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  • Post #841
  • Quote
  • Dec 7, 2012 3:16am Dec 7, 2012 3:16am
  •  forex_J
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 264 Posts
on 1H and 4H level it doesn't look as strong as yesterday to me. Too much Yen short on CME (don't have English link), Draghi yesterday and NFP today. probably better stay away or challenge a short.

http://hojin.ctot.jp/markets/imm_position.html
 
 
  • Post #842
  • Quote
  • Dec 7, 2012 3:29am Dec 7, 2012 3:29am
  •  forex_J
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 264 Posts
nice. Immediately after my last post. G/J crashed and gave me some profit. but earthquake on east side of Japan now......Dunno how serious but TV stations are all giving severe warning.
 
 
  • Post #843
  • Quote
  • Dec 7, 2012 3:34am Dec 7, 2012 3:34am
  •  forex_J
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 264 Posts
dunno if this move is reaction to earthquake but I'm completely out of Yen today.
New info on TV. Magnitude 7.3 affecting the entire eastern part of Japan and possible tsunami wave on the shore
 
 
  • Post #844
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  • Dec 7, 2012 3:54am Dec 7, 2012 3:54am
  •  forex_J
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 264 Posts
Nikkei Futures down about 70 yens after the earthquake but half recovered already. The market is not panicked and looks OK so far.
 
 
  • Post #845
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  • Dec 7, 2012 4:18am Dec 7, 2012 4:18am
  •  IndigoPingvi
  • Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 604 Posts
Quoting forex_J
Disliked
Nikkei Futures down about 70 yens after the earthquake but half recovered already. The market is not panicked and looks OK so far.
Ignored
Yap, no panic yet, but if it starts sliding down...
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  • Post #846
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  • Dec 7, 2012 4:23am Dec 7, 2012 4:23am
  •  forex_J
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 264 Posts
Quoting IndigoPingvi
Disliked
Yap, no panic yet, but if it starts sliding down...
Ignored
we'll see... I'm out to dinner and will miss NFP. I wouldn't be surprised if G/J is 129 or 135 when I come back
 
 
  • Post #847
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  • Edited 11:55am Dec 7, 2012 4:44am | Edited 11:55am
  •  DaEdge
  • | Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Trade levels not patterns | 722 Posts
Quoting IndigoPingvi
Disliked
Yap, no panic yet, but if it starts sliding down...
Ignored
These yen crosses are struggling off everything. Any selling seems to be immediately met with buying
It works till it doesn't
 
 
  • Post #848
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  • Edited 7:43am Dec 7, 2012 6:27am | Edited 7:43am
  •  IndigoPingvi
  • Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 604 Posts
Can I ask where is your channel trendline? My is at 132.016 but some traders have it lower, that's why I ask.
Edit: Never mind
 
 
  • Post #849
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  • Dec 7, 2012 10:34am Dec 7, 2012 10:34am
  •  jphotdeals
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Un-Educated Guess | 275 Posts
So i have gone with a short from here, seems like of contraversy going on at the top here. Long term trendline in effect. Any suggestions
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  • Post #850
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  • Dec 7, 2012 10:36am Dec 7, 2012 10:36am
  •  forex_J
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Member | 264 Posts
Back home.. G/J stays where it was when I left home.... missed actions but it looks more and more sideway to me. EUR crosses on the other hand looking straight forward especially against Oceania and Canada... U/J is forming triple top and just waits for election... This month's range is so far only 140 pips and historic low I have is 295 pips back on Dec 1994. Even the last December it had a range of 350pips. There should be a lot of actions from next week. If up, 135, if down, 129
 
 
  • Post #851
  • Quote
  • Edited 11:29am Dec 7, 2012 10:53am | Edited 11:29am
  •  kanmano
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 27 Posts
check 132.98:131.99:131.66::levels ,did boj sell again to cause the recent spike m short at 131.75 level since 2 days m holding may go short again below 131.99 comments??????????

entered 131.95 got stopped at 132.08
 
 
  • Post #852
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  • Dec 7, 2012 11:55am Dec 7, 2012 11:55am
  •  DaEdge
  • | Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Trade levels not patterns | 722 Posts
Quoting jphotdeals
Disliked
So i have gone with a short from here, seems like of contraversy going on at the top here. Long term trendline in effect. Any suggestions
Ignored
Definitely a good tight area to manage risk, just make sure u use a SL cuz these yen crosses have been very resilient the last couple of weeks. Im still long from last week & expecting more upside momentum next week going into the elections.
It works till it doesn't
 
