High Risk/Low Reward Ratio Trading System

It had been a month of two, I'm trying to develop a system, when you can make $10 to $3,000 in 60 consecutive win trades.
This feels gambling on a casino than trading on Forex, forex are more flexible in term of the amount of lot you entered and adjusting the TP/SL will increase the win rate as well.

Probably people will come condemn that 10:1 risk reward wouldn't work, try 1:3 risk reward instead and your account will burn before you make your first profit.

10:1 risk reward holds a 90.91%, break even chance, more like 1:1 has a 50%, like a coin flip.
Taking the advantage of 90.91%, I want something like this

Win Streak - $10
1 - $11.00
2 - $12.10
3 - $13.31
4 - $14.64
5 - $16.11
6 - $17.72
7 - $19.49
8 - $21.44
9 - $23.58
10 - $25.94
11 - $28.53
12 - $31.38
13 - $34.52
14 - $37.97
15 - $41.77
16 - $45.95
17 - $50.54
18 - $55.60
19 - $61.16
20 - $67.27
21 - $74.00
22 - $81.40
23 - $89.54
24 - $98.50
25 - $108.35
26 - $119.18
27 - $131.10
28 - $144.21
29 - $158.63
30 - $174.49
31 - $191.94
32 - $211.14
33 - $232.25
34 - $255.48
35 - $281.02
36 - $309.13
37 - $340.04
38 - $374.04
39 - $411.45
40 - $452.59
41 - $497.85
42 - $547.64
43 - $602.40
44 - $662.64
45 - $728.90
46 - $801.80
47 - $881.97
48 - $970.17
49 - $1,067.19
50 - $1,173.91
51 - $1,291.30
52 - $1,420.43
53 - $1,562.47
54 - $1,718.72
55 - $1,890.59
56 - $2,079.65
57 - $2,287.62
58 - $2,516.38
59 - $2,768.01
60 - $3,044.82


It might be difficult, but after doing some research with a random EA on MT4, bigger numbers of risk reward ratio do increase the percentage slight.
Say 10(TP)/100(SL) will be 89%, and 20(TP)/200(SL) will be 90.x% based on strategy tester, why 89% not 90.91%? The 3 pip spread is the edge.

Meanwhile, different currency pairs offer different interest, some asking for interest as well, so I will be trading with either pairs with low interest, or pairs paying you interest.

Appreciate any opinion. Get Forex Bonus Here

I will start with $10, and update signal based on MACD, Parabolic SAR, Line Break.
Let's try out, after all $10 worth only 4 star buck coffee ha.

12/4/18:
EUR/USD
Entry Point: 1.1869
TP: 1.1920
SL: 1.1815

NZD/USD
EP: 0.6860
TP: 0.6874
SL: 0.6759

Research about championship trading contests and you can find your answer; you can learn about how they aproach it (other than all in in every trade, some concepts are still valid)

Nice try, what’s the update about these 2 trades?

Snowballing / pyramiding ?

Best regards

Some fun experiment or is this the tradig you think is profitable for you ?

Best regards

#1 Trade
EUR/USD Lost = -$10.00

#2 Trade
NZD/USD Won = $12.5

Re-enter AUD/USD
EP: 0.7601
TP: 0.7688
SL: 0.76538

Lost = -$12.5

For the AUD/USD I've enter was based on the signal from EA, 83% win rate on 50 TP, 100 SL.
It turn out to be a failure, I'm seeing historical data do not 100% reflects the trades place in the future.
I will need to re-calculate the win % again.

Probably the historical data frighten me there are 1:3 Risk Reward shows a win rate as low as 4%, that probability don't work for sure, and I'm focusing trades that give 95% win rate and above. Just want to experiment if my thinking is correct.

I'm comparing the data from 2016 and 2017 based on EUR/USD, the Risk Reward is still 10:1.
The data is to focus how many consecutive loses based according signal equals or over 95%, on that EA.

0 Lose = 1072
1 Lose = 138
2 Lose = 12
3 Lose = 0
4 Lose = 0

So, assume if 1072 is 100%,
1 Consecutive Lose will be 12.8%
2 Consecutive Lose will be 1.12%
3 Consecutive Lose will be 0%

Since this data is a comparison between 2016, it may or may not be accurate but giving a statistical amount of percentage what to focus on.
This wonders me, if I should make trade after 2 consecutive lose.

