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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #23,381
  • Sep 16, 2017 3:19pm Sep 16, 2017 3:19pm
very interesting study

Influence of Macroeconomic Variables on Exchange Rates
  • #23,382
  • Sep 16, 2017 4:27pm Sep 16, 2017 4:27pm
Infographic: Currency and the Collapse of the Roman Empire
  • #23,383
  • Sep 17, 2017 4:19am Sep 17, 2017 4:19am
Interesting paper about forecast precision

for EURUSD go to page 24 of the pdf
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf 2010 Chech National Bank Assessment of Consensus Forecasts Accuracy.pdf   276 KB | 362 downloads
  • #23,384
  • Sep 17, 2017 12:32pm Sep 17, 2017 12:32pm
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards infiltrated US military, obtained proof of ISIS collusion – commander
  • #23,385
  • Sep 17, 2017 1:44pm Sep 17, 2017 1:44pm
Do exchange-rate forecasters herd? A note on the zloty/dollar and yen/dollar exchange rate

Abstract
We used the foreign-exchange rate forecasts of the Consensus Economics Inc. poll to analyze whether exchange-rate forecasters herd or anti-herd. Forecasters herd (anti-herd) if their forecasts are biased towards (away from) the consensus. Upon implementing a robust empirical test developed by Bernhardt, Campello, Kutsoati (2006), we found that forecasters anti-herd.
  • #23,386
  • Edited Sep 19, 2017 12:15am Sep 18, 2017 5:53am | Edited Sep 19, 2017 12:15am
Dow at price target of the elliott count ?

Sixer

Edit:
The VDAX confirms the Dow High.
Update of the the Goldman Sachs Bear Market indicator.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Dow(D)-15.9.17.gif Size: 55 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: VDAX-18.9.17.gif Size: 18 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: bearmarketindikator-gs.jpg Size: 98 KB
  • #23,387
  • Sep 20, 2017 12:09am Sep 20, 2017 12:09am
Elliott Wave outlook of the DJI based on Long Term Cycles from WaveTrack.

Sixer
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EW-DJI(Q)-15.9.17.gif Size: 43 KB
  • #23,388
  • Sep 20, 2017 11:13am Sep 20, 2017 11:13am
EURUSD

the Group-Think in the Elliotticans blogoshpere is now, that EURUSD is tracing out a textbook triangle


well, we will see
  • #23,389
  • Sep 21, 2017 9:17am Sep 21, 2017 9:17am
Dow Jones to hit 1,000,000 in 100 yrs according to Warren Buffett

so who is impressed?

around 11,14% yearly


if the FED's keep printing and the music does not stop?

in absence of any WWIII?

when the extraterrestrials keep away?

but anyway not my business - will be in Walhalla that time around
  • #23,390
  • Sep 21, 2017 9:53am Sep 21, 2017 9:53am
https://survey.sentix.de/de/ezb-satire


ROFL

sorry, only in German
  • #23,391
  • Sep 22, 2017 9:59am Sep 22, 2017 9:59am
https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/eu...alue-estimates


Can somebody point out all the funny things in this article?
  • #23,392
  • Sep 26, 2017 10:56am Sep 26, 2017 10:56am
Quoting infinitus
EURUSD the Group-Think in the Elliotticans blogoshpere is now, that EURUSD is tracing out a textbook triangle well, we will see
well, what now with the "textbook" triangle?

I love contrarian signals, wether it is from sentiment, Elliotticans or whatever......
  • #23,393
  • Sep 26, 2017 10:58am Sep 26, 2017 10:58am
pay attention to retail traders:

now they are going more and more long
  • #23,394
  • Sep 27, 2017 3:10pm Sep 27, 2017 3:10pm
  •  BaIdur
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Among the blind the oneeyed is king | 94 Posts
Quoting infinitus
Dow Jones to hit 1,000,000 in 100 yrs according to Warren Buffett so who is impressed? around 11,14% yearly if the FED's keep printing and the music does not stop? in absence of any WWIII? when the extraterrestrials keep away? but anyway not my business - will be in Walhalla that time around
IKMVL
I kugel mi vor Lachen

but... can anyone tell me why the DAX/DE30 is still rising...??
Both government parties got their worst result in history. Even the forming of an (anyway weak) coalition CDU/CSU / FDP / Green Party is rather uncertain.
(Green Party is machtgeil but has nothing much in common with the potential coalition partners).

DAX should be trading much lower actually.
Maybe later when the election will be repeated.
i'm long n'till i'm short
  • #23,395
  • Sep 27, 2017 3:19pm Sep 27, 2017 3:19pm
  •  BaIdur
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Among the blind the oneeyed is king | 94 Posts
Quoting infinitus
{quote} well, what now with the "textbook" triangle? I love contrarian signals, wether it is from sentiment, Elliotticans or whatever......
Please can someone tell me more about this possible "textbook triangle" (TF, H/L, duration etc.)...some EW specialist maybe...
That would be very kind...
I've hedged positions in E/U, which i would like to dissolve during the next weeks (+/- 0 is ok....made my % already...but don't wanna give them back)
i'm long n'till i'm short
  • #23,396
  • Sep 28, 2017 4:26pm Sep 28, 2017 4:26pm
IF THE PRICE COMPLETS THE PATERN (H&S) we can see price around 1.1600.

4H..chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Captura de ecra de 2017-09-28 22:30:50.png Size: 125 KB
  • #23,397
  • Sep 28, 2017 4:43pm Sep 28, 2017 4:43pm
Quoting BaIdur
{quote} Please can someone tell me more about this possible "textbook triangle" (TF, H/L, duration etc.)...some EW specialist maybe... That would be very kind... I've hedged positions in E/U, which i would like to dissolve during the next weeks (+/- 0 is ok....made my % already...but don't wanna give them back)
What do you think of this figure?
I think it's this triangle ... which they refer to

. Schoolbooks are textbooks.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Captura de ecra de 2017-09-28 22:42:58.png Size: 91 KB
  • #23,398
  • Sep 29, 2017 1:57am Sep 29, 2017 1:57am
Hi Baidur,

sorry for late reply:

they thought, that the textbook triangle would evolve in this way:

red ABCDE, the thrust up towards 1.23 or even higher (look at chart)

but as you can see on the chart, it failed and developed to the downside


right now it is hard to say, which way it may go over the course of the next weeks.

so far, all movements down from the top look impulsive

for a bullish tune: I do not like the position at which the recent down-move ended
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Chart_EUR_USD_8 Hours_snapshot.png Size: 71 KB
  • #23,399
  • Sep 29, 2017 10:54am Sep 29, 2017 10:54am
Glenn Greenwald: Yet Another 'Major' Russia Story Falls Apart...


LOL

It seems, some people have brain damage.......
  • #23,400
  • Sep 29, 2017 1:25pm Sep 29, 2017 1:25pm
Quoting infinitus
Glenn Greenwald: Yet Another 'Major' Russia Story Falls Apart... LOL It seems, some people have brain damage.......
Yep i just don't know if they were born like that or is it because of an accident later in their life...
Hope you're fine Marcus,have a nice week-end
better be not enough salt than too much salt
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