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How to predict markets, Catch the moves at value

  • #3,081
  • Sep 25, 2017 6:27am Sep 25, 2017 6:27am
Quoting Dennis1468
UJ Technical outlook for next week UJ weekly outlook 114 in sight and resistance tests at 112.80 111 80. If bulls fail to defend then downside risk to 111.30. Any failure for bulls to defend would produce a range bound inside month. 112 50 108 80. (Which I am not expecting) Sentiment is bullish but lacks conviction therefore further bounce action is expected at the levels 112 80 111.80 {image}
yes bounce action continues
  • #3,082
  • Sep 25, 2017 10:57am Sep 25, 2017 10:57am
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My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #3,083
  • Sep 26, 2017 12:53am Sep 26, 2017 12:53am
Quoting Dennis1468
UJ Technical outlook for next week UJ weekly outlook 114 in sight and resistance tests at 112.80 111 80. If bulls fail to defend then downside risk to 111.30. Any failure for bulls to defend would produce a range bound inside month. 112 50 108 80. (Which I am not expecting) Sentiment is bullish but lacks conviction therefore further bounce action is expected at the levels 112 80 111.80 {image}
We approaching downside risk levels as mentioned above 111 30 is critical for Bulls to defend and if fails then downside risk as mentioned for another inside month
  • #3,084
  • Sep 26, 2017 10:57am Sep 26, 2017 10:57am
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Between the NFP lines
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #3,085
  • Sep 26, 2017 2:05pm Sep 26, 2017 2:05pm
Quoting TooSlow
{image} Between the NFP lines
Yes excellent i went in to and got out early at 112 10, A little tierd to hold any longer.
  • #3,086
  • Sep 27, 2017 9:26am Sep 27, 2017 9:26am
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112 or 114?
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #3,087
  • Sep 28, 2017 3:59am Sep 28, 2017 3:59am
Quoting Dennis1468
UJ Technical outlook for next week UJ weekly outlook 114 in sight and resistance tests at 112.80 111 80. If bulls fail to defend then downside risk to 111.30. Any failure for bulls to defend would produce a range bound inside month. 112 50 108 80. (Which I am not expecting) Sentiment is bullish but lacks conviction therefore further bounce action is expected at the levels 112 80 111.80 {image}
King of Yen
1 hr ·
UJ 9/28/2017 recap
FURTHER EXPANSION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE @ position Traders hold 112.30 @ BID IN WHICH RESISTANCE TESTS ARE AHEAD.
As Per our prior post @ TA ! Momentum is markedly bullish, And the below bullets represent the completed wave as anticipated
Resistance has expanded to 112 30 – 113 30 and if bears fail to defend 113 30 bulls will get paid at 114 50. A break of 114 50 will complete the Gap and offers sit at 115. Note @ 113 50 expect a correction wave to 112 80 before wave up to re probe 115 for some more bounce action which will include a correction wave 114 30. For my followers @ long 108 80 it would be prudent to cover risk @ 113
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  • #3,088
  • Sep 28, 2017 4:01am Sep 28, 2017 4:01am
CPI all time watch list
There are many elements in Fundamental Analysis and those elements can rise and fall in there importance in time. And as the Fed are looking to vacuum up the free money by reducing asset purchases in order to create a inflationary wave of 2%. CPI (Core Consumer Price Index) is now King. Traders will be watching CPI as the measure of inflation to ascertain Fed does not stop vacuuming.
  • #3,089
  • Sep 28, 2017 9:57am Sep 28, 2017 9:57am
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113 or 111?
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #3,090
  • Sep 29, 2017 10:59am Sep 29, 2017 10:59am
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  • #3,091
  • Edited 1:51pm Oct 1, 2017 1:35pm | Edited 1:51pm
UJ October open short term outlook and then a bit wider
Resistance narrowed as expected on Friday to a narrow range 112 80 112 30. The bullish sentiment curtailed moderately on changing sentiment due to US Tax reforms and the beginning of pricing in the potential reproductions from the Kurdish Vote.
Intraday on Monday responsive bulls will bid 111 80 and at which point Bears will try to protect stops at 113 30 and 111 80. Potential is 114 80 for bulls and 110 80 for bears.
Bulls ultimately want to get paid at 115. What’s at stake is the stops at 100 bears have been trapped there since 2016 (Good memories at this thread) and they want there money back. More bounce action expected until NFP.
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  • #3,092
  • Oct 1, 2017 1:46pm Oct 1, 2017 1:46pm
SENTIMENT ANALYSIS

Fund slightly mental!

