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EURUSD only

  • #21
  • Sep 16, 2017 3:59pm Sep 16, 2017 3:59pm
good rules, subscribed
Beware of Draghi
  • #22
  • Sep 16, 2017 7:24pm Sep 16, 2017 7:24pm
good rules, subscribed
GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #23
  • Sep 16, 2017 7:29pm Sep 16, 2017 7:29pm
mechanical trader
NB new buy
NS new sell
counter trend trader
hedging eur-usd as i have noticed that the broker is widening the spread in the weekend and on US market closure 4 times the real spread and this is forcing me to hedge all trades daily bcz of this ......
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GUYS BE AWARE FROM HUNTING YOUR STOP LOSSES BY YOUR BROKER & BY "GHOSTS"
  • #24
  • Sep 16, 2017 8:40pm Sep 16, 2017 8:40pm
Cool. ATA may you have long forum life to maintain this
  • #25
  • Sep 16, 2017 9:02pm Sep 16, 2017 9:02pm
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  • #26
  • Sep 17, 2017 3:45am Sep 17, 2017 3:45am
Good luck mate, subscribe
  • #27
  • Sep 17, 2017 4:38am Sep 17, 2017 4:38am
Quoting hilmy83
Cool. ATA may you have long forum life to maintain this
Thanks mate.. I just believe this forum will do its job in a best way thanks to all you.. and as long as I breathe I will keep it together..

Happy Sunday
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #28
  • Sep 17, 2017 6:55am Sep 17, 2017 6:55am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Thanks mate.. I just believe this forum will do its job in a best way thanks to all you.. and as long as I breathe I will keep it together.. Happy Sunday
Thanks sir for start this thread many days i am waiting your analysis .
  • #29
  • Sep 17, 2017 8:14am Sep 17, 2017 8:14am
EURUSD - Daily and Hourly Outlook for Monday

Okay, as I promised yesterday, here comes my latest analysis for EURUSD:

Starting with the Daily Chart:

  1. My complete focus is on the MACD Double Divergence (marked on daily chart with 2 green lines) that caused price to delve through the main supportive trendline (blue) which is a very important development to me, considering that no candle could close below it for weeks. Now it did!
  2. I believe that the bears could have pushed price already much lower but the Hidden MACD Divergence (marked with a purple line) acted as a tiny bump on the road which delayed the bearish rally and caused an attempt to retest the recent breakout level, which IMHO shouldn't go higher than 1.2015 to keep bearish power in play.
  3. In my thinking, a sell strategy inside a zone of 1.20 to 1.2020 with confirmation from hourly timeframe would be profitable based on daily chart.

Hourly Chart:

  1. Keeping the important aspects of the daily in the back of our heads, on hourly I am focused solely on where to risk a final buy (which, to me, is actually unnecessary but could be still profitable)
  2. The lowest risk to buy on hourly chart seems to be around 1.1880 area. I made a call for especially 1.1872 since that is the trigger price of the latest swing high that was also caused by the hourly MACD Divergence (purple line on hourly chart). If price drops for a retest towards that level, bears will be probably rejected inside London session on Monday.
  3. Since MACD is above 0 on hourly chart but signal line (thin blue on hourly) has crossed below main line (thick gray line on hourly) I assume that bears will start the show right after market opening.
  4. Since hourly chart is still inside the aftereffect of the Hidden MACD Divergence (marked with a green line on hourly chart) my thinking is that 1.1976 area will reject bulls on Monday for a while until 1.1880 area is properly tested.

In a nutshell: I prefer to keep an overall bearish bias (based on daily), but I am aware that bulls will try to get back above 1.2015. The best would be to just look for shorts around 1.2010 and carefully look for buys around 1.1880.

