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- Trainman replied Mar 27, 2020
(sound of crickets after that one) ... it was -- ahem -- kinda tasteless. Not the stool sample, the joke. For anyone that might want to respond to this by lofting further stool samples, I'll be hiding behind the Code of Conduct rule about no ...
- Trainman replied Mar 24, 2020
The FED has said it will buy an unlimited amount of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities. For anyone that knows how currency is created, this means flooding the country and the world with cash in unlimited amounts. Once the current ...
- Trainman replied Mar 18, 2020
The safest position to be in during an economic crisis is to be neither a borrower nor a lender. I find it ironic that at the first sign of crisis, the first and only thing that central banks do is encourage further debt. When the only tools in your ...
- Trainman replied Jan 27, 2020
Sweet. Do you happen to know which Asian countries that would include? I have seen a Canadian tax interpretation bulletin that says that gains on foreign exchange is taxed at half the normal rate. However, it's unclear to me if that rule applies to ...
- Trainman replied Aug 7, 2019
around 4 years
- Trainman replied Aug 6, 2019
Just following a bit of news... Nomura's propriety sentiment data shows a "deterioration in supply demand for equities and a sharp downward break in fundamentals" among big players in the market like hedge funds. The market plunge could arrive as ...
- Trainman replied Aug 2, 2019
I've traded with duka. They are tops for security of funds. Their primary client software is JForex. They sometimes grudgingly offer MT4, but I suspect they don't actually process those trades themselves, they just send that volume over to someone ...
- Trainman replied Aug 1, 2019
New tariffs on China announced today. Anyway, IDK if that July high will end up being a top, but we can't declare the up trend to be over yet. August is an unlikely month for big bear moves without some big geopolitical or economic event to drive ...
- Trainman replied Jul 28, 2019
Nice! Do you closely follow the Delta cycles? I did some research on them some time back but never traded using them. Isn't there a super LTD cycle, something like 19 years? I wonder what part of that cycle the stock market is currently in.
- Trainman replied Jul 27, 2019
Indeed, this is a great strategy if you can get the timing right. Especially deep OTM puts that are close to expiry. I did precisely this during the Dotcom boom -- my puts increased by more than 10x in less than a day. I shoulda taken the money. ...
- Trainman replied Jul 20, 2019
The ultimate impact that Libra is going to have upon the world will be orders of magnitude greater than bitcoin and the other crypto coins. Libra is a stablecoin, the plan is to back it with a basket of fiat currencies. With the clout that a large ...
- Trainman replied Jul 20, 2019
What sort of Plan B exit would you use for stock indices these days? SP500 futures have a daily limit AFAIK, but I don't know whether MT4 brokers offering US500 CFDs would enforce daily limits or not. If they do not, such CFDs might be subject to ...
- Trainman replied Jul 20, 2019
Yes, of course the shock that triggers panic selling will be something nobody expected or predicted. But as you have previously mentioned, there are "circuit breaker" rules in the stock exchanges to prevent a 1987-style all-out panic sell. And the ...
- Trainman replied Jul 16, 2019
To understand how and when stock prices are likely to drop, it is informative to consider how they got to current nosebleed heights. The biggest class of holders of stocks are institutions such as pension funds. These funds also have large holdings ...
- Trainman replied Jul 14, 2019
Agreed. A 1987-style crash isn't going to happen due to the various circuit-breaker rules that the exchanges have put in place. So don't be looking to make your fortune in a single day. But opportunities still abound. I used to trade commodity ...
- Trainman replied Jul 12, 2019
Can you offer a link to where you get your charts? Tx.
- Trainman replied Jul 12, 2019
The 3mo to 10y curve is already inverted.
- Trainman replied Jul 12, 2019
I'd like to invite discussion on ways us traders can profit when this event comes. Shorting the stock indices outright (many FX brokers offer CFDs for these) is an obvious one, though there are probably a number of better ways. Any ideas, guys? ...
- Trainman replied Jul 11, 2019
They can and do intervene, but their primary method is to lower interest rates, and they now have less room than usual to do that. Lowering interest rates serves to increase money in circulation by encouraging borrowing. But the US and the world are ...
- Trainman replied Apr 30, 2019
Arrrrr, who be the greatest pirate on the seven seas? Cap'n Jens Sparrow! image