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Bread and Butter Trades

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  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Edited Aug 14, 2011 6:39pm Jul 21, 2011 4:37am | Edited Aug 14, 2011 6:39pm
  •  Ibuks
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 253 Posts
I have been a member of FF for a while now and I have really been blessed with this great forum. I have met great people here on this forum and also learn a lot.

As a token of my appreciation, I will like to share this simple system that I call bread and butter trade.

This system is not for every trader, but if you find it useful, pls feel free to adapt it to your personality.

Another thing I will like to say before I go to the system is that as a trader, you need to reduce the drawings on your charts to see price which is truely the best indicator. Forget about all your numerous lagging indicators, look at price, apply sup/res and you will do well. Another thing is that you should stop looking for the guru that will help you to be successful. The guru is you....yes, I mean you reading this. You are the best trader that can ever be....only if you belief.

I have been trading this system for over 3 yrs now and it has consistently given profit. It can be used as a scalping method as well as for long term trades. It is not 100%, but you can adapt it as you like...remember, you are the best trader the world is waiting for.


The System

Pair: EURUSD. (I trade mainly eu but I am sure that it work on all pairs)

Chart time frames: 1hr, 4hr and daily charts

Indicator: 24ema applied to close.

Rule: There are only 2 rules to remember.

1. When price is above 24ema (minimum of 20+ pips), and price starts to travel towards 24ema i.e. price is falling towards 24ema, set a buy limit at 24ema with anticipation that there will be a bounce back UP. Vice visa for sell. Target 10+ pips

2. When price is below 24ema and travelling UP towards 24ema, If price close above 24ema, Then open and close above 24ema, set a buy limit at 24ema anticipating a retest of 24ema for the journey UP. Vice visa for sell.

Stop Loss:

The stop loss is derived from rule 2 above.

For Buy: When price close below 24ema, then open and close below 24ema, close the trade.

For Sell: When price close above 24ema, then Open and close above 24ema, close the trade.

Avoid News time.

A picture to illustrate:

[IMG]file:///C:/Users/IBUKUN%7E1/AppData/Local/Temp/moz-screenshot.png[/IMG][IMG]file:///C:/Users/IBUKUN%7E1/AppData/Local/Temp/moz-screenshot-1.png[/IMG]

UPDATE:

Steve have been so kind to write an ea for this method. Pls find attached.

The ea keep watching for the position of the 24ema and based on the distance you choose (bufferpips in the ea property), the limit order will be sent. 20 pips is the default.

pls play around with the toy, but get the real foundation of the method manually first while you try the ea on demo. You are responsible for your own trade, so use responsibly.

UPDATE 2:

Steve updated the EA and added 2 script for us to test it out. Pls read post No: 55 for details but find below Steve's statement:

The two scripts will read the EMA for you and send the appropriate limit order at that price.

So long as you use the same magic numbers for scripts and EA, the EA will then monitor the trade for you and (should) move the trade fill price in line with the ema. Set StopTrading to 'true' and the ea will monitor and manage the existing trade, but not send a fresh one once the trade has closed or been deleted.

The only update to the EA is to display the ticket number of the trade it is monitoring on your screen to confirm that it is working with the correct trade.

Update 3:

Squolou have been very kind to improve this strategy by making a dashboard. Pls find attached the dashboard.

Update 4

Steve has done it again. He has come up with a multi pair trading ea for the bread and butter trades. Pls take it for a test and lets come up with the best optimisation for the robot.

Chk out the detail intrustructions at: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...33#post4820733


Cheers.
Attached Images (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: 2011-07-21_0924.png
Size: 61 KB Click to Enlarge

Name: 2011-07-22_0505.png
Size: 37 KB
Attached Files
File Type: mq4 Ibuks 24 EMA Bounce auto trading robot by Steve Hopwood.mq4   60 KB | 1 download | Uploaded Jul 27, 2011 8:04am
File Type: mq4 Ibuk's Bread'nButter Dashboard.mq4   11 KB | 3 downloads | Uploaded Jul 28, 2011 9:03am
File Type: mq4 Ibuks Bread'nButter multi-pair auto-trader by SteveHopwood.mq4   34 KB | 1 download | Uploaded Jul 29, 2011 6:14am
File Type: mq4 Ibuks Bread'nButter multi-pair auto-trader by SteveHopwood V2 -14072011.mq4   46 KB | 1 download | Uploaded Aug 14, 2011 6:39pm
  • Post #2
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 4:48am Jul 21, 2011 4:48am
  •  moneydeep
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 139 Posts
Ibuk's motto is simple makes money.

