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- Rundatbag replied May 17, 2024
On the fundamentals side: chinas slower retail sales coupled gdp contraction in Japan and a potential hard landing in US may support safe haven Dollar? Does anyone share the same sentiment about this
- Rundatbag replied May 15, 2024
i will. thank you
- Rundatbag replied May 15, 2024
Can someone explain to me why the markets reaction was delayed and inconsistent during and after cpi release?
- Rundatbag replied May 15, 2024
i don’t know who said this but closing with a loss is sometimes taking profit.
- Rundatbag replied May 15, 2024
This is interesting. All news articles kept saying this cpi will be explosive. Obviously markets priced all that data in. If this release doesn’t support euro significantly, i don’t see another reason to buy
- Rundatbag replied May 7, 2024
On fundamental side: can we attribute this strong downward movement to Kashkaris comment “most likely we stay put on rates for extended period of time” ?
- Rundatbag replied Apr 30, 2024
What is that support made out of mountain rocks? News couldn’t push it under 1.06900
- Rundatbag replied Apr 30, 2024
On fundamentals side: Eurozone gdp growth anemic. Even with a slighter better than forecast core cpi may send it down. Does it make sense to break the economy to get inflation down to exactly 2%
- Rundatbag replied Apr 29, 2024
I know you don’t like compliments, but your TA gives me a brighter understanding. I use it in supplement with my fundamental analysis. Thank ya
- Rundatbag replied Apr 29, 2024
Thank you for sharing this. Have you done the same with inflation, economic growth? I think looking at divergence in these areas gives a clearer picture of where fundamentals are headed
- Rundatbag replied Apr 25, 2024
The market is forecasting a hard decline in gdp and ultimately lower demand in the US Economy due to the previous manufacturing pmi contraction and services pmi slow down. That’s my take on this move.
- Rundatbag replied Apr 17, 2024
That’s interesting. I think the economy is already weak, any delay in accommodative monetary policy kills growth. The fx difference is an inevitable consequence. Let’s see what happens and how market reacts.
- Rundatbag replied Apr 17, 2024
you mean eurusd is going to drop or dxy?
- Rundatbag replied Apr 17, 2024
UK cpi that was just released came in a bit stronger than expected, add that to the oversold conditions on this pair. Market also may be looking ahead to next weeks data release.
- Rundatbag replied Apr 13, 2024
After this initial hesitancy by market to go past 153 due to intervention fears and subsequent appreciation of yen due to political instability in Middle East, i think yen will weaken significantly is a war breaks out or oil prices remain high. ...
- Rundatbag replied Apr 12, 2024
I think it’ll go further down as the middle east conflict stokes fear. USD bought as safe haven over the weekend
- Rundatbag replied Mar 28, 2024
On the fundamentals side, US q/q gdp coming in at forecast or better, coupled with PCE better than forecast reinforces the feds ‘better to wait’ stance. Euro struggling with consumer demand, stagnant growth and expected ecb cutting may weigh on it.
- Rundatbag replied Mar 21, 2024
i would say I’m reading too much it into but Ata himself mentioned switching to bullish yesterday. I don’t have any clue when it comes to technical analysis. As to both US and EU cutting rates, the euro faces more downward pressure: from rate cuts ...
- Rundatbag replied Mar 21, 2024
The market is so strange. Fundamentally the USD should appreciate because the euro will face rate cuts and pressure from economic stagnation while the US is in a better position. EuroUSD should’ve remained bearish yesterday but it went up just to go ...
- Rundatbag replied Feb 15, 2024
On the fundamentals side: Chinas slow combined with 2nd quarters of gdp decline in UK, growth stagnation in eurozone, gdp contraction in japan and the newly released m/m core retail sales decline in USA may bring about risk off mood and boost ...