• Home
  • Forums
  • Trades
  • News
  • Calendar
  • Market
  • Brokers
  • Login
  • Join
  • User/Email: Password:
  • 6:46pm
Menu
  • Forums
  • Trades
  • News
  • Calendar
  • Market
  • Brokers
  • Login
  • Join
  • 6:46pm
Sister Sites
  • Metals Mine
  • Energy EXCH
  • Crypto Craft

Options

Bookmark Thread

First Page First Unread Last Page Last Post

Print Thread

Similar Threads

What's the most important activity in your trading business? 46 replies

Need Step by Step guide for a beginner and have some questions? 25 replies

Who can explain this step by step? 5 replies

How do you keep track of your trading performance 0 replies

mind to share ur fav "step by step" indicator? 1 reply

  • Trading Discussion
  • /
  • Reply to Thread
  • Subscribe

Improving Your Trading Performance: The Single Most Important Step You Can Take

  • Post #1
  • Quote
  • First Post: May 25, 2007 9:24am May 25, 2007 9:24am
  •  FX Articles
  • Joined Feb 2006 | Status: Member | 313 Posts
A chess player analyzing the board for the next move; fighter pilots maneuvering their planes to get a lock on enemy aircraft; a baseball player tracking the release of the ball from the pitcher’s arm; ballet dancers executing their leaps; an oncologist diagnosing a rare form of cancer; a bodybuilder sculpting a small muscle group to achieve symmetry: all of these are examples of performance activities. They are also examples of fields that have been widely researched in the past two decades, uncovering important clues as to the factors that create successful performance.

This research raises fascinating questions: What makes expert performers different from less successful ones? Is expert performance a function of inherited personality traits and skills, or can it be cultivated in the proper environments? Which techniques has research found to dramatically improve performance? Will the performance-enhancing techniques that benefit chess grandmasters and Olympic athletes also assist traders? The book I am currently writing will tackle all these questions and more. This article has a more modest aim: It will draw upon research studies with chess experts to identify the one most important thing traders can do to accelerate their development.


Trading as a Performance Activity

Not all trading is a performance activity, of course. A computer can be programmed to enter, manage, and exit positions, but the computer does not perform in the same way as the athlete, dancer, or fighter pilot. Performance, in the psychological sense, begins with the human element in competition. Humans choose when to take action and when to refrain; they can select various courses of action on different occasions and can invent new strategies when needed. The trading computer does not have good days and bad days—only profitable ones and unprofitable ones. Human traders can perform poorly even if they make money, and they can have good days even when they’re in the red. That is because performance is a function of the chosen actions of performers, the correctness of those choices, and the skill with which the actions are carried out. Once an element of discretion enters into trading, it becomes a performance activity: one in which outcomes are dependent upon the choices of the performer.

There are several common features of performance activities:

* They can be executed well or poorly. Activities that are performed well on a consistent basis require a high degree of skill. A lucky outcome, such as winning a lottery, is not a skilled performance.
* There are individuals who can be identified as expert performers. With very rare exception, expert performers are ones who have developed their talents over time. Most expert performers undergo specialized training to cultivate their talents.
* They require a specialized knowledge base. The knowledge may be the “how-to” knowledge of a gymnast or the research knowledge of a scientific researcher. To perform well in a field, a person must master the information and skills specific to that field.

Trading, as a performance activity, has much in common with chess. It is competitive, requiring a high degree of concentration and strategy. It also features a limited number of actions that, in combination, create a large array of possible strategies and actions. This makes both activities easy to learn, but difficult to master. Chess can be played in lightning fashion, with very little time between moves, or it can allow players many minutes to plan moves—or even days (postal chess). Trading can also be conducted on a very short-term basis or can be planned and executed over hours or days. These similarities make chess an excellent starting point for examining the performance dynamics of trading, especially since chess is one of the performance fields most studied by researchers.