I have been with ibuk for a few months now and take these bounces when they come along. Basically when the price is far away from the 24 ema and it comes to touch it the trades are awesome. just leave limit orders and get filled very simple yet effective method. 1hr and above.
 
 
  • Post #3
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 5:31am Jul 21, 2011 5:31am
  •  r2997790
  • | Joined Oct 2006 | Status: Member | 112 Posts
Looks like a prime candidate for an EA. Nice idea IBUK!
 
 
  • Post #4
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 7:30am Jul 21, 2011 7:30am
  •  r2997790
  • | Joined Oct 2006 | Status: Member | 112 Posts
Could you explain the stop loss position again... the TP position is clear... a simple +10pips... I don't quite understand the SL position though?

Many thanks!
 
 
  • Post #5
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 7:51am Jul 21, 2011 7:51am
  •  Ibuks
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 253 Posts
Quoting r2997790
Disliked
Could you explain the stop loss position again... the TP position is clear... a simple +10pips... I don't quite understand the SL position though?

Many thanks!
Ignored

Rule: There are only 2 rules to remember.

1. When price is above 24ema (minimum of 20+ pips), and price starts to travel towards 24ema i.e. price is falling towards 24ema, set a buy limit at 24ema with anticipation that there will be a bounce back UP. Vice visa for sell. Target 10+ pips

2. When price is below 24ema and travelling UP towards 24ema, If price close above 24ema, Then open and close above 24ema, set a buy limit at 24ema anticipating a retest of 24ema for the journey UP. Vice visa for sell.

Stop Loss:

The stop loss is derived from rule 2 above.

For Buy: When price close below 24ema, then open and close below 24ema, close the trade.

For Sell: When price close above 24ema, then Open and close above 24ema, close the trade.

Pls read the red letter very well.... read it twice and digest it.

When a candle closes on the opposite side of your trade, you take note of the opening price (at the opposite side of the trade) and the closing price. If these 2 are on the opposite side of your trade, then close it.

At this point you want to reverse your trade. You put a limit at the 24ema in anticipation of a retest.

Try and keep it very simple. Hope this answer your question??

Ibuks
 
 
  • Post #6
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 7:59am Jul 21, 2011 7:59am
  •  r2997790
  • | Joined Oct 2006 | Status: Member | 112 Posts
Thanks Ibkus for your reply. I must be being thick today. On the EU chart for the 12:00 GMT trade on the 1hr you could enter a sell limit because the current market position was >20pips from the EMA.

That part I get.

The 12 o'clock 1hr candle will open and close under the EMA. So I presume you close the limit order and enter a new one at the new EMA position for the 1 o'clock candle (if it meets the >20pips rule).

So far so good.

My TP is 10pips from the sell limit order.. but I am still not understanding where to place the SL.

Thanks for your patience Ibuks! You are very kind.
 
 
  • Post #7
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 8:22am Jul 21, 2011 8:22am
  •  devboy
  • | Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Member | 4 Posts
I'm going to code it up and see what happens...
80)
 
 
  • Post #8
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 8:52am Jul 21, 2011 8:52am
  •  Giansar
  • | Joined May 2011 | Status: Member | 142 Posts
@Ibuks
Thanks!
Looks like a brilliantly simple and clean-cut method.
I will be surely checking it out!

Quoting r2997790
Disliked
My TP is 10pips from the sell limit order.. but I am still not understanding where to place the SL.
Ignored
If I understand the concept correctly you don't place a stop loss (other than your usual emergency SL). You eyeball the trade and get out if one full candle (from high to low) closes on the wrong side of the EMA.
 
 
  • Post #9
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 9:01am Jul 21, 2011 9:01am
  •  stevegee58
  • Joined Oct 2005 | Status: Pip Slappa Extrordinaire | 1,012 Posts
Quoting r2997790
Disliked
My TP is 10pips from the sell limit order.. but I am still not understanding where to place the SL.
Ignored
You either place the order with no SL or the SL is far away as a sanity stop.

The exact SL isn't a level you can know when you enter the trade. You exit when the price bar closes below the EMA. It might close far below the EMA or maybe closer but you have to wait for the bar to close to know.
You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
 
 
  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 9:12am Jul 21, 2011 9:12am
  •  ayoomole
  • | Joined Feb 2007 | Status: Member | 9 Posts
This is as simple and effective as it can get in fx trading...............great one ibk
 
 
  • Post #11
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 9:55am Jul 21, 2011 9:55am
  •  r2997790
  • | Joined Oct 2006 | Status: Member | 112 Posts
Thanks for the guidance on the SL everyone... I'll give it a try.

