Disliked{quote} What I think we are all trying to find is whether there is a static formula to tell us quickly when something is amiss.Ignored
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Is Grid Trading (combined trend following and counter trend) Profitable? 3 replies
Making a good diversified portfolio 10 replies
Diversified EA Money Management Code 10 replies
HAMA PAD - A Simple Trading Approach 7 replies
Trading a (semi) automatic approach...but want more 11 replies
Disliked{quote} What I think we are all trying to find is whether there is a static formula to tell us quickly when something is amiss.Ignored
DislikedI agree. You get two bites at the risk management cherry with diversified trend following. Diversification itself helps dilute any negative impacts associated with a flash crash event that you simply cannot passively ride as a trend follower (such as the 'almost' instantaneous Swissy event) PLUS trend following itself ensures that you trade on the correct side of any sustained protracted price movement. You certainly cover your risk management bases with this philosophy and is why IMO this technique reigns supreme in the world of trading. It is...Ignored
QuoteDislikedThis uncertainty in any nested open system/s actually guarantees that there will be periods of sustained asymmetrical anomaly that can be exploited by those that simply follow price and flies in the face of normal distributions that are an artifact of simplified mathematics and not representative of the reality of open/nested systems. Thermodynamic fact (the second Law): Any theoretical closed system will over time obey principles of entropy and tend toward equilibrium. Any open or nested system will never achieve equilibrium (effective random fully...
Disliked{quote} I agree mate. I think it is as simple....or as hard....as your philosophy suggests. If you can be around to take advantage of this simplicity in an inefficient market then that's all there is to it... :-)Ignored
DislikedThe way I look at it, there is no alternative other than following trends. Not even non-participation. When a mania grips the world price will travel along the path of least resistance and the only prudent choice is to be a speculator who gets in not too early and gets out not too late (and not too prematurely either). Any other class of player will lose either money or opportunity.Ignored
Disliked{quote} I see. better. ok, semi automated?..Downloaded bunch of Linear regression / standard deviation tools. Manually user defines how many candles back it will be calculated. - so the starting point. Or there is some XX number that mainly is used as 100 MA 50 MA or some other?Ignored
Disliked{quote} with so many trades in place in-out what is your average holding period in general 1h,4h,1d system? At 3% you stop that would mean around...Ignored
QuoteDisliked.... My mantra is that I never miss a good trade so i simply trade breakouts (higher highs or lower lows). I simply trade breakouts, but with a bit more finesse you could probably improve results if you restrict your trade entries on lower timeframes to when price enters these retracement zones on the MN chart. Look closely where price currently sits on the right edge of the chart. Clearly we have a reversal of trend in place as price is now well below the lower SDC of the previous bull trend. In fact it signalled a trend end 2 months back. Now...
Disliked@ 21vs7 As far as your query regarding average holding periods for the discretionary systems described in the prior post, here are my stats for the discretionary systems used in this thread since 1/1/2015: M30 Timeframe - Trade frequency since 1/1/2015 = 551 - Average Hold per Trade = 5.16 days H1 Timeframe - Trade Frequency since 1/1/2015 = 311 - Average Hold per Trade = 9.31 days H4 Timeframe - Trade Frequency since 1/1/2015 = 136 - Average Hold per Trade = 19.5 days D1 Timeframe - Trade Frequency since 1/1/2015 = 77 - Average Hold per Trade =...Ignored
Disliked{quote}One technical question. Have you stumbled on any tool which offers good environment on multicurrency (atm 21 pairs) and multitimeframe Forex? I am planning to set up my own database in mysql - im recording the mt4 from feb16. And from there Ill try to connect all this data to R or Phython.Ignored
Disliked{quote} What is your level to say that sample/result is relevant or insufficent as in W1 and MN periods?Ignored
Disliked{quote} At the moment I have elected to do all my portfolio backtesting using MS Excel. It has been a bit of effort getting the models automated but well worth it as like you, I am not a proficient programmer.....but I really need to know what is going on so that's my path at the moment. Excel with MSAccess is a pretty powerful combined system and I have yet to incur any obstacles or limitations if you know what you are doing and have some VB skills up your sleeve (or a friend who has those skills). If I had to choose between systems for solid backtesting...Ignored
Disliked{quote} ok, i know you already talked about that connection mt4-excel-msacces. ill find it. When time is right ill need more about thathttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6EsfztAmcJY ya, somewhere there is always time for vino or gintonic ! cheers
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DislikedWhether or not they are the next Enron......you gotta laugh at the blatant stupidity of greedy investors or fund managers with ticket's on themselves (including Ackman). Enjoy CIgnored
DislikedWhy I am a Generalist and Not a Specialist There are two broad philosophies with Technical Analysis that govern how you approach trading the markets and while each have their own merits, the result is a diametrically opposed way of doing things.Ignored
Dislikedhi @copernicus some way ı didnt find your thread earlier cuz ı read ff before ı become member short time ago. my english not so good so be carefulı read some of your posts not much 4-5 and ı come to a result how you trade in generel.ı wan to put my findings here and pls correct me after you read.
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Dislikedyour number of loses must be bigger then your winner trades.ı say win/loss rate trading with good rrr monthly weekly chart trades including more fundumental analyses, ı can say you dont trade fundumental directly but its working back in your mind daily and smaller are more rr based trades.better the rr corolated with higher tf positioning is the better entry rather then anything greenpipsIgnored