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The Swamp

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  • Post #38,621
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  • Aug 5, 2019 6:43am Aug 5, 2019 6:43am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
A few datapoints atm: H1 Uptrend stop 1.1093 H4 Downtrend stop 1.1162 Day Downtrend stop 1.1303 Week Downtrend stop 1.1365 Month Downtrend stop 1.2346
Ignored
testing H4 stop atm... 2 hours 20 mins to go..
I added a short at 1163.
 
 
  • Post #38,622
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 6:47am Aug 5, 2019 6:47am
  •  thelws
  • Joined Nov 2008 | Status: Member | 2,055 Posts
Taking a small short here.1161. Tight stop 1168. tp10 pips.
 
 
  • Post #38,623
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 6:54am Aug 5, 2019 6:54am
  •  thelws
  • Joined Nov 2008 | Status: Member | 2,055 Posts
Quoting thelws
Disliked
Taking a small short here.1161. Tight stop 1168. tp10 pips.
Ignored
lol looks like eu bulls are not done yet. will try again at 1188
 
 
  • Post #38,624
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 6:57am Aug 5, 2019 6:57am
  •  dmacfx
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 27 Posts
Quoting dmacfx
Disliked
Gday Legends Surprised no mention of the 1.1027 level in here. Prior to it being hit Thursday last week of course. Looks like a nice juicy mid to me. Thoughts anyone? Happy pippin!
Ignored

Looks like a good setup to me

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  • Post #38,625
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 6:57am Aug 5, 2019 6:57am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
8/5/2019 levels, next to print 1169 or 1098...55 adr atm... WP R2 ----------1.1182 MP PP ----------1.1169 RU R3 ----------1.1151 WP R1 ----------1.1150 FP R3 ----------1.1144 RU R2 ----------1.1130 FP R2 ----------1.1126 RU R1 ----------1.1117 FP R1 ----------1.1115 WP PP ----------1.1099 FP PP ----------1.1098 RU S1 ----------1.1091
Ignored
1169 printed... next to print 1182... pa may go there for option expiry level.1175-1180..

WP R2 ----------1.1182
MP PP ----------1.1169
RU R3 ----------1.1151
WP R1 ----------1.1150
FP R3 ----------1.1144
RU R2 ----------1.1130
FP R2 ----------1.1126
RU R1 ----------1.1117
FP R1 ----------1.1115
WP PP ----------1.1099
FP PP ----------1.1098
RU S1 ----------1.1091
 
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  • Post #38,626
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 6:59am Aug 5, 2019 6:59am
  •  dmacfx
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 27 Posts
Quoting dmacfx
Disliked
{quote} Looks like a good setup to me {image}
Ignored

next stop 1296 im thinking
 
 
  • Post #38,627
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  • Aug 5, 2019 7:05am Aug 5, 2019 7:05am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
US markets will open with big gap down.. thanks Trump for his trading war...devalue dollar ...it doesn't help stock markets that he is so proud of..
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #38,628
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 7:50am Aug 5, 2019 7:50am
  •  BlueCirrus
  • Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Member | 1,271 Posts
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It was mentioned a time or two...

Quoting dmacfx
Disliked
Gday Legends Surprised no mention of the 1.1027 level in here. Prior to it being hit Thursday last week of course. Looks like a nice juicy mid to me. Thoughts anyone? Happy pippin!
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Given the ranging price action of the last six months, it wouldn't be surprising to see it back up there again...But I would expect to see 1.1100 - 1.1101 first. I suspect that it may even take until late summer to get that 1026 target...
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Probably posted that a dozen times since last August -- It's taking the slow boat, but less than 100 pips away now. {image} The dollar index is also falling in line -- 98.91x or so......... {image}
Ignored
quote=BlueCirrus;12220640]{quote} 1315 has completed with a good probability that the UM at 1330x is also taken.....It's not a good idea to ignore the norm - or the bigger picture. 109.45 - 1.1026 is still the target that set up 14 months ago. CL's upside potential will bear out over the coming weeks...Go ahead and put on "the big short" if you think it won't....lol... C-YA[/quote]

Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
Wasn't around to trade it, but it looks like they sold the H4 200 EMA and bought it back at the LM......................Always easy to see after the fact........ Oh, and the same 'ol target is still in effect. (109.45 - 1.1026) C-YA {image}
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Yeah, after 0945 - 1026, which is a year long normal pullback in a larger 3100 - 3400 sequence....(Which is part of an even larger bear sequence)..... Still marking its territory BTW.... {image}
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
I must be the only bear within a hundred miles....lol It needs to break this terminus mofu - If not, then 35 ticks are locked. ...........And the S&P futures bounced at 2368 and 2316.75 instead of the 2375 and 2307 that I mentioned a couple of days ago. Sooner or later, that year long 945 - 1026 sequence will complete. Good luck! Edit: Have 40 locked now {image}
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Lol...1.0945 - 1.1026...............Been on that road for almost a year.............Nothing has changed Gotta run...CYA....
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} 945 - 1026 still on the table......... {image}
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Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Thanks......That fits in pretty well with the 945 - 1026 pullback sequence that I've been tracking most of this year.
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
The 945 - 1026 pullback sequence before up still looks to be on track.......... {image}
Ignored
quote=BlueCirrus;11668683]{quote} Closing under last week's LC would help out the 945-1026 sequence that I've been tracking for months, and it's certainly plausible given recent PA. Mentioned earlier that 1526 is also the LM of the late summer bull swing - The numbers are actually LM = 1.15271, MID = 1.15574 and UM = 1.15877............ I have a reasonable, but slightly fuzzy proj. into that area atm.............. There's also the October 15th swing high daily LC at 1.15895.[/

Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Hmmm...The 1.1526 small norm is still there. The market likes to reverse at 155.9 projs. and at the time of this posting on October 28th, it had only achieved the 150 proj. It has since completed not only the 155.9 bear proj., but the 169.1, which is the 175 UM. I am seeing several of these 175 series as opposed to the more typical 150 - 200 - 225 series. 1.1526 is not only a small norm, but it is also the LM for the August 15th thru September 24th bull swing. At this point, I suspect that 1.1526 might just be a bump in the road on the way...
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
I show a short term H4 norm at 1.1526x with a bullish engulfing daily bar to help it out, and a 95.40 target on the DX. The primary direction is still toward 0944/1026. For the very short term (M15/M30), I have a fuzzy target at 1.1360x - 1.1377x. Good luck!
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
Four nested sequences on the road to 944/1026.......... Weekly, Daily, H4 and H1.......... Gotta run...C-YA {image} {image} {image} {image}
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Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Yeah, 1300 is a BRN, so likely will see some reaction there. The corrective H4 I've been following since mid August is now officially retired - (Couldn't take it off the chart until the LM was taken out). I'm too busy with other stuff to do much trading right now, but here's what I have atm,(1614x rather than 1645x) with only minimal evidence to support it though. The bigger picture is still 0944/1026, then up. Once again, gotta run............Good luck with it! {image}
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} {quote} Market appears to be uninterested in giving a higher level to short from for the time being. My focus remains on the sequence that I have been following for the last 12 or 14 months and it's corrective sequence since mid August. 1.14474 (19 month halfback mid) and 1.14447 (LM of the corrective H4 sequence) are the numbers that I'm watching closely. A bounce from the LM can take it to 1630 - 1652, and a bounce from halfback can take it to 1925-2001. All of this is on the road to 0944/1026 with one big question mark - Will the corrective...
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} {quote} Void 1.2054.... This has been an H4 corrective sequence on the road to 1.10267/1.09457, and, at this point, I think it has completed. This was an outside down week and now it's likely that no further upside beyond possibly 1732/41 norm/UM is going to occur before 1.1026/1.0945. The logic on the retracement after 1st target is the same on this weekly chart as it was on the H4 corrective sequence chart mentioned in the quoted post above. Here's a chart showing the bigger view, which I momentarily lost...
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Yeah, playing it cautiously here...still at this point think higher (above 1733) before 1026, but it may want 144Xx(LM) before going higher.... Seems like we've mentioned 1.14474 before...lol See notes on chart... {image}
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} I've only been tracking this sequence with 1026 on the chart for three weeks......What's that old saying? ---"Ya' better dance with the one that "brung" ya."...lol Had a limit buy set overnight just above 1516 and it missed by six ticks.... {image}
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Slightly different swing....still tracking 2054/1026 with 180Xx in the path.... {image}
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
I would consider a short at 1715 with a tight stop since the direction is still up, near Tuesday's LC, but also for other reasons..... I would then look to buy at 1619 - 1621 near last weeks LC, and for additional reasons, also because the direction is still up for just a bit more, and the upside is still 1791 - 1803 - 1810 in the short term.... 2054 is the sequence, but 945 - 1026 has not been hit yet, so at this point, I suspect the low 1800's may turn it back down.... Academic right now though since I don't often...
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
944 - 1026 is still my "preferred" sequence, with 1678 - 1163 wrapped up in it....... The "boyz" may want to accumulate a few more shorts at better prices before taking it home Gator's LC analysis will usually shine the light.
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Lol...Yes, that's why I chart every possibility I think of - so it won't be too much of a surprise when it starts to move that direction. Our levels are pretty much the same, but I use the word "norm" to always refer to a projection leg mid (1.1026 in the case of the sequence shown above). And I refer to 1.1446 as "halfback", which of course, is mid of the entire move. The market reacts to both of those levels, but in my observation, much more reliably to the P.L. norm.....and I look at 225 more so as the...
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Yep, the 1.1026 dog is marking his territory pretty clearly..... We may stretch the ADR some and see the larger LM @ 1.1316x or # 13 @1.1313x on this 1026 sequence, since the bounce to 1504-6 didn't materialize... {image}
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} Yeah, the closes will ultimately determine the path, but a re-test of the breakout level at 1.1506 seems feasible atm....That is also #11 on the 1.1026 tracking chart that I posted several minutes ago.
Ignored
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{quote} I have 98.60 eventually for the DX and 1.1026(Norm) area for the EUR...... Also have your 1456 norm with 1459 UM and a baby 225 bull proj. into 1459.... Trading the ES only so far today since I missed all the fireworks yesterday afternoon and last night on the Eur...lol {image}
Ignored
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  • Post #38,629
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 8:02am Aug 5, 2019 8:02am
  •  dmacfx
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 27 Posts
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{image} It was mentioned a time or two... {quote} {quote} {quote} quote=BlueCirrus;12220640]{quote} 1315 has completed with a good probability that the UM at 1330x is also taken.....It's not a good idea to ignore the norm - or the bigger picture. 109.45 - 1.1026 is still the target that set up 14 months ago. CL's upside potential will bear out over the coming weeks...Go ahead and put on "the big short" if you think it won't....lol... C-YA
Ignored
{quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} quote=BlueCirrus;11668683]{quote} Closing under last week's LC would help out the 945-1026 sequence that I've been tracking for months, and it's certainly plausible given recent PA. Mentioned earlier that 1526 is also the LM of the late summer bull swing - The numbers are actually LM = 1.15271, MID = 1.15574 and UM = 1.15877............ I have a reasonable, but slightly fuzzy proj. into that area atm.............. There's also the October 15th swing high daily LC at 1.15895.[/ {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote}[/quote]


There it is! Its a beautiful thing .... I should pay more attention to this thread haha

Happy pippin Blue Cirrus love your work
 
 
  • Post #38,630
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 8:06am Aug 5, 2019 8:06am
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 7,567 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
US markets will open with big gap down.. thanks Trump for his trading war...devalue dollar ...it doesn't help stock markets that he is so proud of.. {image}
Ignored
Also built up shorts. Latest addition is 1179. ADR already about 80 pips from Asia's low. May not be much juice for further up movement. N.Y. may take price down a while. Hopefully I can book all at 1150.
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/mitiblotch/mt5-10567385/9464692
 
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  • Post #38,631
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 8:23am Aug 5, 2019 8:23am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
[quote=BlueCirrus;12421828]{image} It was mentioned a time or two...


omg.. you are back ...I was worried about you since your last post.....glad to see you again.....
 
