Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno | Page 443 | Forex Factory

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Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

  • #8,841
  • Oct 10, 2017 4:11am Oct 10, 2017 4:11am
Quoting Hyena
{quote} Alfonso, i have question, this is my chart on EURUSD : {image} The rules say, we connect the LAST 2 peaks to connect a descending trendline, so there it's no.1, brand new area of demand created after break descending trendline. My question is : If trendline no.1 is the LAST, so trendline no.2 can't use to filtering out of the level?? because if trendline no.2 is belongs on the monthly TF so brand new area of demand also created at 1.14160 - 1.11180 (Circle Red). Thanks.
That is not a monthly demand, you can't use an ERC candle as a base, it's not a base.
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,842
  • Oct 10, 2017 4:27am Oct 10, 2017 4:27am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} That is not a monthly demand, you can't use an ERC candle as a base, it's not a base. Cheers, Alfonso
Ok, thank you Alfonso..
It make sense to me
Cheers.Have a great day..
  • #8,843
  • Oct 10, 2017 11:58am Oct 10, 2017 11:58am
Alfonso, sorry i have question again, it's right consolidation EURCHF on the monthly?? and can i draw trendline like this after 3 CP??
Here's the EURCHF chart on the monthly :
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 44 KB

Thanks.
  • #8,844
  • Oct 10, 2017 10:16pm Oct 10, 2017 10:16pm
Quoting panoramia
Forex major EURUSD rallied strongly on the monthly creating a brand new monthly demand imbalance for potential longs. I an uptrend supply levels and zones are removed and demand imbalances are respected. Buy daily and weekly demand zones nested in that demand imbalance, this is a long term trend trade. Cheers, Alfonso {image} Supply and demand trading strategy and analysis
Hi Alphonso,

Are longs valid on D1 and H4 until within 30% of next Monthly supply? Or do we refrain from trading as we are in the middle, and should only buy below 30% or sell above 70%. See chart below. Thanks!

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDiMonthly.png Size: 46 KB
insanity: Doing the same thing over... and expecting different results -AE
  • #8,845
  • Oct 10, 2017 11:40pm Oct 10, 2017 11:40pm
Quoting qFish
{quote} Hi Alphonso, Are longs valid on D1 and H4 until within 30% of next Monthly supply? Or do we refrain from trading as we are in the middle, and should only buy below 30% or sell above 70%. See chart below. Thanks! {image}
Not trading consolidation my friend, will lean on higher timeframe imbalances. There are many pairs and assets to choose from, I am also trading stock options, I am not bothering with lower timeframe imbalances. So won't tell you if you are allowed or not to trade those, please test those a lot and reach your own conclusions, like I did. I prefer to lean on clear and strong supply and demand imbalances in a trend or at the extremes, they are no brainers and much higher odds.

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,846
  • Oct 10, 2017 11:41pm Oct 10, 2017 11:41pm
Quoting Hyena
Alfonso, sorry i have question again, it's right consolidation EURCHF on the monthly?? and can i draw trendline like this after 3 CP?? Here's the EURCHF chart on the monthly : {image} Thanks.
You tell me You are the one who should be applying the basic rules, are your drawings right or not? Try to correct yourself, it's the best way to learn!
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,847
  • Oct 11, 2017 1:11am Oct 11, 2017 1:11am
Forex pair EURGBP is rallying on the daily creating new demand zones and imbalances for potential longs. In an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand imbalances and levels are respected. The upper daily demand zone is attacking a tested Daily supply continuation pattern level of imbalance on the left.

Have a nice day!
Cheers,
Alfonsno

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 293 KB


Supply and demand trading strategy and analysis
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,848
  • Oct 12, 2017 1:39am Oct 12, 2017 1:39am
DAX 30 German Index DY1! breaking all time highs. Pausing on the weekly timeframe before a breaks out to create a potential weekly demand level on the way up if the second leg is created.

New weekly demand zones created on the way up. Longs at weekly demand zones. Clear big picture monthly, weekly and daily uptrend. This is what trading should be, trading in a clear direction at new supply and demand levels and imbalances

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax30_german_index_demand_level.png Size: 56 KB


Supply and demand trading strategy and analysis
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,849
  • Oct 12, 2017 9:49pm Oct 12, 2017 9:49pm
Quoting panoramia
{quote} Not trading consolidation my friend, will lean on higher timeframe imbalances. There are many pairs and assets to choose from, I am also trading stock options, I am not bothering with lower timeframe imbalances. So won't tell you if you are allowed or not to trade those, please test those a lot and reach your own conclusions, like I did. I prefer to lean on clear and strong supply and demand imbalances in a trend or at the extremes, they are no brainers and much higher odds. Cheers, Alfonso
Hi Alfonso, I am interested in knowing how this has worked in trading in stock options.
The way I understand, there are factors other than supply-demand like implied volatility, the greeks etc.
I think it is a whole new learning curve.

