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  • Post #61
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  • Oct 28, 2019 5:02pm Oct 28, 2019 5:02pm
  •  puma
  • | Joined Mar 2009 | Status: Member | 76 Posts
Hallo Dave, I am following your thread and find it very interesting. I would like to learn more about your analysis, do you have time to explain a bit or do you have any thread to suggest or document where I can find something about it? If I google it I didn't find appropriate material.....
Many thanks, Puma
  • Post #62
  • Quote
  • Oct 29, 2019 6:35am Oct 29, 2019 6:35am
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 1,294 Posts
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
Some thoughts on GBPUSD
Direction bias: long term, down. However, this down trend has been in effect for many months and is due to reverse. Short term up with caution.
Control: MN1
Action: H4 and below.

With the recent extreme moves, some cycles are not clearly defined. With the D1 down swing due to end, the subsequent upswing must be monitored to see if it is a mere rally (option B), or if it develops into an extended continuation up (option A).
M5 appears to be starting up to work on cycling to take D1 up. Whether we see A or B develop on D1,...
Ignored
Did the above information help you to prepare your Monday trade plan to look for buying opportunities on timeframes below D1? Many pips were available for harvesting.

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The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language?
IMT Pips This Week: -728
  • Post #63
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  • Edited at 3:00am Nov 7, 2019 12:50am | Edited at 3:00am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
There you go again - it will work out in the end. Though for now it seems like up on H4 (wrong TF you will immediately say).
I've been there too because it does that a lot:
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  • Post #64
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  • Nov 8, 2019 6:01am Nov 8, 2019 6:01am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
Now - theoretically - this could really hurt if price keeps going...
Naw - it's all part of the plan. Figured it out. If you only knew... Drawdown like this really means nothing for those who can see the big picture...
Everybody was banking on down - so we get an upward spike. Shorts have to cover their losses etc.
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  • Post #65
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  • Nov 15, 2019 7:13am Nov 15, 2019 7:13am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
If only it were so clear.
My chart tells a totally different story.
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  • Post #66
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  • Nov 20, 2019 1:55am Nov 20, 2019 1:55am
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 1,294 Posts
GBPUSD

H2 has now crossed down, opening the gate to enable H4 to cross down.

If H4 crosses down today, look for smaller charts to rally for selling the down continuations. This down bias is trying to bring down D1.
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language?
IMT Pips This Week: -728
2
  • Post #67
  • Quote
  • Nov 22, 2019 6:46am Nov 22, 2019 6:46am
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 1,294 Posts
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
GBPUSD H2 has now crossed down, opening the gate to enable H4 to cross down. If H4 crosses down today, look for smaller charts to rally for selling the down continuations. This down bias is trying to bring down D1.
Ignored
The H32 has been on a rally this week. Lower time frames have made pullbacks and continuations up, but now are making down cycles to try to bring the H32 into its continuation down.
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language?
IMT Pips This Week: -728
1
  • Post #68
  • Quote
  • Nov 23, 2019 12:51pm Nov 23, 2019 12:51pm
  •  goodways100
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 544 Posts
Does gbpjpy follow suit. I think if this week on H4 gbpusd is down, so should gbpjpy having a high positive correlation. Regards
  • Post #69
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  • Nov 24, 2019 4:31am Nov 24, 2019 4:31am
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 1,294 Posts
Quoting goodways100
Disliked
Does gbpjpy follow suit. I think if this week on H4 gbpusd is down, so should gbpjpy having a high positive correlation. Regards
Ignored
Yes, GBPJPY and GBPUSD have very well correlated movement currently at these higher timeframes.
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language?
IMT Pips This Week: -728
1
  • Post #70
  • Quote
  • Edited at 4:35am Nov 25, 2019 4:20am | Edited at 4:35am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
{quote} The H32 has been on a rally this week. Lower time frames have made pullbacks and continuations up, but now are making down cycles to try to bring the H32 into its continuation down.
Ignored
To me it looks as if Momentum is rock bottom and price is much more likely to change into upward Momentum soon - at least for a while (at least on H16) ...
Nevertheless, H1 should be coming into a zone soon
MMO somewhat strange at the moment (news related)
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  • Post #71
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  • Nov 25, 2019 11:29am Nov 25, 2019 11:29am
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 1,294 Posts
Quoting josi
Disliked
{quote} To me it looks as if Momentum is rock bottom and price is much more likely to change into upward Momentum soon - at least for a while (at least on H16) ... Nevertheless, H1 should be coming into a zone soon MMO somewhat strange at the moment (news related) {image}
Ignored
Yes. Indicators show H16 confirmed down 22 November. Therefore, watch for lower charts to rally, then make down continuations. Because the H16 is a rather large time frame, rallies on time frames such as H2 and H4 can actually be rather large moves in price and buyable. This is seen today with the H1 cycling up, pushing up the H4 and H8.
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language?
IMT Pips This Week: -728
  • Post #72
  • Quote
  • Nov 29, 2019 2:39am Nov 29, 2019 2:39am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
still looks up to me - there is resistance, though
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  • Post #73
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  • Nov 29, 2019 11:52am Nov 29, 2019 11:52am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
And after that there is more resistance but still: up on all TFs
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  • Post #74
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  • Dec 5, 2019 2:42am Dec 5, 2019 2:42am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
how is that for internal cycling?
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  • Post #75
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  • Dec 6, 2019 1:58am Dec 6, 2019 1:58am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
see what I mean with leg1, leg2, leg3
almost perfect MMO - to me that means - leg2 is simply ditorted price action wise because it had to overcome strong re
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  • Post #76
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  • Dec 6, 2019 8:23am Dec 6, 2019 8:23am
  •  josi
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 222 Posts | Invisible
leg1
leg2
leg3?
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  • Post #77
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  • Dec 6, 2019 8:39am Dec 6, 2019 8:39am
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 1,294 Posts
Quoting josi
Disliked
leg1 leg2 leg3? {image}
Ignored
Yes, but you did not look at m30 as well (or maybe you don't know that you SHOULD be looking at m30) before deciding to sell.
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language?
IMT Pips This Week: -728
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