The Performance Ingredients of Chess

A well-replicated finding in chess research is that the memory processes of experts are different from those of non-experts. One intriguing set of studies took chessboard arrangements from a past tournament games and briefly showed them to expert players and novices. Afterward, the expert chess players were able to recall the positions of many more pieces than the novices. When the two groups were shown chessboards with randomly arranged pieces, however, their recall of the positions of the pieces was quite limited. The researchers’ conclusion was that experts do not have better memories than non-experts; rather, they have better memories for meaningful relationships among chess pieces. Instead of remembering where each individual piece was on the board, the experts viewed the board as clusters of pieces and remembered these. When the board was randomly arranged, there were no meaningful clusters of pieces and the experts had no effective means for encoding their information.

How do expert chess players gain this ability to perceive meaningful patterns among pieces? Because chess players are given ratings based upon their tournament play, it is relatively easy to compare experts (masters and grandmasters) with less accomplished players. When a variety of factors are incorporated into multiple regression equations to predict chess ratings, two stand out as highly significant:

1. The number of books owned – Research conducted by Neil Charness and colleagues finds that the correlation between books owned by chess players and their current performance ratings was .53.
2. The cumulative number of hours spent in practice – Those same researchers found that the correlation between the amount of time spent in practice and current performance ratings was .60.

To appreciate these findings, it is necessary to understand what chess books are and how they are used. These texts typically break the game down into components (opening, endgame, defenses, etc.) and present historical games from tournaments, along with annotation from an expert author. Readers do not merely skim over these games; they learn specific opening or defensive sequences and then see how these were utilized in actual games. They recreate those games on their own boards and carefully play through the positions, so that they can see what the expert players saw. They also play through alternate sequences to observe where these might lead.

Interestingly, chess experts do not have significantly more chess-playing experience than non-experts. Rather, a higher percentage of the experience of experts is spent in the systematic practice of various facets of the game. Non-experts tend to spend a higher proportion of their time in games against similarly-skilled opponents. This experience neither exposes the learner to the moves of experts, nor does it provide time for a careful review of moves, exploration of alternate lines, etc. In the Charness work, the correlation between solitary practice and chess ratings is almost twice as high as the correlation between practice with others and ratings. This is because solitary practice with chess books allows learners to obtain chess knowledge in context. Instead of focusing on the moves of an opponent, learners encounter—again and again—those meaningful configurations of pieces that appear in the games of experts.


Enhancing Trading Performance

Students of trading are at a huge disadvantage relative to students of chess. Chess books document the performance of centuries of experts in actual tournament situations. Because of this, chess students can create and play through almost any challenging situation imaginable, drawing upon the accumulated wisdom of experts. Trading possesses no such database. Trading books, unlike chess texts, are not annotated compilations of the trading decisions of objectively rated experts. One cannot use trading books to recreate trading sessions or to systematically explore trading decisions and their alternatives. Chess books lend themselves to independent deliberative practice; trading books present ideas outside the context of actual trading.

As a result, traders tend to spend little time in the systematic practice that is the single greatest predictor of chess expertise—not to mention expertise in music, athletics, and dance. This violates a principle from the performance research that is so striking that it might even be called a law:

In every performance field, the development and maintenance of expertise requires a high ratio of time spent in practice relative to time spent in actual performance.

Athletes spend far more time working out, practicing, and scrimmaging than actually playing in competitive events. The same is true for chess masters, professional dancers, fighter pilots, and racecar drivers. Our analysis of chess expertise helps to explain this law. Only significant time spent in absorbing winning and losing chess enables players to internalize the patterns of play that distinguish experts from non-experts. The trader who spends more time trading than practicing trading is like the golfer who spends more time playing rounds with buddies than on the driving range, putting green, and in lessons. We all know golfers like that, and they are not the ones who make their living on the PGA tour.

This then leads us to the single most important step you can take to become an expert trader:

The expert trader needs to be able to review and re-experience markets and systematically rehearse facets of trading performance: entering, managing, and exiting positions.