On the other hand I have found application of supply-demand to buying and selling of stocks have proved to be much more effective.
Live life king size !
  • #8,850
  • Oct 12, 2017 10:44pm Oct 12, 2017 10:44pm
can someone explain to me the definition and rules of a "WOW" long/short ?
  • #8,851
  • Oct 12, 2017 11:41pm Oct 12, 2017 11:41pm
Quoting Jgrindz
can someone explain to me the definition and rules of a "WOW" long/short ?
I would like to know this as well.
  • #8,852
  • Oct 12, 2017 11:44pm Oct 12, 2017 11:44pm
Quoting Lou
{quote} I would like to know this as well.
Quoting Jgrindz
can someone explain to me the definition and rules of a "WOW" long/short ?
They are part of more advanced setups and rules, not available in this thread since this thread is for basic setups and new traders are joining day after day.
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,853
  • Oct 12, 2017 11:45pm Oct 12, 2017 11:45pm
Quoting foxtrader16
{quote} Hi Alfonso, I am interested in knowing how this has worked in trading in stock options. The way I understand, there are factors other than supply-demand like implied volatility, the greeks etc. I think it is a whole new learning curve. On the other hand I have found application of supply-demand to buying and selling of stocks have proved to be much more effective.
There are many other factors to be taken into account to trade supply and demand levels in stock options, but it works the same, some members including myself are already trading options, we love them

Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,854
  • Oct 13, 2017 12:15am Oct 13, 2017 12:15am
Quoting panoramia
{quote} {quote} They are part of more advanced setups and rules, not available in this thread since this thread is for basic setups and new traders are joining day after day. Cheers, Alfonso
so in other words have to pay to learn further oh well thanks for the response i guess
  • #8,855
  • Oct 13, 2017 12:56am Oct 13, 2017 12:56am
Quoting Jgrindz
{quote} so in other words have to pay to learn further oh well thanks for the response i guess
Everything is explained in first post, there is nothing new. Are you paying now? No, you are not. Are you getting support? Yes, you are. You've things to learn in this thread, I believe there are lots. Remember, this is a thread on basic supply and demand setups as clearly stated in the first post, together with some simple rules to follow.

Have a great day and week!
Cheers,
Alfonso
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,856
  • Oct 13, 2017 1:03am Oct 13, 2017 1:03am
Google Alphabet #GOOGL american stock is breaking all time highs. Creating new weekly and daily demand zones. Longs at Daily and weekly demand zones in a clear bigger picture uptrend with new levels of demand being created.

Have a nice weekend
Cheers,
Alfonso

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: google_alphabet_weekly_demand_zone.png Size: 64 KB



Supply and demand trading strategy and analysis
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,857
  • Oct 13, 2017 7:34am Oct 13, 2017 7:34am
Thanks Alphonso.

Quoting panoramia
{quote} Not trading consolidation my friend, will lean on higher timeframe imbalances. There are many pairs and assets to choose from, I am also trading stock options, I am not bothering with lower timeframe imbalances. So won't tell you if you are allowed or not to trade those, please test those a lot and reach your own conclusions, like I did. I prefer to lean on clear and strong supply and demand imbalances in a trend or at the extremes, they are no brainers and much higher odds. Cheers, Alfonso
insanity: Doing the same thing over... and expecting different results -AE
  • #8,858
  • Oct 15, 2017 11:58pm Oct 15, 2017 11:58pm
Price fell short of retracing to Yesbank NSE Indian Stock weekly demand level around 319 and kept on rallying strongly in a big picture uptrend. New weekly demand level created higher around 351, price did retrace to this weekly demand imbalance, playing out nicely. Long bias at new areas of demand on Daily and Weekly timeframes.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: yesbank_weekly_demand_level.png Size: 59 KB


Supply and demand trading strategy and analysis
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,859
  • Oct 17, 2017 4:08am Oct 17, 2017 4:08am
Forex cross pair GBPJPY is rallying and creating brand new demand zones for potential longs. In an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand imbalances and zones are respected.

Cheers,
Alfonso

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 330 KB


Supply and demand trading strategy and analysis
Set and Forget supply and demand trading community
  • #8,860
  • Oct 19, 2017 3:43am Oct 19, 2017 3:43am
Forex cross pair GBPCAD has created a brand new weekly demand imbalance for potential longs. In an uptrend supply levels are removed and demand zones and imbalances are respected.

Have a nice day!
Alfonso

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 312 KB


Supply and demand trading strategy and analysis
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