Trading Institutional Order Flow

Dear AKT, I have been watching your videos. Very, Very instructional. If I may, how can I get the third
color of your candles in the chart and what are the upper and down dot lines. Thank you

Search for 50% candle indicator in tradingview and apply to chart.

Hello everyone

GBPNZD trade idea

best wishes

Hello Akt,

What is the time frame of the second chart?

Br
Minosd

Hello minosd

It is the 4hr chart in the middle

best wishes

Hello everyone

Verizon, a US based stock in the services sector.
Long term trade idea

best wishes

Hello everyone

Supply and demand analysis.

best wishes

Thx for the video Akt, very instructive!

A little TopDown analysis on a trade I missed, currently i am in the phase of seeing the trades after they already happened :-)

Good day Akt, how would you trade setups like Verizon on the daily. With 3 possible SZ's lined up on top of another.
Of course my take is that its subjective.
i.e conservative trader would like to take the topmost level & aggressive one would take all by placing appropriate stops.
Am I right or is there something else to these level on top of level entries

I have a trade planted at the extremes ! Hope for a nice pullback. Did not want to trade the lower zone since it was somewhat wicky on the H4 .

Does anyone have any thoughts on EUR/CHF? It's been ralling ever since! Opposing HTF zones are pretty far away too.
Btw what even happened back then at 2014 that caused a 2000pip drop in a single day ?

MN:


WK:

Hi Akt and fellow traders. My a trade idea for USDJPY. What do you think about demand zone for timeframe H4?
WK
D
H4

Buddy, here's what happened on 15th Jan 2015
Go through it
https://www.economist.com/blogs/econ...st-explains-13

Thanks!

Lol! That was an EPIC day! It almost caused the downfall of FXCM too

Well I wasn't trading forex in those days, but i can imagine the turmoil it would have had on markets & traders. Truly devastating

If I may share my analysis of USDJPY. This in no way reflects on your decision to trade or not to trade.

WI is in more of a sideways trend.
D1 is in a downtrend / down momentum.
H4 has reached the SZ based off a broken momentum line.

Will wait for confirmation before placing a buy order.

I think overall I am in line with your analysis

Howdy Minosd, Vickybha, Isaacpeh and any other TIOFers who are reading this...

I just discovered that today, August 2nd is Swiss National Day - what an appropriate day to be discussing the events of January 15th 2015! As we all now know, it was on that day that the Swiss National Bank un-pegged the Swiss Franc from the Euro (Surprise!), leading to what is now known simply as the "SNB Event" (Unless of course you were long EUR/CHF that day in which case the word "Event" probably has an expletive or two in front of it!)

What happened that day is not entirely without precedent - although you'd have to go back to September 16th 1992: The UK's Black Wednesday. In a time that preceded the Euro, several european countries had entered into an Exchange Rate Mechanism ERM - essentially agreeing to peg their currencies to the then dominant european currency, the German Deutschmark. I think it was always felt that the British Pound had entered the ERM at too higher rate, and was vulnerable. Then a series of events, including a few candid words given by a Bundesbank Official to a journalist, bought the GBP right to the edge of the precipice... Meanwhile in New York, a fund manager by the name of George Soros had been watching events unfold across the pond, and as the UK Government struggled to keep the Pound afloat in the ERM - initially by using Billions in foreign currency reserves to buy Pounds, and then implementing TWO interest rate hikes in one day - Soros, sensed blood in the water. He "bet the ranch," increasing his initial $1.5Bn short position to a whopping $10Bn. At which point the Pound went into free-fall and dropped 10% - netting Soros and his Quantum Fund a cool Billion - not too shabby for a days work.

I recently discovered a great article on the subject, its a long read but includes some really interesting information on institutional trading - and to bring this rather long-winded post back to the subject of the TIOF thread, it gives us a sense of the order size that institutional players are placing. Of course the Black Wednesday event was extreme, never-the-less it gives an indication of scales of magnitude, and how even a modest institutional-size order dwarfs anything that a typical retail trader is likely to place. I think it was Michael (AKT) who asked a rhetorical question in one of his videos: Looking at a price chart, he asked, Whose charts are these? I think the point he was making was that price action is driven by the institutions - we can observe their activity by analyzing the charts, and strive to trade in sync with them.

Heres the link to the article I mentioned above. https://priceonomics.com/the-trade-o...e-soros-broke/



And as an added bonus for reading this far, a link to a video on the subject - most of the content is familiar if you've read the article, but there is one amusing anecdote in the video at 43:30 It is told by the then editor of a famous UK tabloid newspaper. Apparently he received a personal call from the British Prime Minister on the evening of Black Wednesday. The PM asked the Editor how he planned to cover the events of the day in the following morning's edition. The editor's response is stunning, and the PM's comeback is hilarious!

Anyone else thinking of going long on USD/CAD?

 

1. MN/WK Demand in control
2. WK showing reaction
3. D1/H4 Broken TL.

Very similar situations on the GBP/NZD , GBP/CAD!

I saw an entry possibility on the 8h after a DZ formed on the Daily, not the greatest zone but worth watching it after this big downmove
Indeed similar on the GBP CAD