long bias. Price fell short of retracing to this weekly demand zone around 57 area. Brand new weekly demand level, that imbalance around 59.55 has a very strong and explosive bullish impulse. New demand levels are being created, supply levels are being eliminated. Longs at weekly demand zones for a long term investment.

Have a nice weekend
Alfosno

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dfs_discovery_financial_weekly_demand_level.png Size: 60 KB


How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,863
  • Oct 21, 2017 4:31am Oct 21, 2017 4:31am
Hi to all, i'm back into this world, and today i've started to analyze some cross pairs.
I want to share with you my thoughts on kiwi dollar.

.MN uptrend, but MN SZ zone in controll
Wk Downtrend, too low in the Wk curve. Demand zone nested with 50% of the MN curve, and strong area of support\Resistance

My Conclusion. To go short i want the demand zone out of the way, with the creation of a brand new area of supply around 0.7061.
To go long i want a confirmation pattern at Wk Demand with good price actition that could have also The MN trend line, and the strong area of support\resistance confluences.
To take a decision on this pair, the market could spent all of the next week to do what it have to do, so i will hide this pair, until the next saturday, this is one of my brand new trading plan that i've decide to create from zero.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2017-10-21_1128.png Size: 52 KB
  • #8,864
  • Oct 21, 2017 9:18pm Oct 21, 2017 9:18pm
Quoting alegargano
Hi to all, i'm back into this world, and today i've started to analyze some cross pairs. I want to share with you my thoughts on kiwi dollar. .MN uptrend, but MN SZ zone in controll Wk Downtrend, too low in the Wk curve. Demand zone nested with 50% of the MN curve, and strong area of support\Resistance My Conclusion. To go short i want the demand zone out of the way, with the creation of a brand new area of supply around 0.7061. To go long i want a confirmation pattern at Wk Demand with good price actition that could have also The MN trend line,...
always good to hear from you, Ale! )
  • #8,865
  • Oct 22, 2017 11:48pm Oct 22, 2017 11:48pm
Forex exotic GBPPLN is rallying on the weekly and creating new demand zones for potential longs. Very strong impulse creating a good looking weekly demand level around 4.65 price area on GBPPLN

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 304 KB


How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,866
  • Oct 23, 2017 5:31am Oct 23, 2017 5:31am
Hi Alegargano,
According to the Alfonso's rules, to define a Monthly uptrend, we need to fulfill one of the following two sets of conditions:
1) Remove 1 monthly supply zone + able to draw a monthly ascending TL, or
2) Remove 2 supply zones.

I can see that on NZDUSD, you can certainly draw a monthly ascending TL, but I did not see removal of a Monthly Supply Zone yet. So according to the rules, NZDUSD is not in a monthly uptrend. It is in consolidation. But of course, I'm simply quoting Alfonso's rules, you're free to make your own rules, there are thousands different ways to make money in forex..

Best regards
T

Quoting alegargano
Hi to all, i'm back into this world, and today i've started to analyze some cross pairs. I want to share with you my thoughts on kiwi dollar. .MN uptrend, but MN SZ zone in controll Wk Downtrend, too low in the Wk curve. Demand zone nested with 50% of the MN curve, and strong area of support\Resistance My Conclusion. To go short i want the demand zone out of the way, with the creation of a brand new area of supply around 0.7061. To go long i want a confirmation pattern at Wk Demand with good price actition that could have also The MN trend line,...
  • #8,867
  • Oct 23, 2017 2:17pm Oct 23, 2017 2:17pm
Hello Alfonso,

I have a question and please explain me if buy limit from Weekly Demand zone is allowed if Monthly and Weekly is in an uptrend, but price removed last peak (last high) no closed with candle above last time high. If yes can You try answer how looks the probability to success?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: rt.png Size: 38 KB
Supply & Demand trading
  • #8,868
  • Oct 24, 2017 1:20am Oct 24, 2017 1:20am
hello, can someone tell me the link to get the latest version of this indicator.
Thanks
  • #8,869
  • Oct 24, 2017 2:37am Oct 24, 2017 2:37am
Quoting Tibetian
Hi Alegargano, According to the Alfonso's rules, to define a Monthly uptrend, we need to fulfill one of the following two sets of conditions: 1) Remove 1 monthly supply zone + able to draw a monthly ascending TL, or 2) Remove 2 supply zones. I can see that on NZDUSD, you can certainly draw a monthly ascending TL, but I did not see removal of a Monthly Supply Zone yet. So according to the rules, NZDUSD is not in a monthly uptrend. It is in consolidation. But of course, I'm simply quoting Alfonso's rules, you're free to make your own rules, there...
Yes, i'am agree with you T, NZDUSD monthly is consolidation sz in control for now..
  • #8,870
  • Oct 24, 2017 2:47am Oct 24, 2017 2:47am
Quoting CoolRain
Hello Alfonso, I have a question and please explain me if buy limit from Weekly Demand zone is allowed if Monthly and Weekly is in an uptrend, but price removed last peak (last high) no closed with candle above last time high. If yes can You try answer how looks the probability to success? {image}
Monthly up (long bias)
Weekly up : brand new area of demand created on the weekly not good base, 2:1 imbalances and make HH
For me, look at daily if you see daily dz fresh and original nested weekly area of demand you can take it, if nothing wait for confrimation on the daily : brand new area of demand created with good base, 2:1 imbalance and make HH so take it! why you need confrimation on weekly dz? because it not good depature of the base to wicky!
i'am not alfonso, but hopefully it's help you my friend, if i'am wrong so correct me, i do my best! my logic!
Thanks!
  • #8,871
  • Oct 24, 2017 2:50am Oct 24, 2017 2:50am
Quoting shaileshm
hello, can someone tell me the link to get the latest version of this indicator. Thanks
Hi there, read post no.1 there's a link you can download the last indicator Alfonso created
  • #8,872
  • Oct 24, 2017 4:57am Oct 24, 2017 4:57am
I agree with your observations, the MN is in a bearish consolidation, but we have also the possibility of drawing an ascending trend line because we have a sequence of two valleys. The uptrend is a temporary trend, but with the MN supply in controll i'm thinking to go short until we reach the brand new MN demand created right at the break of TL.
  • #8,873
  • Oct 24, 2017 6:36am Oct 24, 2017 6:36am
Forex cross pair AUDNZD is rallying and creating a brand new daily demand imbalance. In an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand zones and imbalances are respected.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 318 KB