Let's get the stats for 90 ~ 100% win rate.
0 Lose = 5232
1 Lose = 1095
2 Lose = 94
3 Lose = 0
4 Lose = 0

Again,
5232 = 100%
1095 = 21%
94 = 1.71%

For 85% on wards
0 Lose = 9632
1 Lose = 2706
2 Lose = 320
3 Lose = 11

Then,
9632 = 100%
2706 = 28.1%
320 = 3.32%
11 = 0.01%

80% Onwards
0 Lose = 10916
1 Lose = 3681
2 Lose = 496
3 Lose = 24

Then,
10916 = 100%
3681 = 33.7%
496 = 4.5%
24 = 2.19%

It proves here, higher win rate has a lower consecutive loses.
It is impossible to get 100% win rate, I've tried enter a trade with 1 Lose : 92 Win, that's roughly 99% win rate, but you can't explain luck, I've lost the trade.

I will be updating when I collect more data.

Consecutive Lose Data 2002-2017
1 - 7592 --- 100%
2 - 1011 --- 13.32%
3 - 127 --- 1.67%
4 - 32 --- 0.42%
5 - 4 --- 0.05%
6 - 1 --- 0.01%

Consecutive Win Data 2002-2017
1 - 1128 --- 100.00%
2 - 1070 --- 94.86%
3 - 946 --- 83.87%
4 - 797 --- 70.66%
5 - 697 --- 61.79%
6 - 679 --- 60.20%
7 - 513 --- 45.48%
8 - 520 --- 46.10%
9 - 458 --- 40.60%
10 - 368 --- 32.62%
11 - 323 --- 28.63%
12 - 291 --- 25.80%
13 - 262 --- 23.23%
14 - 218 --- 19.33%
15 - 171 --- 15.16%
16 - 177 --- 15.69%
17 - 127 --- 11.26%
18 - 119 --- 10.55%
19 - 93 --- 8.24%
20 - 96 --- 8.51%
21 - 75 --- 6.65%
22 - 67 --- 5.94%
23 - 59 --- 5.23%
24 - 60 --- 5.32%
25 - 50 --- 4.43%
26 - 38 --- 3.37%
27 - 35 --- 3.10%
28 - 41 --- 3.63%
29 - 12 --- 1.06%
30+ - 312

The problem is that you still need a edge. Or a good withdrawing method.

You can with a 1:10 make money but its not the best way.

#3 Trade
EUR/USD
EP: 1.1756
TP: 1.1766
SL: 1.1656

Est Win % - 98%

Streak Win: 1
EUR/USD
EP: 1.17898
TP: 1.17998
SL: 1.16898

Est Win - 97%

Is this another trade position? Or did you change the TP and SL of your previous one?

Is a new trade position, I wanted to open trade explore, but FF support Oanda MT4 and not fxTrade.

Trade #3
Win Streak: 2

Trade #3 - WS - 2
EUR/USD
EP: 1.17949
TP: 1.18049
SL: 1.16947

Est Win - 96%

I'm hoping to enter minor lots size as the price draw below, the signal has been pretty accurate and didn't draw, but instantly bounce when I buy in.
https://i.snag.gy/9UIflb.jpg

Trade #3 - WS - 3
GBP/USD
EP: 1.3359
TP: 1.3370
SL: 1.3259

Est Win - 97%

Trade #4
EUR/USD Dec 11th 21:59 GMT
EP: 1.1786
TP: 1.1801
SL: 1.1690

Est Win - 96%

How do you justify the winning percentage?

Volatile currency don't show the obvious until it reverses.

Trade #3 TP with some miniature position as it draws, win streak 4, Risk A$13.22, Swap A$0.0689, Profit A$6.1964.

Trade #4
EUR/USD
Ranging -2 Pips

I sync Oanda FxTrade to Trade Explorer, but "
"Trade Explorer functionality
is limited because there are
no closed trades in this
brokerage account."

I will try XM.com later, it works with micro lots, but their swap is horribly high.
There I will only trade, NZD/USD, AUD/USD, Buy AUD/JPY, Buy USD/CHF, Sell EUR/USD, Buy USD/JPY.

Let's try if I can hit 20 consecutive before moving.