Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

Quoting panoramia

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{quote} You are asking a question that nobody knows my friend Why did price not respect an area? You think I know that? I can tell you the odds, that's all. Using a single timeframe is not enough to assess the odds of an imbalance, you need at least three. Unless you upload a top down analysis on that instrument, I won't be able to give you any feedback. Cheers, Alfonso www.set-and-forget.com

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Quoting mageva

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Hi, I really appreciate what you are doing here . I have a simple question if you please can give me a clear answer Why did the price respect the demand zone (2) but did not do the same with (1)? I need to know what is wrong or even what is the difference? thanks. {image}

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Quoting relaxtrading

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Hi Alfonso I just wanted to ask you what do you do when you have a down trend monthly chart and a uptrend weekly and daily chart ?. Do you take long or shorts or do nothing ? It can take a few years for a monthly chart to change trend. At some point chart time frame contradict each other. I understand the importance of knowing levels of supply or demand on monthly and weekly but deciding the trend base on three time frame can be very subjective. thanks

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Quoting panoramia

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{quote} You are asking a question that nobody knows my friend Why did price not respect an area? You think I know that? I can tell you the odds, that's all. Using a single timeframe is not enough to assess the odds of an imbalance, you need at least three. Unless you upload a top down analysis on that instrument, I won't be able to give you any feedback. Cheers, Alfonso www.set-and-forget.com

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Quoting heispark

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{quote} Sam Seiden's theory is based on Bank orders imbalanced. Now participation ratio from banking sectors in FX market shrank quite a lot, and algorithm based flash traders and hedge funds are replacing them instead. Supply/demand theory may not work very well nowadays compared to several years ago. Market changes all the time. Read Bloomberg report (do Google search). EDIT: This is the Bloomberg report.

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Quoting nacbasnba

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I don't have the indicator that show the base candles. The one that have dot inside the candle. could anyone give me that?

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Quoting nacbasnba

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I don't have the indicator that show the base candles. The one that have dot inside the candle. could anyone give me that?

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Quoting jackeollio

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{quote} Your statement "...Supply/demand theory may not work very well nowadays compared to several years ago." is wrong. Although methods used to calculate Supply and Demand vary considerably, some being far more accurate and reliable than others, Supply and Demand will always be the best approach to explain market behavior for any given asset class. Financial markets are cyclical meaning they continuously alternate between cycles of supply and demand. In any market, price fluctuations occur exclusively as a result of changes in market supply and...

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Quoting Pactiontrade

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Supply hit at Gbpusd {image}

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Quoting panoramia

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{quote} One single timeframe is NOT enough to make a trading decision, at least using my rules set using supply and demand. Cheers, Alfonso www.set-and-forget.com

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Quoting panoramia

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{quote} I completely agree with you. Thanks for sharing your views on supply and demand! Happy new year! Alfonso

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Quoting Deepbl6u

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Where i can find all the rules?

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Quoting Cobra

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{quote} Not sure what did i miss here. the market had a 80 plus point reaction on the demand zone 1. It did not make a complete U turn , but it definitely gave a trading opportunity. All D/S zones are not complete market turns , BUT tradeable depending on the trader....... All zones do not react in the same way ( Candle/pattern wise) Do not expect the same reaction over and over at a S&D level. My comments are for Mageva... Good work Alfonso. Very good thread.

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