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- SFundamental replied Sep 29, 2023
In trading should just monitoring the state of each economy- and where it sits in the current cycle, and then notice when it changes Only then should we be looking at the structure on a chart. Soley relying on a chart patterns - is what retail ...
- SFundamental replied Sep 27, 2023
Small effort to defend - but gold still drops.
- SFundamental replied Sep 6, 2023
So fundamentally - where are we at. This game is always about confluence of levels UK: Employment - getting worse Inflation -6.8- still too high Inflation seems sticky PMIs -getting really bad No geopolitical news 10 year spreads - bid on the ...
- SFundamental replied Aug 11, 2023
This is the problem with price based indicators. They lag. Bearing in mind the UK - had strong GDP figures today I would not be looking to short it. I would be looking to long it in on a pullback. If I was to short something - it would be from the ...
- SFundamental replied Jul 30, 2023
We have had a b shape on volume/market profile GU on Friday after a down move - and that usually is bullish. Unfortunately- banks are bearish - and just had a look at options pricing for Monday - pretty negative. Had a quick check their does not ...
- SFundamental replied Jul 24, 2023
Nice start....120 pips! UK PMIs - contracting speeding up EU PMI- shocking Lots of bits and bobs Aussie CPI FOMC ECB BOJ Fed: 25 hike well priced in. There are certain factors that are supportive of higher interest rates - oil being one- but that is ...
- SFundamental replied Jul 10, 2023
UPDATE: Cable off- nice divergent value - got some. But yields!!! Structurally - it looks as though it has further to go. Huge risk though of Cable getting above 1.30 Think that this is going to be due to US CPI data- ...
- SFundamental replied Jul 9, 2023
Looking at options pricing though on Friday - not that great Puts more expensive on the Pound 10 yr spreads turned south on Friday 50/50 on Gold-1950 will get defended though Also on the Friday close - price rallied- seems a bit bearish to me. ...
- SFundamental replied Jun 18, 2023
All eyes are going to on UK inflation data on Wednesday. Until then volatility I would expect would likely to be muted/perhaps some more long covering. Looking at SONIA - I can only see another 50 bp hike this year and the sovereign credit markets ...
- SFundamental replied May 29, 2023
Think the dollar is still over-valued. Yen finally gave way. Pound quite bullish against Aussie and the Euro.
- SFundamental replied May 29, 2023
Bounced off VWAP. Risk is pretty bad. Yen and CHF index elevated. If this breaks Cable should rally
- SFundamental replied May 29, 2023
Deal in place. Have a small long on Cable atm Lets see risk is not great atm - though. There is a double bottom at the low of the day If Cable does not come off it goes up.
- SFundamental replied May 24, 2023
update: 30 pips up atm - price currently 1.2400 (ish) Re-test into yesterdays VWAP Equities are starting to look cheap - but will have to see how things go with US cash open Poor PMIs, high UK inflation and FOMC minutes - will they ignore the UK ...
- SFundamental replied May 24, 2023
Possible pullback to 1.2400 possible. Yen is not going to move - this is all about the dollar and the FOMC. Took a small position - selling drying up And mm looking for shorts Lets see
- SFundamental replied May 24, 2023
Looking at value - things are really bad out there Could we get a pullback into NY open - maybe.
- SFundamental replied May 24, 2023
Current view of Cable
- SFundamental replied May 8, 2023
Out of equity longs - Smashed EURGBP longs
- SFundamental replied Oct 7, 2022
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