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Asian FX Preview

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  • First Post: Apr 24, 2007 5:43pm Apr 24, 2007 5:43pm
  •  Aspen Trading
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Member | 103 Posts
EUR/USD - while we rarely want to get in the way of a potentially new leg higher, we would at least note that the 1.3640-50 may put up a bit of a fight for the time being. Again, we would not trade on this piece of information alone, but would factor it in if you are long.

USD/JPY - sideways chop for now. The battle between the dollar bears and the carry traders is gearing up. This mornings move lower in the dollar did not drag USD/JPY with it - this bears watching - not sure at this stage which camp will claim victory.

GBP/USD - while we believe 'wave 4' has been completed on the 60-min chart, the break above the bear trend-channel (2.0025) earlier today was hardly convincing. Prices are still likely to move higher, but perhaps without the velocity they did last week.

USD/CHF - we will toss this one in for today as it is apporaching critical support at 1.2000 - a break here would likely see prices move towards what would be the third test of critical support at 1.1915

Dave
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