DislikedWelcome Ian. Thankyou for those kind words.
I was watching the tv and Mrs V was already in the eur trade. I didn't see this until afterwards.
Its easy to say after the event but I have to think I'd be selling where you indicated for the exact same reasons you mention in your summary. In addition the daily has clearly been heading down, the 1hr had decent upper wicks and basically (same as Mrs V's eur trade) the prev positive close 1hr candle comprised 1 x 5 min candle that never followed through. So with no move up on news the 15 min neg close...Ignored
Oh Ian you might see the pause at the 6015 psych level, when it broke lower it became a classic 15/85 trade. Perhaps if in similar trade consider taking partial profits at the RN to see if it slips through to 85.
The opposite also holds true if moving up through 85 will often move through RN to hit 15 level.