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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #23,261
  • Aug 10, 2017 5:22pm Aug 10, 2017 5:22pm
E/U.. 1H chart.
Channel as guide?

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  • #23,262
  • Aug 12, 2017 2:44pm Aug 12, 2017 2:44pm
"Dear President Trump: What The F**k Business Is Venezuela Of Ours?"
  • #23,263
  • Aug 13, 2017 5:01am Aug 13, 2017 5:01am
Quoting infinitus
"Dear President Trump: What The F**k Business Is Venezuela Of Ours?"
Only a simpleton would ask such a question...

I bet he doesn't know where exactly Venezuela lies....too.

and sure he hasn't heard what the F@@@ Geopolitics means .

You made my weekend mate Infinitus...
  • #23,264
  • Aug 16, 2017 11:21pm Aug 16, 2017 11:21pm
time to abandon EW when GS is constantly using it lately?

https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/eu...rusd-downtrend
  • #23,265
  • Aug 18, 2017 1:35pm Aug 18, 2017 1:35pm
oh oh, dilemma:

when the UN told the world, that Syria was using chemicals, certain countries fell for the narrative

Now the UN comes with this:

Leaked UN Report: Saudi Coalition Responsible For Mass Child Deaths In Yemen


Will above mentioned certain countries now deny the accusations made against them?

Inquiring minds want to know.....
  • #23,266
  • Aug 19, 2017 12:04am Aug 19, 2017 12:04am
http://www.elliottwave.com/Stocks/Af...the-Difference
  • #23,267
  • Aug 19, 2017 3:22am Aug 19, 2017 3:22am
https://singulorum001.blogspot.de/20...long-term.html


recap of the counts for SP500 and DJ (our last discussion of the last week)
  • #23,268
  • Aug 19, 2017 4:00am Aug 19, 2017 4:00am
some weekend fun:

http://www.politico.eu/interactive/b...SS_Syndication
  • #23,269
  • Aug 19, 2017 4:14am Aug 19, 2017 4:14am
Quoting infinitus
some weekend fun: http://www.politico.eu/interactive/b...SS_Syndication
it says "blood and soil" i first read oil
  • #23,270
  • Aug 19, 2017 4:25am Aug 19, 2017 4:25am
Quoting Karpa
{quote} it says "blood and soil" i first read oil

ROFL

but then:

basically comes to the same :-)
  • #23,271
  • Aug 19, 2017 6:10am Aug 19, 2017 6:10am
"We Need More Suckers At The Table" - Quant Funds Stumble As Dumb-Money Disappears

I tend to say:

go, suck yourselves ROFL

snipset:




With all the geniuses in quant, high-powered computers, and enormous data, where are the "suckers" who are providing the juice for all of these absolute return quantitative strategies?

Simply put, the 'edge providers' have moved aggressively into passive index funds and broader market ETFs.

As such, we have a condition amongst the traditional quantitative strategies whereby we have robots trading against robots. Without a steady source of 'edge providers', these 'edge demanders' are just trading money back and forth with each other.

We believe increased quantitative trading coupled with passive indexation by retail, and, low levels of realized and implied volatility may be creating a feedback loop that has caused unusual price movements in a variety of securities that have challenged trading oriented strategies.




...the shift toward passive indexation by those investors who have historically been the 'edge providers' has no end in sight. While one might argue that fundamentals always win out in the end (and we agree), we need to make money over a much shorter horizon for our investors and cannot sit idle in a world where hedge funds are expected to produce regular returns and stay ahead of the curve even if fundamentals are irrational. Over my nearly 30 year Wall St. career, I am a firm believer in the adage that "the markets can stay irrational longer than we can stay solvent".




In order to exploit inefficiency, giant quant firms "need to be dwarfed by large, dumb money," Berger concluded by phone to Bloomberg.

"They’re waiting for the sucker to come to the table, but the suckers are fewer and far between."



With all the geniuses in quant, high-powered computers, and enormous data, where are the "suckers" who are providing the juice for all of these absolute return quantitative strategies?

Simply put, the 'edge providers' have moved aggressively into passive index funds and broader market ETFs.

As such, we have a condition amongst the traditional quantitative strategies whereby we have robots trading against robots. Without a steady source of 'edge providers', these 'edge demanders' are just trading money back and forth with each other.

We believe increased quantitative trading coupled with passive indexation by retail, and, low levels of realized and implied volatility may be creating a feedback loop that has caused unusual price movements in a variety of securities that have challenged trading oriented strategies.
  • #23,272
  • Aug 19, 2017 6:13am Aug 19, 2017 6:13am
The S&P 500 Is Now Overvalued On 18 Of 20 Valuation Metrics

SocGen: Stock Valuations Remain "Remarkably High" Yet Nobody Cares


Hussman Predicts Massive Losses As Cycle Completes After Fed Warns Markets "Vulnerable To Elevated Valuations"



but someone at the FED is complacent

Fed's Kaplan Admits Stock Valuations Are Elevated, But He's Not Worried For One Reason


To the Mooooooooon, forever.......
  • #23,273
  • Aug 19, 2017 6:29am Aug 19, 2017 6:29am
How sentiment measures can help in formulating investment strategies
  • #23,274
  • Aug 19, 2017 6:37am Aug 19, 2017 6:37am
https://psychsignal.com/casestudies/
  • #23,275
  • Aug 19, 2017 6:56am Aug 19, 2017 6:56am
I am digging deep into sentiment analysis. I am surprised how many companies are already there in the big data business looking out for sentiment data in regards to financials, and how many companies, funds, banks etc. already using this data.

try the following google search

https://www.google.de/search?q=finan...w=1569&bih=931
  • #23,276
  • Aug 20, 2017 1:36am Aug 20, 2017 1:36am
Quoting infinitus
time to abandon EW when GS is constantly using it lately? https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/eu...rusd-downtrend
NO.....
  • #23,277
  • Aug 20, 2017 1:38am Aug 20, 2017 1:38am
Quoting infinitus
http://www.economist.com/content/big-mac-index Big Mac Index Interactive Most people only know the raw Big Mac Index, simply comparing the prices. But there is also a GDP adjusted version of the Big Mac Index, which much better reflects the differences in the prices. raw: {image} adjusted: {image}

nice paper about Purchasing Power Parity and Big Mac Index
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf PPP and Big Mac Index FED pakko.pdf   714 KB | 540 downloads
  • #23,278
  • Aug 20, 2017 2:45am Aug 20, 2017 2:45am
Gavekal On The Coming Clash Of Empires: Russia's Role As A Global Game-Changer
  • #23,279
  • Aug 20, 2017 2:54am Aug 20, 2017 2:54am
Decent posts infinitus
Sentiment is really important

Obviously it can be affected by news events,
eg on Friday the UJ was coming of following sentiment. Then the Whitehouse announced that Bannon is being sacked and immediately ralllied
  • #23,280
  • Aug 20, 2017 3:09am Aug 20, 2017 3:09am
Comparison of the daily price patterns of the Dollar-Index and the EURUSD since the high/low of 2017. Both patterns are not finished yet.

Sixer
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