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  • #4,401
  • Sep 24, 2024 8:11am Sep 24, 2024 8:11am
Quoting Gelubrin
Look, this is about the housing industry. {image}
CB Consumer Confidence - The majority perception now is the recession. But for it to be a recession, this indicator should be = / < 80.

HPI- is the first time it has increased since April until now.
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  • #4,402
  • Sep 24, 2024 8:19am Sep 24, 2024 8:19am
Between US2000 and VISA, the latter is closer to the truth for finding the route of the Reedbook index.
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  • #4,403
  • Edited 9:19am Sep 24, 2024 8:33am | Edited 9:19am
Quoting PatienceFx
is there a BB squeeze on daily chart {image}
D1- a resistance is formed. It will fall. The last peak was retested 4 times. It still looks bearish to me. It needs a spark.
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  • #4,404
  • Edited 10:03pm Sep 24, 2024 9:41pm | Edited 10:03pm
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm


The report on retail was available on this application but also on the source website on September 12.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/searchre...st=cpi&isTst=1
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  • #4,405
  • Sep 24, 2024 10:02pm Sep 24, 2024 10:02pm
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  • #4,406
  • Sep 24, 2024 10:54pm Sep 24, 2024 10:54pm
the 3 candle trailing SL will automatically book the trade wherever price consolidates next
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  • #4,407
  • Sep 25, 2024 8:34pm Sep 25, 2024 8:34pm
roughly 1160
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  • #4,408
  • Sep 25, 2024 8:43pm Sep 25, 2024 8:43pm
Quoting PatienceFx
roughly 1160 {image}
am hoping the current level to stop the bulls
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #4,409
  • Sep 25, 2024 10:37pm Sep 25, 2024 10:37pm
Quoting PatienceFx
roughly 1160 {image}
Okay, it's the final GDP that was published in two previous versions.
It can be seen on the graphs that there is an increase compared to the previous quarter.
Here are some indicators that do not show that GDP increased in the 2nd quarter:
-Consumer price index (CPI)
-Government spending / consumer spending;
- CPI Housing, Energy Inflation;
-Employed Persons;
- Average hourly earning;
-Corporate profits;
- Gross National Product.

For the 3rd quarter, GDP will be lower.
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  • #4,410
  • Sep 25, 2024 10:43pm Sep 25, 2024 10:43pm
to be on the safer side, i will book this trade before gdp news
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  • #4,411
  • Sep 25, 2024 10:45pm Sep 25, 2024 10:45pm
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} Okay, it's the final GDP that was published in two previous versions. It can be seen on the graphs that there is an increase compared to the previous quarter. Here are some indicators that do not show that GDP increased in the 2nd quarter: -Consumer price index (CPI) -Government spending / consumer spending; - CPI Housing, Energy Inflation; -Employed Persons; - Average hourly earning; -Corporate profits; - Gross National Product. For the 3rd quarter, GDP will be lower. {image}
i see that you are enjoying fundamentals now

much better than technical chart tensions
  • #4,412
  • Sep 25, 2024 10:58pm Sep 25, 2024 10:58pm
Quoting Gelubrin
{quote} Okay, it's the final GDP that was published in two previous versions. It can be seen on the graphs that there is an increase compared to the previous quarter. Here are some indicators that do not show that GDP increased in the 2nd quarter: -Consumer price index (CPI) -Government spending / consumer spending; - CPI Housing, Energy Inflation; -Employed Persons; - Average hourly earning; -Corporate profits; - Gross National Product. For the 3rd quarter, GDP will be lower. {image}
Can you elaborate please. Are you saying the previous will be revised down or that the actual for this period will be lower than forecast?
Thanks
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #4,413
  • Sep 25, 2024 11:14pm Sep 25, 2024 11:14pm
booked
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  • #4,414
  • Sep 25, 2024 11:25pm Sep 25, 2024 11:25pm
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  • #4,415
  • Sep 25, 2024 11:25pm Sep 25, 2024 11:25pm
[quote=axecap;15010285]{quote} Can you elaborate please. Are you saying the previous will be revised down or that the actual for this period will be lower than forecast? Thanks[/quote
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  • #4,416
  • Sep 25, 2024 11:28pm Sep 25, 2024 11:28pm
if the GDP comes around 1.2 then
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  • #4,417
  • Sep 25, 2024 11:46pm Sep 25, 2024 11:46pm
Quoting PatienceFx
if the GDP comes around 1.2 then {image} {image}
For it to be an economic recession, 2 consecutive quarters of GDP must decrease.

But if the housing industry recovers, as we have seen it start, they will avoid the recession. Banks will grant cheaper loans. The stronger dollar will stimulate exports that weakened in the last quarter.

It also depends a lot on the economic measures after the elections and the international situation.
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  • #4,418
  • Sep 26, 2024 12:01am Sep 26, 2024 12:01am
Where people's money mainly goes:
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  • #4,419
  • Sep 26, 2024 6:56am Sep 26, 2024 6:56am
Price touched 10 SMA and dropped on h4
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  • #4,420
  • Sep 26, 2024 9:37am Sep 26, 2024 9:37am
Quoting PatienceFx
Price touched 10 SMA and dropped on h4 {image}

Handling works very well. People are scared by the storm announced by various prophets, even if they see good weather outside the window.
I presented my analysis so I won't repeat it.
I wonder how long it will take for the market to realize that the disaster advertised in every way was a lie. The market is often irrational.
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