Would you adjust the pending order each hour to account for movement in the EMA?
 
 
  • Post #12
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 10:20am Jul 21, 2011 10:20am
  •  forexforex
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 230 Posts
I also watch EMA at this level. You just have to watch out for new trend(s) that is(are) developing. See example below:
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  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 2:03pm Jul 21, 2011 2:03pm
  •  The7
  • | Joined Apr 2008 | Status: Where is the Exit? | 392 Posts
A moving average indicator showing price label would be very useful for this system. Anyone?
 
 
  • Post #14
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 2:30pm Jul 21, 2011 2:30pm
  •  Ibuks
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 253 Posts
Here is an example trade which I normally trade. I avoid news like plague as nothing respects news...lol.

You can treat the bread and butter trade as bounce or break. Bounce on the 24ema is the bread while the break of 24ema is the butter.

With the bounce, you can get as much pips as you want if you manage your trade properly while the break can be a trend change that can give you lots of pips until you get another trend change.

Remember, you need to own it and use it as it fits your personality but pls make it simple. The more complicated you ty to make it, the less pips you get and the more confused you are.

Happy trading.

Ibuks
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  • Post #15
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 3:57pm Jul 21, 2011 3:57pm
  •  laimonk
  • | Joined Jan 2010 | Status: Member | 36 Posts
"set a buy limit at 24ema with anticipation that there will be a bounce back UP. Vice visa for sell. Target 10+ pips"

Thank you for sharing your system.

Could you please explain how you set a buy limit at the 24ema

1) since the ema is formed only when bar closes. How do you "catch the bounce" accurately,

2) do you use the previous 24 ema as reference and add/subtract a few pips?

3) SL is bar open and close "on the wrong side" of 24ema - that would mean that SL could be more than 10 pips (could even be very big) - so risk could be bigger than reward ( may not be 1:1) Do you have a maximum you let it run?

Thank you.
 
 
  • Post #16
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 4:13pm Jul 21, 2011 4:13pm
  •  OMGtrader
  • | Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Market Junkie | 693 Posts
sounds interesting, i'll give it a whirl on demo.
Trade what you see, not what you think!
 
 
  • Post #17
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2011 6:42pm Jul 21, 2011 6:42pm
  •  isaacyassar
  • | Joined Sep 2010 | Status: a happy trader | 142 Posts
Quoting forexforex
Disliked
I also watch EMA at this level. You just have to watch out for new trend(s) that is(are) developing. See example below:
Ignored
If I'm not mistaken, that would be a whoppin' 50 pip loss ;-)
The tone of your words reflects the quality and result of your trading ;-)
 
 
  • Post #18
  • Quote
  • Jul 22, 2011 12:21am Jul 22, 2011 12:21am
  •  Ibuks
  • Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 253 Posts
Pls see update on post 1.

EA can be use to trade manually helping you identify the position of the 24ema.

Play the bounce also remember you can play the breaks as well. The ea currently play the bounce, further update will play the breaks as well I belief.

Happy trading.

Ibuks
 
 
  • Post #19
  • Quote
  • Jul 22, 2011 5:23am Jul 22, 2011 5:23am
  •  whatfx
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: The Villain | 2,565 Posts
Quoting Ibuks
Disliked
Pls see update on post 1.

EA can be use to trade manually helping you identify the position of the 24ema.

Play the bounce also remember you can play the breaks as well. The ea currently play the bounce, further update will play the breaks as well I belief.

Happy trading.

Ibuks
Ignored

hi ibuk


some obvious questions arise, as pointed out by laimonk.

to set a limit order in advance , you need to guess the position of the 24ema in advance. the problem here is, you cannot accurately 'predict' the position of the 24 ema as it moves constantly and can indeed have huge moves on big price movements. the closing position could be way different then the point at which you set the limit order..

how do you deal with this and how do you set the limit order yourself. an illustrated example would be helpful..

i still dont understand the SL criteria. again if you can show an example please.

lastly, it seems that this method only works well in a trending market, in a ranging market you will get stopped out many times ?

also, what is the least number of pips distance the price needs to be at before the you can consider the bounce as valid.


cheers
 
 
  • Post #20
  • Quote
  • Jul 22, 2011 5:42am Jul 22, 2011 5:42am
  •  whatfx
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: The Villain | 2,565 Posts
couple of other things just sprang to mind:

does there have to be a touch of the 24 ema. if not, then what is the lease distance it can be from the 24 ema before we can take a trade ?

sometimes the price just follows the 24 ema very close by. so not much of a room to enter bounce trades.
 
 
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