How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,874
  • Oct 24, 2017 7:26am Oct 24, 2017 7:26am
Quoting panoramia
Forex cross pair AUDNZD is rallying and creating a brand new daily demand imbalance. In an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand zones and imbalances are respected. {image} How to trade stocks and forex using supply and demand imbalances
Hi Alfonso - I have read your e-book and watched the Youtube videos decribing the basic supply and demand trading. Very well put together and informative.

Forgive me if I have missed or misunderstood this point, but I have a question:

In the AUDNZD chart just posted (and on several others), the proximal line is positioned at the top of the wick of the basing candle (for demand imbalance in this case) - but I understood the upper wick was ignored when locating the proximal level. Please could you explain or direct me to a previous post if this has been covered before.

Thanks again, Alan
  • #8,875
  • Oct 24, 2017 8:20am Oct 24, 2017 8:20am
Quoting Fxpen
{quote} Hi Alfonso - I have read your e-book and watched the Youtube videos decribing the basic supply and demand trading. Very well put together and informative. Forgive me if I have missed or misunderstood this point, but I have a question: In the AUDNZD chart just posted (and on several others), the proximal line is positioned at the top of the wick of the basing candle (for demand imbalance in this case) - but I understood the upper wick was ignored when locating the proximal level. Please could you explain or direct me to a previous post if...
I am very flexible, it is based on screen time. I am willing to draw the supply and demand imbalances wider, taking the whole imbalance and adjusting my risk proportionally to the width of the imbalance. There are rules to make those levels wider, we are talking about basic ideas on this thread. Cheers, Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,876
  • Oct 24, 2017 10:21am Oct 24, 2017 10:21am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} I am very flexible, it is based on screen time. I am willing to draw the supply and demand imbalances wider, taking the whole imbalance and adjusting my risk proportionally to the width of the imbalance. There are rules to make those levels wider, we are talking about basic ideas on this thread. Cheers, Alfonso
Thanks Alfonso - it's helpful to know that
  • #8,877
  • Oct 24, 2017 5:20pm Oct 24, 2017 5:20pm
Hello , Can you answer my few questions ? Some of them are on the chart some i will write down .
1.Whats your view for gold ?
2.Can i go long ? ( or could i entered long on previous DZs?)
3 Are my SD levels and Trend lines correct ?
Thanks for your time !
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: goldweeekly1025.png Size: 119 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: goldDaily1025.png Size: 124 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: gold4hr1025.png Size: 132 KB
You attract what you think in any area of life, relationships and trading!
  • #8,878
  • Oct 24, 2017 11:35pm Oct 24, 2017 11:35pm
Quoting Eushev24
Hello , Can you answer my few questions ? Some of them are on the chart some i will write down . 1.Whats your view for gold ? 2.Can i go long ? ( or could i entered long on previous DZs?) 3 Are my SD levels and Trend lines correct ? Thanks for your time ! {image} {image} {image}
You are asking me to spend a few minutes to go over all that my friend, you have lots of imbalances there. I just have no time to go over that. Imagine everyone did that, I would need to close myself. Sorry

Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,879
  • Oct 25, 2017 12:26am Oct 25, 2017 12:26am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} You are asking me to spend a few minutes to go over all that my friend, you have lots of imbalances there. I just have no time to go over that. Imagine everyone did that, I would need to close myself. Sorry Alfonso
Thats okay i understand , thanks !
You attract what you think in any area of life, relationships and trading!
  • #8,880
  • Oct 25, 2017 1:51am Oct 25, 2017 1:51am
Quoting Hyena
{quote} Monthly up (long bias) Weekly up : brand new area of demand created on the weekly not good base, 2:1 imbalances and make HH For me, look at daily if you see daily dz fresh and original nested weekly area of demand you can take it, if nothing wait for confrimation on the daily : brand new area of demand created with good base, 2:1 imbalance and make HH so take it! why you need confrimation on weekly dz? because it not good depature of the base to wicky! i'am not alfonso, but hopefully it's help you my friend, if i'am wrong so correct me,...
Thank You for kind answer :-)
I'm trading S&D for over one year and know rules, but last time start testing that one: do trade zone if price don't close over last removed.
For me the wicks on showed charts is not so bad, but the fact that the new freash zone is reaction on earlier Demand may decreast probability on success ;-)
Supply & Demand trading
0 traders viewing now