roger44's bin

US President Trump saying now he does not like the TPP deal for the US
https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/us-...he-us-20180418

kim went to meet xi (china);
and then
trump went to meet abe (japan).

trump did not listen to abe about coming back to tpp,
trump wants benefit from exports but tpp only help less cost on imports.
trump is not interested in solving the trade balance's red number actually.

*****
Trump: I would much prefer a bilateral deal with Japan
https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/tru...japan-20180418

trump said "I would much prefer a bilateral deal with Japan".
trump wants to break the country relationships on each group.

will trump take a chance for making an asia tour trip after the trump-to-kim meeting ?

if yes, the route can be started from korea (meeting take place in korea) :
-> russia -> china -> vietam -> singapore -> philippines -> australia & new zealand
-> back to usa.

except russia & china, all are tpp's countries and/or south asia countries, (逐個擊破) to break multilateral trading relationship in order to make bilateral way (trump wanted) and maintain military border.

the drawn route shape on paper map just like a question mark (not include korea & usa).

中國沒有公司像麥當勞，肯德基，可口可樂等的國際性鏈鎖店或飲品在美國去賺錢，對於中國來說是一個問題。

今朝看電視新聞，説特朗普想要葯物價格下降(美國藥業股價上升)，是不是想增加進入中國藥業市場，打擊未來中國藥業市場發展。

當美國貨品增加入口，中國未來就會進入品牌代言人印象戰，如當年在日本，活士、佐敦...等等，他們的代言貨品，以至其他。

Bulletin Vol. 81, No. 4, May 2018
Aspects of implementing unconventional monetary policy in New Zealand
https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/-/media/Res...18may81-04.pdf
or
https://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=768324

the above document is really excellent, which help people to learn worldwide major monetary policies .

firstly, it discusses the major countries' monetary policy methods currently in use but as it says its country is small and open on economics due to the agricultural type mainly. at first sight, it looks like it wants us (to do some analyze to help) to give some advices to do multiple-choice to select the best method out of the mentioned several methods but it strongly recommends the LSAPs method in order that from its diagram (Figure 3 Stylised transmission channels of LSAPs to demand and inflation) :


from the diagram, the exchange rate and the interest rate are directly single-directional-arrowed to the inflation-and-growth (not bi-directional arrow) that implies it does not want to use trump's method (to talk up the inflation, then increase both the interest rate and the exchange rate in order to further back to increase inflation further), that means it only wants to invest oversea to have enough to feel better first (e.g. invest in japan and european countries) to earn money and then increase the interest rate in order to raise nz interest rate and then nz exchange rate.

finally, it will raise the inflation and growth on nz will happen.
(as not a nz citizen, so cannot help too much.)

it is too hot,
needs to build some fountains (太陽能噴水池) and water-taps like 十二生肖銅頭出水口.
cooling effect and remove dusts including pm2.5.

中國傳統智慧 ：東方晴時，西方雨。(反之亦然)

italy situation if i understand right :

italy situation is not using EUR but still stay in european country (ec) community, that is the difference between italy and britain.
so maybe called EUROXIT that any countries not use euro anymore from euro-zone.
after italy not use euro, italy have to use its own kinds of currency that normally hooks to euro similar to CHF.
but italy can print money note as many as italy wants, and in order to pay back the euro-zone countries, that is a simple thing.

due to Trump's tariffs (steel and aluminum) on most countries,
australia will take the benefits
so aud/usd will rise soon like a rocket.

應該製造一些組合屋能浮在溶岩之上,來換取火山灰,去沙漠製造有用土地.(幫助有難的國家,更好的外交)

for the trade-war,
at this moment,

just talk (between usa & china) but when will start to pay the money for the tax (no action and no reaction actually now, no worries actually now) ?

what about g6 of g7, when will canada (as the usa's neighbor) & european-union start the 1st tax-cannon on this trade-war (this will be the real start)?

after the trump-kim meeting, this period is actually a honeymoon period for kim to say hello to some non-usa union countries leader, even only by phone (china leader can help).

上星期六下午，開了電視，看了羅家聰那個投資月論壇的一段，內容很好，給了我brainstorming的時間，想了很多，用他的內容來重看恒生指數的圖，就好像是將互聯網的硬件連接技術和制式，還有品牌，演變，一一放在圖的點上。
但也許想得太多，這幾天腦袋不負擔得來，哈哈！

during to this period near independence day (usa national day),
their stock markets may be getting quiet soon normally,
and hope trump can bring peace to all the trade worlds.

hope he can be happy on his holiday.
will he post less on twitter?

gbp : overseas students for interest rate up chance;
china mainland and hongkong : single day shopping;
usa : thanksgiving and christmas shopping.

英國：
現時連 Boris Johnson 也離開政府，已經有足夠人數作為第二梯隊，當它們的國民的支持率下降至一定程度，英女皇大可將Theresa May 換了，因她太接近 Trump 了，我相信本來英女皇認為新生兒 Louis 可以成為國民的精神支柱，蓋過脱歐所産生的問題，但係 Trump 要到英國來訪就是一個新的終結或者是開始，要看多大的迴響了？Johnson 有着倫敦人的特質 。

“殖民地”，這個字對於英國來說，在過去歷史上是榮耀，但現在如果政治上或商貿上英國成為歐盟的殖民地就是羞辱。

Queen Elizabeth can put the two pictures of Theresa May and Boris Johnson, to let Baby Prince Louis to pick for doing UK PM, to select the best.
(Baby not lies.)

中國：
現在的處境與與已往的五千年中國歷史很不同，已往中國是以強國的身份來對着周邊的國家，所以現在的中國要到其他國家買入當地的歷史書反過來用，用以小國對大國的戰略，中國有足夠的人才去譯文。

剛剛睡醒過來了，今天精神好多了，終於明白事情了，我們可以想像 Trump 就是一個維京人，就會很容易的對應了。

i personally think that the meaning of golfing for trump can the period of brainstorming rather than relaxing.
in a golf course, a random scene can giving a lot visual stimulation on thinking.

was that golfing all for the putin meeting?