Key To Markets - Support

EURAUD: Facing resistance at 200EMA (monthly)

1. A breakdown below 1.4730 could open to further retracement.
2. The daily bullish pattern remains.
3. Today's Aussie GDP and ECB are the risk events.

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GBPAUD: Potential extension possible if settles above the trading range.

1. Eight-day consolidation range.
2. 20DMA is the key to bulls.

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AUDJPY: Facing resistance at 50DMA.

1. Australia Q2 GDP grew 0.8%.
2. Rejected at a parallel resistance.
3. Near term trading range remains between 88.20 and 85.40

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EUR likely to peak typically.

1. The common currency remains in a consolidation phase.
2. Widely expected the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present levels.
3. Focus to quarterly staff projection on inflation forecast.
4. Euro longs were trimmed modestly

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ECB review.

1. EUR strength likely to continue to the October meeting.
2. We are watching 1.2070 and 1.2130.
3. we still believe EURUSD likely to peak typically in the near term.

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USDCAD: Retraced 50.0%. 1.2060 is the key.

1. Set of supports available on the monthly chart.
2. 200MA finds at 1.2010 and 100EMA finds at 1.1970.
3. The rate cut in January 2015 level is the key.

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Central Banks announcements this week Sep 10-16.

1. The brand new week wraps with SNB and BoE rate statements.
2. We are watching EURCHF (bullish) and USDCHF (neutral).
3. USDCHF we are watching 0.9360-0.9330 levels.

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GBPNZD update 2: We still believe the upside risk remains.

1. We have previously advised buying at 1.7940 levels a week ago.
2. Last week’s retracement re-tested the earlier breakout.

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How will the GBP react to CPI and BoE rate decision?

1. From August low’s GBP appreciated more than 3.5%.
2. Trading on a verge of a breakout.
3. CPI and BoE are the risk events.

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EURUSD: We believe the EUR dip to be bought to the October meeting.

1. This week’s EZ calendar is quiet, focus on ECB officials’ speech.
2. We still believe EURUSD likely to peak typically in the near term.
3. GBP weakness is EUR strength this week.

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Brent: The spread between WTI and Brent climbed to 5.85$ vs 4.93$ last week.

1. Rejected at 78.6%
2. Range expected between 55-50$.
3. Pattern divergence spotted between BRENT and WTI

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EURGBP: Remains in a corrective decline.

1. We are watching GBPUSD (neutral), GBPNZD (bullish) and EURGBP (mild bearish)
2. Sep 14 BoE rate announcement is the key.
3. Focus to 23.6%.

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GBP overview post CPI. BoE in focus

1. GBP risk remains to the upside.
2. Weekly trading range: 1.3500-1.3150.
3. BoE in focus.

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GBPJPY: Aiming at the higher end of the triangle.

1. Potential resistance seems between 147.75 and 148.45.
2. 100MAs (weekly) in focus.
3. Weekly range: 148.50-144

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GBPAUD: The near term extension likely to cap between 1.6610-1.6660

1. We got Aussie jobs data tomorrow (Sep14) and BoE event on Friday (Sep 15).
2. GBPAUD erased the fifteen-month descending trend line.
3. Resistances seems at 1.6610 above this 1.6660.

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USDJPY: US CPI, Retail sales and next week’s FOMC statement are the key risk events.

1. USD dominance continues against AUD,EUR,JPY,CHF,TRY and ZAR so far this week.
2. JPY cross buying demand led the USDJPY to rebound
3. A weekly close above 111.25 could push the trading range higher.

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USDZAR: We believe the price action likely to visit the higher end of the triangle.

1. USDZAR spotted with a triple bottom
2. The price pattern spotted with a symmetrical triangle.

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BoE Tightening cycle is the key.

1. EURGBP continues the corrective decline phase.
2. We shifted our focus to GBPJPY.
3. GBPUSD: Resistance 1.3500-1.3530. Strong support remains at 1.28-.2775.

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JPY crosses witness multiple bullish patterns.

1. Last week price action was the strongest in 2017.
2. Facing resistance at 50MA (monthly).
3. Rebound nearly 38.0% (118.65-107.30 fall).

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AUDJPY: Breakout looms

1. Closed above 200MA(weekly) for the first time after two-years.
2. spotted with an inverse H&S pattern.
3. Supply zone remains between 89.40-90.0.

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