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  • Post #20,681
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  • Jan 27, 2015 1:03am Jan 27, 2015 1:03am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Loads of US economic data today, can't expect all will be rosie.

Counter-trend USD day?
 
 
  • Post #20,682
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 5:28am Jan 27, 2015 5:28am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
EURUSD is currently in retracement rejection from 1.1100 zone. 1.1270 zone could be good for short term trades but bear in mind that 1.1200 is now interim support. So to further go down 1.1200 should break, but intraday momentum is still high to the upside. That leaves a potential for 1320-1330 (next zone for short trades) in the case 1280 breaks. 1.1035 should be the target then but ATR is big on EURUSD ( caused by fundamental shifts ) so pay attention to 1200 and 1150 in the case of rejections from POC zones. {image}
Ignored
+50 first rejection + 40 currently on 2nd POC rej.
 
 
  • Post #20,683
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 5:43am Jan 27, 2015 5:43am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
Disliked
Loads of US economic data today, can't expect all will be rosie. Counter-trend USD day?
Ignored
There should be some correction yes. I already closed a part of EURUSD sell. Latest comments from vice Chairman of SNB gave additional momentum to EUR pairs. Did u catch some movement on EURUSD?
 
 
  • Post #20,684
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 5:55am Jan 27, 2015 5:55am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
{quote} There should be some correction yes. I already closed a part of EURUSD sell. Latest comments from vice Chairman of SNB gave additional momentum to EUR pairs. Did u catch some movement on EURUSD?
Ignored
Yes, took a few green pips on the way up... Thought the counter-trend trade was a bit risky so pulled the plug early. I prefer to go with trend.
 
 
  • Post #20,685
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 6:06am Jan 27, 2015 6:06am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
Disliked
{quote} Yes, took a few green pips on the way up... Thought the counter-trend trade was a bit risky so pulled the plug early. I prefer to go with trend.
Ignored
1270 and 1330 were good for trend entries. Now we need to see whether the price will switch to a "deeper" correction on intraday charts. I have my stops at BE now, took some profits from both of those drops.
 
 
  • Post #20,686
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  • Jan 27, 2015 6:44am Jan 27, 2015 6:44am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
{quote} 1270 and 1330 were good for trend entries. Now we need to see whether the price will switch to a "deeper" correction on intraday charts. I have my stops at BE now, took some profits from both of those drops.
Ignored
What is your target on EUR/USD?
 
 
  • Post #20,687
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 7:16am Jan 27, 2015 7:16am
  •  TessiaFx
  • | Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Member | 194 Posts
Short EU from 1.13100 stop 1.13500 target 1.1150
as soon as there is enough space will move stop to break even...
 
 
  • Post #20,688
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 7:27am Jan 27, 2015 7:27am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Some economists now expect the US Fed to hike rates later in 2015 (as opposed to Mid-year)
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dou...any-2015-01-26
 
 
  • Post #20,689
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 7:50am Jan 27, 2015 7:50am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
Disliked
{quote} What is your target on EUR/USD?
Ignored
Should have been 1100, but as momentum is switching to the upside, i already took 40 pips ( scaled out ) and stops are on BE now.
 
 
  • Post #20,690
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 7:50am Jan 27, 2015 7:50am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
Disliked
Some economists now expect the US Fed to hike rates later in 2015 (as opposed to Mid-year) http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dou...any-2015-01-26
Ignored
Yes, they align their politics with ECB.
 
 
  • Post #20,691
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 7:51am Jan 27, 2015 7:51am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Quoting [email protected]
Disliked
{quote} Should have been 1100, but as momentum is switching to the upside, i already took 40 pips ( scaled out ) and stops are on BE now.
Ignored
NY Opens soon... Looks like it will be a battle
 
 
  • Post #20,692
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 8:33am Jan 27, 2015 8:33am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
As presumed, momentum switch. Its called MM. When u hit +80 pips from 2 setups, why would u want more? Patiently wait for another chance.
 
 
  • Post #20,693
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 8:50am Jan 27, 2015 8:50am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Most Equities markets are down today... Gold going to the heavens
 
 
  • Post #20,694
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 10:43am Jan 27, 2015 10:43am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Yes we had a momentum switch. Thats why i advised taking profits from EURUSD trade.
 
 
  • Post #20,695
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 10:46am Jan 27, 2015 10:46am
  •  PariCovek
  • | Joined Jan 2015 | Status: Zaedno pravi sila. Cosmos e za nas. | 1,915 Posts
Looks like EUR can go higher.

US earnings today was poor. Gold soaring
 
 
  • Post #20,696
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 10:51am Jan 27, 2015 10:51am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting PariCovek
Disliked
Looks like EUR can go higher. US earnings today was poor. Gold soaring
Ignored
Earnings bad but look at Home sales and Consumer confidence. Strong numbers.
 
 
  • Post #20,697
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 11:36am Jan 27, 2015 11:36am
  •  justiniuxas
  • | Joined Oct 2014 | Status: Member | 110 Posts
What do you think mr T? could eur/usd go to 1.1780-1.18... maybe it's time to look for longs this week?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Size: 87 KB
 
 
  • Post #20,698
  • Quote
  • Jan 27, 2015 11:38am Jan 27, 2015 11:38am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
Quoting justiniuxas
Disliked
What do you think mr T? could eur/usd go to 1.1780-1.18... maybe it's time to look for longs this week? {image}
Ignored
Not sure. it might be a dead cat bounce. The maximum i see it is 1520 then another drop or the drop may have started...We need to see daily close also.
 
 
  • Post #20,699
  • Quote
  • Jan 28, 2015 2:09am Jan 28, 2015 2:09am
  •  EternalNewB
  • | Joined Nov 2013 | Status: Happy camper | 213 Posts
T. do you mind if I have a go on an analysis ? It will help me know if am learning anything

EUR-JPY trend is down & we have a confluence between 61.8 fib & H3 Short @ 134.6 with SL @ 135.05

thank you
 
 
  • Post #20,700
  • Quote
  • Jan 28, 2015 3:39am Jan 28, 2015 3:39am
  •  [email protected]
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Feb 2010 | 14,361 Posts
EURUSD has formed a bullish daily pattern and broke through 1400 and in the context of intraday trading we can assume intraday is bullish. 1300-1325 is a POC confluence zone. If the price gives us a proper pullback we could start searching for long opportunities. Target for the move is 1465- bottom of the flat bottom triangle and resistance and if it breaks 1490. Longs are invalidated below 1252.

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