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Strange Trading Journal

Quoting TuTang
{quote} Ill be ready. Id love it if i can short them... if theres a long, I wont mind but its not big move for long entry at these level.
When Sept 1 rolls around it will be nice.. if UJ ranges for 2 months then expect a really big move that lasts for 2-3 months or 1 big month.. There are so many options its akin to Sudoku puzzle lol

Did you get any SEK?
NOKSEK is cheap if you want to play a little
Quoting q_import
{quote} When Sept 1 rolls around it will be nice.. if UJ ranges for 2 months then expect a really big move that lasts for 2-3 months or 1 big month.. There are so many options its akin to Sudoku puzzle lol Did you get any SEK? NOKSEK is cheap if you want to play a little
I didnt have the Sek on list. Ill set them for next month. My broker only have USDSek and EURSEK with huge required margin so my position will be very limited with these pair...

I notice all pair keep bouncing off the bpr since last week .... amazing reaction
Quoting TuTang
{quote} I didnt have the Sek on list. Ill set them for next month. My broker only have USDSek and EURSEK with huge required margin so my position will be very limited with these pair... I notice all pair keep bouncing off the bpr since last week .... amazing reaction
What will blow your mind later is a form of sabermetrics that is applied to fx. Ratio of waves per move. Session open metrics that predict variances that seem random but are controlled. PreSession metric variances of how the markets react before a session begins.. The highs and low and more..
Quoting q_import
{quote} What will blow your mind later is a form of sabermetrics that is applied to fx. Ratio of waves per move. Session open metrics that predict variances that seem random but are controlled. PreSession metric variances of how the markets react before a session begins.. The highs and low and more..
XD Sabermetrics? How? Do u use a lot of statistic in fx?

On a side note, Usd seems starting to strengthen. Usdchf bullish consolidation... aj is moving as per your projection... ill add some short when it reach 76.4x. chf/Jpy back to top again. This chf ill play with a sell stop at 117.05 when it break up and roll back below this level
  • Post #25
  • Quote
  • Edited 6:21am Aug 25, 2020 6:06am | Edited 6:21am
Since last week i also notice a usd buying pattern that happen 1 2 hour pre us session. Very strong buying pressure. I think someone is starting to buy at these level.
  • Post #26
  • Quote
  • Edited 6:54am Aug 25, 2020 6:31am | Edited 6:54am
As it moves near the bpr I start using defensive statistics and the more it is away I use offensive statistics. The positions are being defended or offensive we will get a couple of bounces off the top for rises or a couple of bounces inside the channel. We dont know where it is going to go. UJ has some expirations coming due.. What are the odds of it hitting the mark? Are there certain patterns that form to show that it will be hit? When it does not get hit what plays out over the next 2 day 3 day.. How often does it happen and do other pair move a specific way after its not hit? They move UJ up what are the Effects on the other 13 pairs after move now they are not in competion with the other pairs..

If it not hit it is now a range of interest? How much money is needed to move the market in a direction to make it not reach 1.4bln??..
UJ 105 &105.25 in expiration

Akin to RAPSODO statistics..
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Quoting q_import
As it moves near the bpr I start using defensive statistics and the more it is away I use offensive statistics. The positions are being defended or offensive we will get a couple of bounces off the top for rises or a couple of bounces inside the channel. We dont know where it is going to go. UJ has some expirations coming due.. What are the odds of it hitting the mark? Are there certain patterns that form to show that it will be hit? When it does not get hit what plays out over the next 2 day 3 day.. How often does it happen and do other pair move...
How can u organise so much information in a Long time?

Btw AJ just hit Target. Thats impressive. Suddenly the Yen being dumped that disrupt current flow of other pairs. What is it that cause the yen to move today? I see no reasons or News?
Quoting TuTang
{quote} How can u organise so much information in a Long time? Btw AJ just hit Target. Thats impressive. Suddenly the Yen being dumped that disrupt current flow of other pairs. What is it that cause the yen to move today? I see no reasons or News?
Is it? Expirations are still in play for UJ @ 105 and 105.25 will they be hit... If not we have an area of interest and we now know whats going to happen over the next couple of days.. I am now selling UJ and AJ if it keep rising fine. I will be stopped out and tomorrow we know we are rising even more.. because we now have a channel and a couple of data point we also have a couple of short term cross trades that will be interesting..
Quoting q_import
{quote} Is it? Expirations are still in play for UJ @ 105 and 105.25 will they be hit... If not we have an area of interest and we now know whats going to happen over the next couple of days.. I am now selling UJ and AJ if it keep rising fine. I will be stopped out and tomorrow we know we are rising even more.. because we now have a channel and a couple of data point we also have a couple of short term cross trades that will be interesting..
U switched to selling now? Thats interesting. Im in AJ short. But the movement seems too strong imo. And Yes. If uj keep rising off it will be very interesting...
Quoting TuTang
{quote} U switched to selling now? Thats interesting. Im in AJ short. But the movement seems too strong imo. And Yes. If uj keep rising off it will be very interesting...
AUD is steady and JPY rising Unloading is going on.. So if expirations are not meet we have a pretty good idea after 10:00 whats going on..
Quoting q_import
{quote} AUD is steady and JPY rising Unloading is going on.. So if expirations are not meet we have a pretty good idea after 10:00 whats going on..
The crash... ok lets see. So xxusd about to crash very hard.....
J crosses up.. Full on
Quoting q_import
J crosses up.. Full on
Yen dump is on. Now uj broke bpr... im wondering if others after taking liquidity from the Yen is going to crash tomorrow
Quoting TuTang
{quote} Yen dump is on. Now uj broke bpr... im wondering if others after taking liquidity from the Yen is going to crash tomorrow
EU - I really need 1.1710 to go long till 1.2050+
Quoting TuTang
{quote} Yen dump is on. Now uj broke bpr... im wondering if others after taking liquidity from the Yen is going to crash tomorrow
happy pip day XD
Dumb me i thought others were gonna crash so i only got Cadjpy and gbpjpy...... 60 pips total. shouldve played all the crosses
Quoting TuTang
{quote} Yen dump is on. Now uj broke bpr... im wondering if others after taking liquidity from the Yen is going to crash tomorrow
I will start a metric I dont know how it will be weighted yet.. There might be more at play than I am able to see..
Quoting q_import
{quote} I will start a metric I dont know how it will be weighted yet.. There might be more at play than I am able to see..
Its hard though. It was a sudden move. Suddenly i found uj above bpr. It was obvious move but my mindset was on the short so difficult to change last minute.
Quoting TuTang
Dumb me i thought others were gonna crash so i only got Cadjpy and gbpjpy...... 60 pips total. shouldve played all the crosses
Its not like it was back then complete crashes will not happen but if they do its more of a black swan this is more of a general idea.. So playing them all is the best move I got 8 of the 13 spread lock me out of the other.. but it was still a good catch better than guessing... ZARJPY was nice..
Quoting BearingBull
{quote} EU - I really need 1.1710 to go long till 1.2050+
We have to follow where the market bring us. I think for EU if it breach 1.1785 it will crash until 1.155x because by then it wouldve break the up trend.... momentum will be very big.
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