 
  • Post #853
  • Quote
  • Dec 7, 2012 12:02pm Dec 7, 2012 12:02pm
  •  DaEdge
  • | Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Trade levels not patterns | 722 Posts
Quoting IndigoPingvi
Disliked
Can I ask where is your channel trendline? My is at 132.016 but some traders have it lower, that's why I ask.
Edit: Never mind
Ignored
130.80
It works till it doesn't
 
 
  • Post #854
  • Quote
  • Dec 7, 2012 2:42pm Dec 7, 2012 2:42pm
  •  aviz12
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 383 Posts
Hello,

Is it a Rising Wedge Pattern on H4 and Daily Charts?
Or we see a Bullish Flag Pattern?
Classical chart patterns of currencies from 15+ Year Pro Trader
 
 
  • Post #855
  • Quote
  • Dec 7, 2012 3:19pm Dec 7, 2012 3:19pm
  •  DaEdge
  • | Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Trade levels not patterns | 722 Posts
Quoting aviz12
Disliked
Hello,

Is it a Rising Wedge Pattern on H4 and Daily Charts?
Or we see a Bullish Flag Pattern?
Ignored
Daily looks like a slow grind upwards 134.00 this is the area to watch for a break out any solid daily close above this level will open up much higher levels.
It works till it doesn't
 
 
  • Post #856
  • Quote
  • Dec 8, 2012 2:10pm Dec 8, 2012 2:10pm
  •  pabloski
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 356 Posts
Did some good pips selling after NFP spike. Went back almost to pre-news level and then started recovering again for the close. 131.60 area is acting as a good support, so after Fridays behaviour I'm inclined to think the pair will touch 132.80 again soon. This is a critical area, so if the pair keeps it's ranging mode is a good opportunity to sell again but I must be careful as I'm expecting a break sooner or later. 4H chart shows some nice signs of bullishness. To favour the downside, I think we should see a break of 131.60 support. Hope next week we have some action!

Great weekend for everyone!
 
 
  • Post #857
  • Quote
  • Dec 8, 2012 2:11pm Dec 8, 2012 2:11pm
  •  pabloski
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 356 Posts
4H chart.
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  • Post #858
  • Quote
  • Dec 8, 2012 2:18pm Dec 8, 2012 2:18pm
  •  pabloski
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 356 Posts
Quoting DaEdge
Disliked
Daily looks like a slow grind upwards 134.00 this is the area to watch for a break out any solid daily close above this level will open up much higher levels.
Ignored
True. If the move up is going to happen, consolidation between 132.40-132.80 would be a nice first sign. However, 133 is hard to break. If happens, we should see 134 easily IMO.
 
 
  • Post #859
  • Quote
  • Dec 8, 2012 3:29pm Dec 8, 2012 3:29pm
  •  gentlelove30
  • | Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Member | 22 Posts
Quoting pabloski
Disliked
True. If the move up is going to happen, consolidation between 132.40-132.80 would be a nice first sign. However, 133 is hard to break. If happens, we should see 134 easily IMO.
Ignored
Before the elections on the 16th of December, everything is possible to witness some hawkish movements up or down. There are possible problems with other major currencies during this month, especially USD, EUR and GBP. I feel that technical indicators are helpless with fundamental news. Do you guess we go down to 127 for GBP/JPY, 78 for USD/JPY and 102 for EUR/JPY as some analysts expect although the break to 133.6 is possible?
 
 
  • Post #860
  • Quote
  • Dec 8, 2012 4:57pm Dec 8, 2012 4:57pm
  •  pabloski
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 356 Posts
Quoting gentlelove30
Disliked
Before the elections on the 16th of December, everything is possible to witness some hawkish movements up or down. There are possible problems with other major currencies during this month, especially USD, EUR and GBP. I feel that technical indicators are helpless with fundamental news. Do you guess we go down to 127 for GBP/JPY, 78 for USD/JPY and 102 for EUR/JPY as some analysts expect although the break to 133.6 is possible?
Ignored
You mean without fundamental news? Market behaves erratically many times on fundamentals. But the chart tells you the truth, there you have all the action and technical indicators are there to help you see it and predict it.

All is possible. We can go up or down. We have to make sure we are there to catch the move. What I think for the short term is in the post above. What are you expectations?
 
 
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