Note that what I am suggesting is NOT paper trading. Paper trading is usually a following of the market in real time, accompanied by simulated trading decisions. Such paper trading does not allow traders to replay market action, review their decisions, test out alternatives, etc. It is this re-experiencing that cements learning, and it requires a database of market days similar to the database of tournament games utilized by chess books.

Think of each trading session as a chess game, and each game as a contest between two expert players named “Bull” and “Bear”. Every short-term swing in the market is a move by Bull or Bear that ultimately leads either to a victory for one of them or a draw. In tracking the moves of Bull and Bear, we can pause the match at any point and observe how each player exploits the weak moves of the other. With the aid of an electronic database that collates similar trading sessions, we can even explore how alternate moves by each side produce different outcomes. Moreover, we can play and replay the “games” (and their similar variants), seeing if our simulated trading decisions accurately reflect our reading of the strengths and weaknesses of the players’ positions.

How could we create such a database? Two methods stand out at present, and my hope is that software vendors will create even more:

1. Replay. Some programs, such as Ensign and e-Signal, allow users to replay market data at varying rates of speed. This permits repetition of a market day, so that paper trading can be accompanied by review and fresh practice. Programs that allow users to save and replay tick data are especially valuable, as this creates a library of trading sessions akin to the collections of chess games found in books.
2. Taping. Videotaping of one’s trading screens allows for unlimited review of market action and one’s trading decisions. It is not too far-fetched to imagine video-taping of simulated trading from video-taped data, creating feedback loops for learning. Over time, collections of these tapes form a library for study that would allow traders to practice trading almost any kind of market imaginable.

If this analysis has merit, then most of the services offered to traders in the popular media have limited value. Self-help techniques, exhortations regarding discipline, didactic presentations of patterns, and general rules and advice do not turn chess novices into experts, and there is no reason to believe they will advance the performance curve for traders. Knowledge and practice—and especially the direct experience of knowledge-in-practice—are the keys to the acquisition of expertise.

We commonly hear the statistic that 90% of all traders ultimately fail. If this is so, it is not because they lack the right personality traits, indicator patterns, or software programs. Rather, they have failed to structure their learning to facilitate expertise. This is one of the most important lessons we can learn from the decades of research and hundreds of studies on the topic of performance. The path to our greatness lies not only in performing, but in the systematic work we put into performance. The next great advance in trading technology, I believe, will be the creation of dynamic learning environments that serve as the electronic equivalent of chess books. The learning platforms we rig for ourselves today will pale in comparison to tomorrow’s technology, but that matters little to those pursuing self-development. The single most important step you can take, Ayn Rand realized, is to fight for tomorrow, so that you might live in it today.