Stay Green

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #30
  • Sep 17, 2017 8:44am Sep 17, 2017 8:44am
Stay Green {image}[/quote]
Good to be getting your daily analysis again Mr. Ata, and also glad yr levels is about my levels +- = have a plan as per chart and will hopefully stay with the plan if hit SL then to bad. Problem is I just like to TP to fast. Still a lot to condition my mind like a ninja or some commando training. p/s hope to hear from you daily
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Self discipline It is a practice
  • #31
  • Sep 17, 2017 8:46am Sep 17, 2017 8:46am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
EURUSD - Daily and Hourly Outlook for Monday Okay, as I promised yesterday, here comes my latest analysis for EURUSD: Starting with the Daily Chart: My complete focus is on the MACD Double Divergence (marked on daily chart with 2 green lines) that caused price to delve through the main supportive trendline (blue) which is a very important development to me, considering that no candle could close below it for weeks. Now it did! I believe that the bears could have pushed price already much lower but the Hidden MACD Divergence (marked with a purple...
thank you for sharing
  • #32
  • Sep 17, 2017 9:52am Sep 17, 2017 9:52am
Quoting okshop
Good to be getting your daily analysis again Mr. Ata, and also glad yr levels is about my levels +- = have a plan as per chart and will hopefully stay with the plan if hit SL then to bad. Problem is I just like to TP to fast. Still a lot to condition my mind like a ninja or some commando training. p/s hope to hear from you daily
Nice chart and input buddy.. I see that your Sell A level is supporting my outlook.. and speaking from a Harmonic Patterns standpoint, I noticed a possible Cypher D leg forming at 1.2020 area if again, price doesn't exceed a fib 78.6% retracement.. these patterns might work or not but in our case it is just another positive signal for me that fits with my main analysis and strengthens the odds that we might be right this time. Good luck on Monday..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #33
  • Sep 17, 2017 6:59pm Sep 17, 2017 6:59pm
Subscribed! I appreciate your initiative in staring this thread, and inspiring us to focus on EU trading ideas.
  • #34
  • Sep 17, 2017 8:32pm Sep 17, 2017 8:32pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Nice chart and input buddy.. I see that your Sell A level is supporting my outlook.. and speaking from a Harmonic Patterns standpoint, I noticed a possible Cypher D leg forming at 1.2020 area if again, price doesn't exceed a fib 78.6% retracement.. these patterns might work or not but in our case it is just another positive signal for me that fits with my main analysis and strengthens the odds that we might be right this time. Good luck on Monday.. Stay Green
Looks like partial down closed on opening. No tradable set up for me at this point. Waiting for cleaning 1889. From there may be buy. But my overall view on E is down on Wednesday!
  • #35
  • Sep 18, 2017 1:24am Sep 18, 2017 1:24am
Good morning!
Until Wednesday: I expect a touch of 1.2000, so until then I am with the bulls. On 1.200x are my limit sells will be waiting for the price.
My only concern is that if the falling knife start before that, I will miss a good entry point and being stoped.
On Wednesday: Hopefully I will be sitting in shorts with an [email protected], expecting spikes, so no stop until the madness gone
I know Iam not so sophisticated with the idea, but I can't sell this today (feel it my guts also), they(MMs,RBs) need those 1.200x levels to fill their orders. My stops are below 1.9000 so if the falling knife start before Wednesday(or just a gift spike from Oanda), I will stopped and cryin' in the corner
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  • #36
  • Sep 18, 2017 1:28am Sep 18, 2017 1:28am
Quoting denisius
I am in Ata. Thanks . Long time no see brother. Take a look. Something i am working on. {image}
hi denisius... our system almost the same but i prefer to combine these 3 indi. in same window...
my macd 7.15.9
stoch 9.3.5
rsi 7
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Lets make some green pips
  • #37
  • Edited 3:26am Sep 18, 2017 2:55am | Edited 3:26am
Hello Traders!

First time posting an idea: EU Sell @1.192xx TP: 1.187xx SL: 1.19920
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  • #38
  • Sep 18, 2017 3:05am Sep 18, 2017 3:05am
Quoting denisius
{quote} Looks like partial down closed on opening. No tradable set up for me at this point. Waiting for cleaning 1889. From there may be buy. But my overall view on E is down on Wednesday!
Good point you mentioned cleaning of 1889.. I made a little update on my previous analysis regards to London opening.. On hourly time frame I now focus on 1.1883 (which is almost equal to the price you mentioned).. I noticed 2 major bullish trigger candles there and interpret their opening price as most crucial. But overall the picture is still the same and therefore no need to update strategies.

I also added the dashed blue line which is going to slow down bearish move during London session. My half cents..

Stay Green
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #39
  • Sep 18, 2017 3:10am Sep 18, 2017 3:10am
Quoting littlemole85
Good morning! Until Wednesday: I expect a touch of 1.2000, so until then I am with the bulls. On 1.200x are my limit sells will be waiting for the price. My only concern is that if the falling knife start before that, I will miss a good entry point and being stoped. On Wednesday: Hopefully I will be sitting in shorts with an [email protected], expecting spikes, so no stop until the madness gone I know Iam not so sophisticated with the idea, but I can't sell this today (feel it my guts also), they(MMs,RBs) need those 1.200x levels to fill their...
Nice input and thanks.. yes I agree with you there that it is not the proper time to sell, especially when bears have not the necessary steam. Therefore I was recommending to sell as near as it gets to 1.2015 area, or in other words don't sell while market price is below 1.20.. I also mentioned not to risk a buy while price is above 1.19.. Wednesday or not, I too believe that falling knife is waiting at the corner..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #40
  • Edited 3:31am Sep 18, 2017 3:18am | Edited 3:31am
Quoting 4rx
{quote} hi denisius... our system almost the same but i prefer to combine these 3 indi. in same window... my macd 7.15.9 stoch 9.3.5 rsi 7 {image}
Combining indis inside the same sub-window might cause "shifting" of lines depending on main window candle positioning and therefore it can cause misinterpretation of cross sections between different MA lines, because the cross sections will change during the main window flow, so I hope you are aware of that. Otherwise good luck with your approach..

Stay Green
Focus only on what truly matters!
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