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AUD/NZD Daily Analysis

  • #121
  • Sep 6, 2017 4:46pm Sep 6, 2017 4:46pm
Quoting dwe213
{quote} Why?

all are predictions and nothing is for sure my friend.

i predict it will go south, he predicts that it will go north

but for sure is one thing, this pair is correlated to aud/usd and nzd/usd

and once the nzd becomes stronger than the aud, for sure the pair will fall down

the nzd has minor details and events this weeks and aud has more but the data is expected to be not good for the aud from the fundamentals

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 42 KB
GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #122
  • Sep 7, 2017 2:36am Sep 7, 2017 2:36am
I reckon that 1.102 provide strong support.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDNZDH4 R TURN S.png Size: 79 KB


I think the price can see 1.119xx and if the uptrend continue, it can touch 1.133xx for strong resistance.
Mostly weak nzd that gives aud some fuel to continue moving up
time and patient is your strongest allies
  • #123
  • Sep 7, 2017 3:50am Sep 7, 2017 3:50am
i think the resistance is too much stronger than the support, but the nzd is weak still, regardless its attempts to push higher today morning, but still the aud/usd stronger .
the resistance span is near to 1.11700 to 1.11900
if ths pair pass it to north then yes you are right but s this resistance block was being tested 1 time and retraced back to lower levels, i think the time is come that nzd will begin its movement to north this week

i still expect that audnzd will go south to limits 1.110000 to 1.09xxx
GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #124
  • Sep 7, 2017 4:00am Sep 7, 2017 4:00am
Quoting dwe213
{quote} Why?
Technically if it breaks the higher frame resistance,it has chances to go further high but I don't know fundamentals if kiwi is strong these days,i must read that to be honest.i will appreciate If any expert on this currency can enlightened us on the fundamentals
  • #125
  • Sep 7, 2017 5:01am Sep 7, 2017 5:01am
Quoting Samer1970
{quote} all are predictions and nothing is for sure my friend. i predict it will go south, he predicts that it will go north but for sure is one thing, this pair is correlated to aud/usd and nzd/usd and once the nzd becomes stronger than the aud, for sure the pair will fall down the nzd has minor details and events this weeks and aud has more but the data is expected to be not good for the aud from the fundamentals {image}
I agree with samer the gradient scales shows that AN and AU is moderately positive like +0.24 and +0.21 respectively whereas NU is moderately negative i.e +0.02,so Nu needs to pick up momentum to bring the bears to Aussie.
  • #126
  • Sep 7, 2017 6:54am Sep 7, 2017 6:54am
Quoting Samer1970
i think the resistance is too much stronger than the support, but the nzd is weak still, regardless its attempts to push higher today morning, but still the aud/usd stronger . the resistance span is near to 1.11700 to 1.11900 if ths pair pass it to north then yes you are right but s this resistance block was being tested 1 time and retraced back to lower levels, i think the time is come that nzd will begin its movement to north this week i still expect that audnzd will go south to limits 1.110000 to 1.09xxx
buy the dips on AUD/NZD and make money like me
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #127
  • Sep 7, 2017 8:05am Sep 7, 2017 8:05am
Quoting MrPresident
{quote} buy the dips on AUD/NZD and make money like me
SAME AS
SELL from THE TOPS ON AUD/NZD and make money like me in the bigger account with the other broker that you are not representing him.
GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #128
  • Sep 7, 2017 9:18am Sep 7, 2017 9:18am
Nzd is becoming stronger now
aud is becoming weaker from now
aud/nzd is goinf to south on this moment
catch the train for few pips = about 300 points = 30 pips...
GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #129
  • Sep 7, 2017 10:24am Sep 7, 2017 10:24am
I started to finance a short position.
I expect a return on investment, even weeks.
I'll see.
  • #130
  • Sep 7, 2017 11:04am Sep 7, 2017 11:04am
Quoting MrPresident
{quote} buy the dips on AUD/NZD and make money like me
fib level 61% is on 1.111,it may start falling down from next week I guess.Nu is appreciating.
  • #131
  • Sep 7, 2017 2:03pm Sep 7, 2017 2:03pm
Quoting Samer1970
Nzd is becoming stronger now aud is becoming weaker from now aud/nzd is goinf to south on this moment catch the train for few pips = about 300 points = 30 pips...
if you were to have bought near 1.102 this week, then you would have made much more pips like me
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #132
  • Sep 7, 2017 10:39pm Sep 7, 2017 10:39pm
If we are looking at the big picture, we can see that audnzd has been well supported for the couple past month.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDNZDMonthlytriangle.png Size: 99 KB


The picture show that the triangle formation has been breach, and price continue to moving up.