Brett N. Steenbarger, Ph.D. is Director of Trader Development for Kingstree Trading, LLC in Chicago and Clinical Associate Professor of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences at SUNY Upstate Medical University in Syracuse, NY. A clinical psychologist and active trader for the past 20 years, Brett is the author of The Psychology of Trading (Wiley; 2003) and numerous articles on trading psychology for financial publications. His book chapters on brief psychotherapy can be found in such reference works as The Psychologist's Desk Reference (Oxford University Press, 1998) and the Encyclopedia of Psychotherapy (Academic Press, 2002). His newest, coedited book, The Art and Science of the Brief Psychotherapies (American Psychiatric Press, 2005), has been selected as a core training text for psychiatry residency programs.
  • Post #2
  • Quote
  • May 25, 2007 10:43am May 25, 2007 10:43am
  •  blueruby
  • Joined Feb 2007 | Status: Stock Broker, October 1987 | 1,299 Posts
What an excellent article!
  • Post #3
  • Quote
  • May 25, 2007 2:04pm May 25, 2007 2:04pm
  •  dunningduke
  • | Joined May 2006 | Status: Member | 381 Posts
very well said...
  • Post #4
  • Quote
  • May 28, 2007 11:51am May 28, 2007 11:51am
  •  Mr demark
  • Joined Apr 2007 | Status: Dont get greedy. Dont be too shy | 453 Posts
I WILL certainly be videotaping my simulated trades (say a years worth) and replay and analyze my mistakes
100% of traders are losers. Just that some win more than they lose!
  • Post #5
  • Quote
  • May 28, 2007 11:53am May 28, 2007 11:53am
  •  Mr demark
  • Joined Apr 2007 | Status: Dont get greedy. Dont be too shy | 453 Posts
i also have an EA that allows simulated trading if anyone is interested (PM)
100% of traders are losers. Just that some win more than they lose!
  • Post #6
  • Quote
  • May 28, 2007 7:29pm May 28, 2007 7:29pm
  •  Igrok
  • Joined Dec 2006 | Status: home alone | 2,499 Posts
Quoting Editor
Disliked
We commonly hear the statistic that 90% of all traders ultimately fail. If this is so, it is not because they lack the right personality traits, indicator patterns, or software programs. Rather, they have failed to structure their learning to facilitate expertise.
Ignored
Don’t think that the right point have been made here. I guess it is obvious that an individual can improve his ability to trade and his performance, but the crowd cannot. If the statistics shows that 90% of traders fail, this number will stay the same no matter how well trained and sophisticated all the 100% of the traders are. The only way for a loser to become a winner is to get out of the 90% majority and to join the 10% minority. Pretty much like in sports. For instance, all Olympic games participants are supposedly well trained and are willing to win, but for as long as the rule of the games about rewarding only the champions stays, there will always be winners and losers among those sportsmen and in the same proportion. If the whole crowd of traders all of a sudden becomes winners, there will be no one left to pay them their rewards. This market trading “race” is not just about beating “the performance clock”, but also about beating 90% of the other “racers”.
  • Post #7
  • Quote
  • May 29, 2007 3:28am May 29, 2007 3:28am
  •  4x_Trader
  • Joined Dec 2006 | Status: Is the market a FRIENDLY place to U | 628 Posts
Quoting Igrok
Disliked
Don’t think that the right point have been made here. I guess it is obvious that an individual can improve his ability to trade and his performance, but the crowd cannot. If the statistics shows that 90% of traders fail, this number will stay the same no matter how well trained and sophisticated all the 100% of the traders are. The only way for a loser to become a winner is to get out of the 90% majority and to join the 10% minority. Pretty much like in sports. For instance, all Olympic games participants are supposedly well trained and are willing to win, but for as long as the rule of the games about rewarding only the champions stays, there will always be winners and losers among those sportsmen and in the same proportion. If the whole crowd of traders all of a sudden becomes winners, there will be no one left to pay them their rewards. This market trading “race” is not just about beating “the performance clock”, but also about beating 90% of the other “racers”.
Ignored
I second the motion! Very nice analogy igrok, kudos Editor thanks for your nice articles. I love FF!
  • Post #8
  • Quote
  • Sep 17, 2008 9:37pm Sep 17, 2008 9:37pm
  •  fxid10t
  • | Joined Jul 2007 | Status: accomplished neophyte | 170 Posts
Have you had your book pertaining to this subject published yet?
  • Post #9
  • Quote
  • Jul 18, 2009 4:23pm Jul 18, 2009 4:23pm
  •  gbppip
  • | Additional Username | Joined Nov 2006 | 362 Posts
Quote
Disliked
We commonly hear the statistic that 90% of all traders ultimately fail. If this is so, it is not because they lack the right personality traits, indicator patterns, or software programs. Rather, they have failed to structure their learning to facilitate expertise.
Expertise?

Position size, stop loss and risk are a formula.

You enter/exit. That is a simple mouse click.

The main skill to learn is quitting while ahead. There is no mystery. If you read some of the threads, you'll see in the end trading is not that complex nor complicated. Buy at support and sell at resistance. You either win or lose.
It's when you pick up your chips and leave that matters most.
  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Jul 18, 2009 8:10pm Jul 18, 2009 8:10pm
  •  Bemac
  • Joined Jan 2006 | Status: Monarch o' the Glen | 5,561 Posts
Homework assignment:

I think it is more convoluted than seems be being discussed here and cannot be
analogized by a 100M Dash.

