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Auslanco - GBP/JPY and GBP/USD (newstrade)

  • #98,761
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:18pm Jul 2, 2008 2:18pm
to raise by .25 tomorrow; Oil at record highs (plenty more upside); now, if Europe can open deep into the red (after Asia) then Dow can/should fall way below March lows....Oh, and by-the-way, goodbye dollar: you once had our respect

http://www.lilith-ezine.com/articles...ilet-Paper.jpg
  • #98,762
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:25pm Jul 2, 2008 2:25pm
Quoting ukvipersden
to raise by .25 tomorrow; Oil at record highs (plenty more upside); now, if Europe can open deep into the red (after Asia) then Dow can/should fall way below March lows....Oh, and by-the-way, goodbye dollar: you once had our respect

http://www.lilith-ezine.com/articles...ilet-Paper.jpg
The dollar has already lost it. Against the GBP, and soon the EUR. But I'm still bullish GJ , EJ, even UJ though I dont trade it.
  • #98,763
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:29pm Jul 2, 2008 2:29pm
Quoting ukvipersden
to raise by .25 tomorrow; Oil at record highs (plenty more upside); now, if Europe can open deep into the red (after Asia) then Dow can/should fall way below March lows....Oh, and by-the-way, goodbye dollar: you once had our respect
I am not so sure Dow is ready to fall even more dramatically YET

It looks like we may have a significant bounce up in the Dow (which may last for the rest of the summer) . Whioch would probably carry the ..carry pairs higher before any major -major drop

By zooming a bit more on the dailies of G/Y, i agree with clouds one shouldnt sell seriously before a "convincing" break of 209s, as I repeated earlier
  • #98,764
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:30pm Jul 2, 2008 2:30pm
Quoting pr0spero
I am not so sure Dow is ready to fall even more dramatically YET

It looks like we may have a significant bounce up in the Dow (which may last for the rest of the summer) . Whioch would probably carry the ..carry pairs higher before any major -major drop

By zooming a bit more on the dailies of G/Y, i agree with clouds one shouldnt sell seriously before a "convincing" break of 209s, as I repeated earlier
Not sure why /jpy is the 'only pair' that are called carries. /usd, /cad, and /jpy are all carries.
  • #98,765
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:32pm Jul 2, 2008 2:32pm
Quoting Clouds
The dollar has already lost it. Against the GBP, and soon the EUR. But I'm still bullish GJ , EJ, even UJ though I dont trade it.
Indeed: what i meant was: there is worse to come
  • #98,766
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:34pm Jul 2, 2008 2:34pm
am I still the only one, who is long gbp/usd ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #98,767
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:36pm Jul 2, 2008 2:36pm
Not to hijack but does anyone else see a good sell on EUR/USD? Looks like its not going to break resistance.
Craazy
  • #98,768
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:37pm Jul 2, 2008 2:37pm
Quoting peaches
am I still the only one, who is long gbp/usd ?
Im waiting for a dip to 1.97 to buy, maybe it will continue from up there, but I wont be going long from up there. That said, it could go up, or not. :/
  • #98,769
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:45pm Jul 2, 2008 2:45pm
Quoting Clouds
Im waiting for a dip to 1.97 to buy, maybe it will continue from up there, but I wont be going long from up there. That said, it could go up, or not. :/
because of 2 trendline breaks, and my tomdemark resistance break, this one is a good candidate for a breakout to the uopside tommorrow.

asia may drive this pair down meanwhile, so better entry tommorrow during london session.
  • #98,770
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:47pm Jul 2, 2008 2:47pm
Quoting craazy
Not to hijack but does anyone else see a good sell on EUR/USD? Looks like its not going to break resistance.
yep, during asia session, might be. tommorrow new york-session bullish.

see also second chart in this post:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=311

IMHO
  • #98,771
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:47pm Jul 2, 2008 2:47pm
Quoting ukvipersden
to raise by .25 tomorrow; Oil at record highs (plenty more upside); now, if Europe can open deep into the red (after Asia) then Dow can/should fall way below March lows....Oh, and by-the-way, goodbye dollar: you once had our respect

http://www.lilith-ezine.com/articles...ilet-Paper.jpg
Another day in hell for the Dow: such a good misery index; maybe tomorrow (NFP; ECB) we outright collapse
  • #98,772
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:55pm Jul 2, 2008 2:55pm
anybody knows, what a "soft opening" is ?

If a new big hotel for example is opening for a few envited guests, who can test the new hotel, thats called "soft opening".

carry unwinding has a "soft opening".

I have seen gbp/jpy 500-600 pips moving in one day in one direction,
so today i have seen only up down up down up... a "soft opening"
  • #98,773
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:57pm Jul 2, 2008 2:57pm
Bye DOW, Bye Dollar, Bye S&P, Bye Euro.
Trichet playing the same game as Bernanke.
Verbally wishing your currency is strong is a lot different than actual strength.
No rate hike, E/U will t,t,t, tumble.
Bad NFP, dollar will tumble with little rise by the euro or gbp. Hold on, another guess, carry trades will start to unwind.
4HR BEARISH engulfing. With a 4HR confirmation right after. Shorting all rallies and for the curious when it does spike up I hedge and take the profit. Nice day for scalping.

Good trading to all.....tomorrow will be ggrreeeaaatttt!
Attached Image
  • #98,774
  • Jul 2, 2008 2:58pm Jul 2, 2008 2:58pm
UJ cant even move down 3 pips to touch its DP while DOW is falling and oil at its highs.

Sounds fishy...but then it could be a bargain as a few have mentioned
  • #98,775
  • Edited 3:01pm Jul 2, 2008 3:00pm | Edited 3:01pm
DOW is closing 20% from last years high.

Officially a BEAR MARKET.

No buying interest at all.

-167 points.

Edit: and S&P
  • #98,776
  • Jul 2, 2008 3:02pm Jul 2, 2008 3:02pm
have a great evening guys; tomorrow will be the Big One
  • #98,777
  • Jul 2, 2008 3:04pm Jul 2, 2008 3:04pm
Quoting peaches
If my broker would offer to trade the dji, i would trade it.
A break of the yellow channel lines leads to the 161.8 fibo extension (dark blue line). Next resistance on my charts is mr. demark at 10200-10300.

What scares me, is, that my forex account is hold in $. So, to know there is (maybe) a recession coming is good to know for trading, BUT: It doesn´t help me to have much money, when a pan cake costs 1 mio $.

Last chance to buy eur/usd. we won´t see him that cheap for weeks.
  • #98,778
  • Jul 2, 2008 3:11pm Jul 2, 2008 3:11pm
Quoting craazy
Not to hijack but does anyone else see a good sell on EUR/USD? Looks like its not going to break resistance.
I do and shorted this baby .. it's heavily over-bought .. imo
  • #98,779
  • Jul 2, 2008 3:12pm Jul 2, 2008 3:12pm
Quoting mktjong
I do and shorted this baby .. it's heavily over-bought .. imo
What's your TP/SL? I entered at 1.5878 and TP is 40 points - 1.5838.
Craazy
  • #98,780
  • Jul 2, 2008 3:19pm Jul 2, 2008 3:19pm
Quoting craazy
What's your TP/SL? I entered at 1.5878 and TP is 40 points - 1.5838.
I lure for much bigger fish .. tp somewhere around 1.55xx area
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