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are some news releases more predictable than others?

  • #21
  • Sep 7, 2017 10:26am Sep 7, 2017 10:26am
Quoting UlliC
I firmly believe that news trading is predictable only if you have some inside information. In a standard scenario, it is just pure gambling. That is why I always try to place my positions in a such way so they won’t be affected by news releases.
If you have an open position during major news for that instrument/pair, by definitions it will affected by the news event. Might not get closed, but floating profit/loss will change in short/long term. That is the nature of the major news.

Regarding gambling, I mostly agree.

I do not entirely agree for full advantage of some inside information, UNLESS you are the major player for that instrument. Otherwise, if you are not, you dont know what bigger players have in mind. Also "some information" means "not complete information", which means you are partially entering into "gambling" territory.
  • #22
  • Last Post: Sep 7, 2017 11:19am Sep 7, 2017 11:19am
Quoting DonMalaya
{quote} i dont agree with your statement. and i agree what Samgold said .. {quote} dont u know what the "dark side" of this enviroment... wolf eating the sheep widen spread and liquidity is a part of strategies from "that" side to protect their RISK...
lol, so what? Be lucky you will need it....
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