In the lower time frame such as H1 and H4 right now, there is a chance that audnzd in the rectracment/pullback. It is possible that the price can go to 1.09xx (daily pp) and if the price hold, it can continue moving up to 1.119 and then 1.133xx (possibly next week will give more clarity in audnzd movement)
time and patient is your strongest allies
  • #133
  • Edited 2:23pm Sep 8, 2017 2:33am | Edited 2:23pm
NU and Au is strong and this is what all we want to see AN falling ,there are all the chances that AN start falling from next week,the present move is motive move,so it is just stretching high n high
  • #134
  • Sep 8, 2017 7:48am Sep 8, 2017 7:48am
buy dip
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: download.png Size: 142 KB
Don't Worry Be Happy
  • #135
  • Sep 8, 2017 9:23am Sep 8, 2017 9:23am
It seems that NZD became weaker and weaker. Maybe next week we will see some big movement in audnzd.
The price can move fast to 1.133 if nzd weakness continue.

But currently in lower TF, I notice that price is already overbought. So maybe, if next week it hits 1.133, it can pullback down and then up real fast.
Right now, in H1 TF, it hit resistance at pivot point, but in H4 TF, it still has room to continue moving up.
so, if the price break pivot point @1.111xx, the chance that next week price moving up is very likely.
time and patient is your strongest allies
  • #136
  • Sep 9, 2017 12:08am Sep 9, 2017 12:08am
Quoting T4Trade
{quote} fib level 61% is on 1.111,it may start falling down from next week I guess.Nu is appreciating.

Fib levels are not that important at crosses. Crosses are (as name suggests) crossed quotes from aud/usd and usd/nzd. Since most of trading volume is made with majors (usd pairs), will aud nzd and other crosses obey more levels from major pairs.

Fundamentally, it sure makes sense to trade crosses, when You expect Aud/usd to rise and Nzd/usd to fall, you should just trade aud/nzd.

Letīs think that you are expecting currency 1 to fall and currency 2 to rise. and you short that pair..
You have 6 options
1. Both fall... you donīt make loss or win
2. Both rise...same outcome.
3. 1st currency falls (as expected) and other stays ranging. You make small profit
4. 2nd Currency rises, (as expected) and other stays ranging. Small profit again.
5. 1st falls and 2nd rises. You make big profit
6. 1st rises and 2nd falls. You make big loss.

So out of 6 options you will be breaking even on 2
Winning big on 1
Losing big on 1
Winning small on 2

Break evens break even (surprise)
Big win and big lose eats each others (be again)
2 small profits would be your total after 6 trades over long term...
  • #137
  • Sep 9, 2017 11:18pm Sep 9, 2017 11:18pm
A squeeze is developing @ 1.113....could force a pop up above ...or hit 113 again and then a drop....time will tell but an opportunity to buy if you still long bias. Im holding off, still holding shorts lower down.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #138
  • Sep 10, 2017 7:27am Sep 10, 2017 7:27am
Quoting axecap
A squeeze is developing @ 1.113....could force a pop up above ...or hit 113 again and then a drop....time will tell but an opportunity to buy if you still long bias. Im holding off, still holding shorts lower down.
I'm also holding short,so I am wishing to see its decend,btw wave 5 has hit as well on daily tf.NU is gaining strength and AU is weakening,Monday or Tuesday will give clarity. AU (UP) & NU (D) = AN (UP)
  • #139
  • Sep 10, 2017 11:39pm Sep 10, 2017 11:39pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDNZDH4triangle.png Size: 77 KB


Currently in H1, audnzd is under pressure, but pattern show that H1 will provide strong support @ 1.108 - 1.109.
so, unless that support is broken, there a chance that price will continue up to 1.12xx, and if that resistance broke too, it can up to 1.13xx and above
time and patient is your strongest allies
  • #140
  • Sep 11, 2017 12:33am Sep 11, 2017 12:33am
Quoting axecap
A squeeze is developing @ 1.113....could force a pop up above ...or hit 113 again and then a drop....time will tell but an opportunity to buy if you still long bias. Im holding off, still holding shorts lower down.
That was a quick ride up to 1.13 for an opening session and equally a quick rejection....one more ride up off the trend line and the squeeze will decide where to from there, or the trend line breaks...I dont know yet but will either add to my shorts or scalp another long (I'm not subject to fifo) Will only close shorts if 1.114 breaks
Its all just one persons opinion
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