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Unexpected USD strength in the last few hours

  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Sep 21, 2007 6:42am Sep 21, 2007 6:42am
  •  Subdude
  • | Joined Aug 2007 | Status: If it walks like a duck... | 1,144 Posts
Has anyone noticed the incredible run of the dollar in the last four hours? From 02:30 to 06:30 EST:

USD/JPY: +100 pips
USD/CHF: +80 pips
AUD/USD: -80 pips
USD/CAD: +80 pips

I rounded the gains to +/- 10 pips, but you get the idea. The only currency still holding its ground against usd is gbp. It baffles me that I do not comprehend the forces behind such strong moves. Has the market simply gotten tired of selling the dollar and decided to buy some, for a change? I look at the same economic calendar just like everyone else but there seems be no obvious explanation for this rally - what am I missing?
  • Post #2
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  • Sep 21, 2007 6:58am Sep 21, 2007 6:58am
  •  FaholoFX
  • | Joined May 2006 | Status: Member | 74 Posts
Exhaustion, fib extensions hit in some cases, end of the week profit taking, those are just a few of the reasons I can come up with.

Edit: Forgot to add that a couple of major banks, JP Morgan and RBS, now project an ECB rate cut in the near future.
  • Post #3
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  • Last Post: Sep 21, 2007 7:42am Sep 21, 2007 7:42am
  •  HalifaxCB
  • | Joined Apr 2007 | Status: Ich habe genug | 551 Posts
It's friday, a lot of specs will be closing trades for the w/e, especially after a week like this one. But the size of the move is not all that unusual...
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