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Help Me Establish The GbpUsd After Dinner Club 40 replies

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The Club!

  • #23,041
  • Jun 26, 2017 1:20pm Jun 26, 2017 1:20pm
Holy moly....

channel clustefuck....

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each TF with its own channels

and price can simply not decide to break any of them
  • #23,042
  • Jun 27, 2017 4:51pm Jun 27, 2017 4:51pm
Spot The Odd One Out
  • #23,043
  • Jun 28, 2017 1:31am Jun 28, 2017 1:31am
Quoting infinitus
These are my most likeliest scenarios for EURUSD the most probable first, the least one last see the text on the charts {image} {image} {image}

great: one of the three scenarios knocked out

it is the second one, which saw us in a broad triangle scenario


since the third chart is also low probability, the first chart stays the favorite one
  • #23,044
  • Jun 28, 2017 1:45am Jun 28, 2017 1:45am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} great: one of the three scenarios knocked out it is the second one, which saw us in a broad triangle scenario since the third chart is also low probability, the first chart stays the favorite one

main count:
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  • #23,045
  • Jun 28, 2017 1:56am Jun 28, 2017 1:56am
A cross check with the Dollar Index shows that wave "C" (red) - 1st chart in post #23041 - is not finished yet.
It also shows that your main count in post #23044 is not correct. Forget the parity you are waiting for.

Sixer
  • #23,046
  • Jun 28, 2017 2:35am Jun 28, 2017 2:35am
Quoting Sixer
A cross check with the Dollar Index shows that wave "C" (red) - 1st chart in post #23041 - is not finished yet. It also shows that your main count in post #23044 is not correct. Forget the parity you are waiting for. Sixer

Hi Sixer,

take a look here:

http://blog.wavetrack.com/currencies-forex-fx-video/


would support your thesis?
  • #23,047
  • Edited 4:04am Jun 28, 2017 3:38am | Edited 4:04am
No - i think that you confirm by your own experience that fixed cycle lenghts of 7.8 and 15.6 years are wrong.
The market is not "acting" in that way.

Sixer

Edit:
The Dollar Index and the EURUSD are both developing a wave "IV" since end of 2016.
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  • #23,048
  • Jun 28, 2017 7:37am Jun 28, 2017 7:37am
EU

down from today's top we have a perfect ABC so far, with C around 261% of A
  • #23,049
  • Edited 1:59am Jun 29, 2017 1:46am | Edited 1:59am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} main count: {image}

please note that I have modified the count since the low at around 1.03, in order to show the most bullish scenario I can see at the moment

now I count a pure impulse up (C-wave impulse)

red 1 is now a leading diagonal (because of many overlaps in the wave)

red 2: some would count the blue B as impulse up (and this would lead to a multiple 1-2 count), but there are simply 11 waves up and I do not like counts with missing wave 5. Also we have a nice fib relationship between blue A and blue C: it is exactly 100%

Red 4 will most likely be relatively short in price and time, when we bet on alternation between red 2 and 4. Red 2 is a long lasting, deep retracing ABC-flat.
So red 4 should be kind of small triangle (in price and time).

Ideal price target for wave 4 would now be around the support shelf at 1270. The triangle could play out ideally 14 days.

The price target for red 5 would then be between roughly 1.16-1.17, but can extend deep into the 1,20's. We can better determine that after wave red 4 is finished.
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  • #23,050
  • Jun 29, 2017 2:21am Jun 29, 2017 2:21am
Silver by Lara:

http://elliottwavegold.com/
  • #23,051
  • Jun 29, 2017 2:43am Jun 29, 2017 2:43am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} please note that I have modified the count since the low at around 1.03, in order to show the most bullish scenario I can see at the moment now I count a pure impulse up (C-wave impulse) red 1 is now a leading diagonal (because of many overlaps in the wave) red 2: some would count the blue B as impulse up (and this would lead to a multiple 1-2 count), but there are simply 11 waves up and I do not like counts with missing wave 5. Also we have a nice fib relationship between blue A and blue C: it is exactly 100% Red 4 will most likely be relatively...

alternate to this one:

blue 5 of red 3

can be counted in this way, although I do not like the idea of this ultra short 5th very much
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  • #23,052
  • Jun 29, 2017 3:12am Jun 29, 2017 3:12am
Euro 87% bulls
  • #23,053
  • Jun 29, 2017 3:12am Jun 29, 2017 3:12am
DXY 26% bulls
  • #23,054
  • Jun 29, 2017 3:13am Jun 29, 2017 3:13am
CHF 87% bulls
  • #23,055
  • Jun 29, 2017 3:14am Jun 29, 2017 3:14am
Sugar 7% bulls
  • #23,056
  • Edited 3:20pm Jun 29, 2017 7:48am | Edited 3:20pm
This month we're counting 4 consecutive positive candles
I went back counting similar patterns and found that normally Mr. Market prints 5 consecutive positives
counted also the months between highs, not meant to relate to cycles (I don't know about cycles)

The banks are suddenly hawkish, maybe we could see yet a bullish month?
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  • #23,057
  • Jun 29, 2017 9:48am Jun 29, 2017 9:48am
the hawks are eager to use their weapons, or what?

 

  1. 26

NATO Chief Says Recent Cyber Attacks Are A Call To Arms

  • #23,058
  • Jun 29, 2017 9:52am Jun 29, 2017 9:52am
Quoting infinitus
the hawks are eager to use their weapons, or what? 26 NATO Chief Says Recent Cyber Attacks Are A Call To Arms

ahhhh, now I see:

maybe they will bombarding the NSA headquater - good idea!!!
  • #23,059
  • Jun 29, 2017 11:27am Jun 29, 2017 11:27am
The latest escalation in Syria – what is really going on? (UPDATED)

Best
D.P.

Seymour Hersh leaks the true story about the pseudo-chemical attack in Khan Sheikhoun (MUST READ)
Hunting High and Low
  • #23,060
  • Jun 29, 2017 2:02pm Jun 29, 2017 2:02pm
Quoting Dr.Phoenix
The latest escalation in Syria what is really going on? (UPDATED) Best D.P. Seymour Hersh leaks the true story about the pseudo-chemical attack in Khan Sheikhoun (MUST READ)

thanks D.P. :-)

Paul Craig Roberts Warns "The World Is Going Down With Trump"


then


Seymour Hersh: US Lied About Syrian Chemical Attack Then Bombed Them Anyway

then

White House Accuses Syria Of Planning Another Chemical Attack, Warns "Will Pay Heavy Price"


then

Syria Denies Plans For A Chemical Attack As Russia Slams US Warning As "Unacceptable"
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