 
  • Post #38,632
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 8:27am Aug 5, 2019 8:27am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
Quoting Mitiblotch
Disliked
{quote} Also built up shorts. Latest addition is 1179. ADR already about 80 pips from Asia's low. May not be much juice for further up movement. N.Y. may take price down a while. Hopefully I can book all at 1150.
Ignored
It may within 24 hours...
 
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  • Post #38,633
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 8:28am Aug 5, 2019 8:28am
  •  jaylovin
  • Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 2,841 Posts
Start one short at 1177
 
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  • Post #38,634
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 9:29am Aug 5, 2019 9:29am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
{quote} 1169 printed... next to print 1182... pa may go there for option expiry level.1175-1180.. WP R2 ----------1.1182 MP PP ----------1.1169 RU R3 ----------1.1151 WP R1 ----------1.1150 FP R3 ----------1.1144 RU R2 ----------1.1130 FP R2 ----------1.1126 RU R1 ----------1.1117 FP R1 ----------1.1115 WP PP ----------1.1099 FP PP ----------1.1098 RU S1 ----------1.1091
Ignored
bulls printed my last level..

WP R2 ----------1.1182
MP PP ----------1.1169
RU R3 ----------1.1151
WP R1 ----------1.1150
FP R3 ----------1.1144
RU R2 ----------1.1130
FP R2 ----------1.1126
RU R1 ----------1.1117
FP R1 ----------1.1115
WP PP ----------1.1099
FP PP ----------1.1098
RU S1 ----------1.1091

2
 
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  • Post #38,635
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 10:06am Aug 5, 2019 10:06am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
see I can get this one right,,.
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  • Post #38,636
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 10:11am Aug 5, 2019 10:11am
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 91,797 Posts
Quoting BlueCirrus
Disliked
{image} It was mentioned a time or two... {quote} {quote} {quote} quote=BlueCirrus;12220640]{quote} 1315 has completed with a good probability that the UM at 1330x is also taken.....It's not a good idea to ignore the norm - or the bigger picture. 109.45 - 1.1026 is still the target that set up 14 months ago. CL's upside potential will bear out over the coming weeks...Go ahead and put on "the big short" if you think it won't....lol... C-YA
Ignored
{quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} quote=BlueCirrus;11668683]{quote} Closing under last week's LC would help out the 945-1026 sequence that I've been tracking for months, and it's certainly plausible given recent PA. Mentioned earlier that 1526 is also the LM of the late summer bull swing - The numbers are actually LM = 1.15271, MID = 1.15574 and UM = 1.15877............ I have a reasonable, but slightly fuzzy proj. into that area atm.............. There's also the October 15th swing high daily LC at 1.15895.[/ {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote} {quote}[/quote]
man we thought u bit the bullet, good to see ya.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #38,637
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 10:20am Aug 5, 2019 10:20am
  •  gatorinla
  • Joined Oct 2008 | Status: sideline is a position | 91,797 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
{quote} I just woke up... short one here 1151...
Ignored
me too again.. LOL
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
 
 
  • Post #38,638
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 10:27am Aug 5, 2019 10:27am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
Disliked
{quote} me too again.. LOL
Ignored
Dow down over 500 points...
 
 
  • Post #38,639
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 10:28am Aug 5, 2019 10:28am
  •  Boulder
  • Joined Jul 2014 | Status: Member | 24,799 Posts
Attached Image
 
 
  • Post #38,640
  • Quote
  • Aug 5, 2019 10:35am Aug 5, 2019 10:35am
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 7,567 Posts
Quoting Boulder
Disliked
{quote} Dow down over 500 points...
Ignored
Now you begin to wonder what Trump achieved with his stupid tweets. Well, EU just hit 1.1200 (1.1199 actually). Maybe we can now retrace. What a run. One way, no retrace.
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/mitiblotch/mt5-10567385/9464692
 
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