In an 8 man race to "The Finish Line" I can find out if I came in First or Eighth.

In Forex; I don't know if my "Sell to Close Winner" was Purchased by {Another Runner
(9th)} who is just getting ready to Start His Race. He sees Big Time opportunity while I see a Lock. He might be looking for a 5P move or a 500p Move. Why would I care? Whether He is Suffering a Loss, Or Taking Profit Or Looking to Enter The Market; He took my offer to Trade. {if this is confusing to you, Resarch: Commodity Futures Open Interest & compare it to Commodity Futures Volume .
Especially if you do not know what I mean}

OI vs Vlm 101:
Different Reading & Different Info.

Any light bulbs going on?
Like, err... why are Traders Leaving The Market from Both sides?

An' you thought this was gonna be easy money.

Not: but it can be consistant.


  • Post #11
  • Quote
  • Jul 18, 2009 9:44pm Jul 18, 2009 9:44pm
  •  acumen
  • Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 3,709 Posts
As a result, traders tend to spend little time in the systematic practice that is the single greatest predictor of chess expertise—not to mention expertise in music, athletics, and dance. This violates a principle from the performance research that is so striking that it might even be called a law:

In every performance field, the development and maintenance of expertise requires a high ratio of time spent in practice relative to time spent in actual performance.
  • Post #12
  • Quote
  • Jul 19, 2009 12:24pm Jul 19, 2009 12:24pm
  •  gbppip
  • | Additional Username | Joined Nov 2006 | 362 Posts
Quoting acumen
Disliked
As a result, traders tend to spend little time in the systematic practice that is the single greatest predictor of chess expertise—not to mention expertise in music, athletics, and dance. This violates a principle from the performance research that is so striking that it might even be called a law:

In every performance field, the development and maintenance of expertise requires a high ratio of time spent in practice relative to time spent in actual performance.
Ignored
THERE IS NO SUBSTITUTE FOR BEING IN THE GAME.

You can practice all you want but what counts is what you actually do in the game.

You can make 100 foul shots in a row in practice. Can you sink 2 in a row, when there is no time left on the clock and your team is down by 1?

You can knock it out of the park in batting practice. Can you do it, when it's the bottom of the ninth, 2 outs, bases loaded and your team is down by 3?

You can kick 60 yard field goals in practice. Can you kick one when there is 3 seconds left on the clock and your team is down by 1?

You may have the skills to perform but do you "have what it takes" to perform under pressure?
  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Jul 19, 2009 1:33pm Jul 19, 2009 1:33pm
  •  equilibrium6
  • | Joined Sep 2008 | Status: always treading carefully | 100 Posts
Great article. Really enjoyed it.
freedom
  • Post #14
  • Quote
  • Last Post: Jan 23, 2011 9:21am Jan 23, 2011 9:21am
  •  Alberto Pau
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Junior Member | 3 Posts
Never thought of it but I think the replay and taping ideas can be very, very valuable for trader training (both at junior and more expert levels)
Thanks for the great post
  • Trading Discussion
  • /
  • Improving Your Trading Performance: The Single Most Important Step You Can Take
  • Reply to Thread
0 traders viewing now
Top of Page
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
About FF
  • Mission
  • Products
  • User Guide
  • Media Kit
  • Blog
  • Contact
FF Products
  • Forums
  • Trades
  • Calendar
  • News
  • Market
  • Brokers
  • Trade Explorer
FF Website
  • Homepage
  • Search
  • Members
  • Report a Bug
Follow FF
  • Facebook
  • Twitter

FF Sister Sites:

  • Metals Mine
  • Energy EXCH
  • Crypto Craft

Forex Factory® is a brand of Fair Economy, Inc.

Terms of Service / ©2021