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Pair Divergence Method

  • #801
  • Edited 3:36pm Dec 3, 2009 9:26am | Edited 3:36pm
At first glance on the 15 minute OHLC chart, it looks like this trade could have gone to a win; however, looking at the 1m OHLC chart, you will see that it swung to a loss before swinging to what would have been profit.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_buy_200912031415.gif Size: 17 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #802
  • Edited Dec 4, 2009 8:09am Dec 3, 2009 6:00pm | Edited Dec 4, 2009 8:09am
My feburary results were 12 wins, 10 losses, average win being 0.95 of the average loss. Expectancy was 0.065. Only would have resulted in a 3.5% account increase trading 3%/trade.

Bill had:
Quote
February
16 W
15 L
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #803
  • Edited 12:09pm Dec 7, 2009 8:29am | Edited 12:09pm
Setup on the 1h E/U, counter-trend:

edit: profit hit.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_buy_200912071400.gif Size: 16 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #804
  • Edited 2:11pm Dec 8, 2009 12:40pm | Edited 2:11pm
U/C sell for a loss. I guess there was another setup 30m after this one, but I probably would have ignored it instead of doubling up the risk.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf_sell_200912081700.gif Size: 21 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #805
  • Dec 14, 2009 9:06am Dec 14, 2009 9:06am
E/U 30m sell. Proft hit "to the pip":
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_sell_200912140900.gif Size: 23 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #806
  • Dec 16, 2009 10:20am Dec 16, 2009 10:20am
U/C sell for profit
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf_sell_200912161530.gif Size: 23 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #807
  • Edited 6:38pm Dec 17, 2009 1:13pm | Edited 6:38pm
Wiggles, but I would trade it anyway. Still in progress and looking OK so far.

edit: profit hit
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf_sell_200912171830.gif Size: 21 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #808
  • Dec 17, 2009 4:58pm Dec 17, 2009 4:58pm
Been following this for awhile Attached is E/U U/C
placed a sell E/U 1.43481 go out at 1.43395
Might have bailed a little early

Just wondering if I place the right pair in correct direction

Thanks
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: untitled.GIF Size: 55 KB
  • #809
  • Edited 7:27pm Dec 17, 2009 6:45pm | Edited 7:27pm
Hi dryclean, could you maybe show a chart with more detail of your specific trade, or perhaps give a time for your trade?
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #810
  • Dec 18, 2009 9:42am Dec 18, 2009 9:42am
Looking back at this morning, I saw these two wins. Did I miss anything?
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdchf_buy_200912180930.gif Size: 22 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_sell_200912181000.gif Size: 24 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #811
  • Dec 18, 2009 8:25pm Dec 18, 2009 8:25pm
Quoting cosgrove
Hi dryclean, could you maybe show a chart with more detail of your specific trade, or perhaps give a time for your trade?
It was at 12-17-09 21:10 Interbank time which I think is GMT-5
Well by looking at my attached picture
Would you have bought or sold which pair
I'm just tring to get a feel for that
  • #812
  • Edited 1:47am Dec 22, 2009 12:58am | Edited 1:47am
I'm in this trade on my $100 account, woo Christmas vacation!

edit: stopped out
Attached Image
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #813
  • Dec 22, 2009 1:04am Dec 22, 2009 1:04am
Quoting dryclean
It was at 12-17-09 21:10 Interbank time which I think is GMT-5
Well by looking at my attached picture
Would you have bought or sold which pair
I'm just tring to get a feel for that
I don't see any valid trades in your chart. For the possible trade on 12/17 with peaks corresponding at 10:00 and 13:00, the overlay line looks flat (I don't recommend taking trades when the divergence isn't 100% clear, but you can do what you like.)
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #814
  • Edited 10:17am Dec 22, 2009 1:44am | Edited 10:17am
E/U buy in progress too

edit: stopped out
Attached Image
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #815
  • Edited 10:17am Dec 22, 2009 4:24am | Edited 10:17am
U/C buy: round 2.

edit: profit hit
Attached Image
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #816
  • Dec 22, 2009 12:50pm Dec 22, 2009 12:50pm
what is this broker you are using with MT4?
  • #817
  • Dec 23, 2009 12:39am Dec 23, 2009 12:39am
I'm using the Alpari US mt4 demo client. I'm placing trades through Oanda though.
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #818
  • Edited 3:45am Dec 23, 2009 3:04am | Edited 3:45am
Euro buy going immediately against me, still in though.

I know market conditions are pretty awful trading before Christmas, but I'm trading right now so I have experience taking live trades with this method, as well as being awake and running my life around these trading hours.

edit: stopped out
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_buy_200912230945.gif Size: 21 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #819
  • Edited 5:34am Dec 23, 2009 3:58am | Edited 5:34am
Chop chop! Euro sell after being stopped out.

edit: stopped out. in a third trade now too, but I'll hold off on another chart until I have more to post.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_sell_200912231030.gif Size: 21 KB
Hindsight is 20/20
  • #820
  • Dec 23, 2009 3:04pm Dec 23, 2009 3:04pm
I think I got it
e/u short
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: untitled.GIF Size: 40 KB
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