There is no point in research on Fundamentals if one does not know how to prosper from the research. The 5th Wheel @sentiment Analysis !

Sentiment analysis basically means analysis what market participants (N no. of players)think about a particular financial asset be it stock, commodity, bond, hedge fund etc. But the most challenging task is how do we quantify, gauge or give a number to it because it is trying to summarise the opinions of different market participants and then take a call of the overall sentiment which prevails in the market.

i.e. Good Data does not mean Bullish momentum! This is not faking physics

oh lets not forget the 6 . i.e check if the economic data has already been priced in by the market.
  • #3,093
  • Edited 2:10pm Oct 1, 2017 1:57pm | Edited 2:10pm
Quoting Dennis1468
UJ October open short term outlook and then a bit wider Resistance narrowed as expected on Friday to a narrow range 112 80 112 30. The bullish sentiment curtailed moderately on changing sentiment due to US Tax reforms and the beginning of pricing in the potential reproductions from the Kurdish Vote. Intraday on Monday responsive bulls will bid 111 80 and at which point Bears will try to protect stops at 113 30 and 111 80. Potential is 114 80 for bulls and 110 80 for bears. Bulls ultimately want to get paid at 115. What’s at stake is the stops at...

oh this may help a bit more on how we got that move long in a bear market at 100...sorry i mean this may be helpful to some...
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  • #3,094
  • Oct 1, 2017 2:06pm Oct 1, 2017 2:06pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} oh this may help a bit more on how we got that move long in a bear market at 100 {image}

So all this bounce action is that range - Bulls have failed to create a new high for months Hpwever bears showed there intention with a probe at 107 so there are stops there to. Traders will Trade this by fading the range and the edges of range. Expansion will happan eventually and if your holding short side sell and long at the lower lvn then you have a strong hand that you can add to as you build up your portfolio
  • #3,095
  • Oct 2, 2017 9:37am Oct 2, 2017 9:37am
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Weekly gap fill.
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #3,096
  • Oct 2, 2017 11:57pm Oct 2, 2017 11:57pm
Quoting Dennis1468
UJ October open short term outlook and then a bit wider Resistance narrowed as expected on Friday to a narrow range 112 80 112 30. The bullish sentiment curtailed moderately on changing sentiment due to US Tax reforms and the beginning of pricing in the potential reproductions from the Kurdish Vote. Intraday on Monday responsive bulls will bid 111 80 and at which point Bears will try to protect stops at 113 30 and 111 80. Potential is 114 80 for bulls and 110 80 for bears. Bulls ultimately want to get paid at 115. What’s at stake...

Alright 113 30 hit lets see if we can get moving up to 115/NFP or before
  • #3,097
  • Oct 3, 2017 10:41am Oct 3, 2017 10:41am
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My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #3,098
  • Oct 4, 2017 4:36pm Oct 4, 2017 4:36pm
Quoting Dennis1468
{quote} Alright 113 30 hit lets see if we can get moving up to 115/NFP or before
Lets have an other go overnight
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  • #3,099
  • Oct 4, 2017 9:52pm Oct 4, 2017 9:52pm
Same rejection point overnight///////////////////big news today FMOC
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  • #3,100
  • Oct 4, 2017 10:01pm Oct 4, 2017 10:01pm
Cable Technical Outlook:
The Pound Doller remains unremarkably Bullish since rejection at 1.2000 in 2016, The waves signature represents an ascending Channel at 100% quality. Bulls will be looking to get paid at 1.3800 in November after completion of the short term inside descending probe to 1.3175 at which point Cable will ascend to its longer-term value target as within the above bullets.

Fibonacci Studies suggest 100% and 61.8% are the Value Areas and Light Sweet remain remarkably in correlation at 70% quality,
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