The purpose of this thread is to start a constructive discussion of fundamental analysis using data from the IMF,World Bank and CIA factbook. Attached is a spread sheet that I complied using IMF stats You can find more on the websites
IMF:
(http://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/index.php)
World Bank :
(http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXT...469372,00.html)
CIA :
(https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat...ook/index.html)
(the data varies from source to source, but theses are the primary data sources referenced in all respected publications, some news sources add there own deviations to these numbers as well but they all start here)
The goal is to use this data to predict Long term price movements in currency's and develop a fundamentally sound trading system. (then use our technical systems for intra day profiteering)
What I would like to come up with are some universal formulas that explain the movement of cash flows around the world. for example Exports/Imports
United states Exported 1445.7 Billion dollars in 06 and Imported 2204.3 Billion. The obvious question is where exactly did that money go and come from? But the secondary questions that will effect our trading are ? Did that money go to countries with inflation problems ? How much of an impact does each USD have on the countries that received it ? Then we have to look at the other currencies that each country is recieving... If china is recieving USD,AUD adn CHF for instance Which has a greater effect on its currency?
Please discuss mathematical formulas that can be used for this analysis ( i will be happy to program and share them in the public domain)
IMF:
(http://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/index.php)
World Bank :
(http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXT...469372,00.html)
CIA :
(https://www.cia.gov/library/publicat...ook/index.html)
(the data varies from source to source, but theses are the primary data sources referenced in all respected publications, some news sources add there own deviations to these numbers as well but they all start here)
The goal is to use this data to predict Long term price movements in currency's and develop a fundamentally sound trading system. (then use our technical systems for intra day profiteering)
What I would like to come up with are some universal formulas that explain the movement of cash flows around the world. for example Exports/Imports
United states Exported 1445.7 Billion dollars in 06 and Imported 2204.3 Billion. The obvious question is where exactly did that money go and come from? But the secondary questions that will effect our trading are ? Did that money go to countries with inflation problems ? How much of an impact does each USD have on the countries that received it ? Then we have to look at the other currencies that each country is recieving... If china is recieving USD,AUD adn CHF for instance Which has a greater effect on its currency?
Please discuss mathematical formulas that can be used for this analysis ( i will be happy to program and share them in the public domain)
Attached File(s)
Keep it simple stoopid....