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Investors holding a tranche of top-rated debt backed by commercial real estate have suffered losses for the first time since the housing meltdown collapsed the economy 16 years ago. This alarming development signals a worsening multi-year downturn ...
Refinancing risk is growing for global debt purchasers as their debt capital market access becomes less reliable, and due to challenges in executing deleverage plans amid pressure on collection rates, Fitch Ratings says. Some stronger debt ...
Japan stands ready to take appropriate action in the market "any time" to counter excessive moves in the yen, its top currency diplomat Masato Kanda said on Friday, issuing a fresh warning on the chance of renewed exchange-rate intervention. Kanda ...
Strong economic growth and inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation goal is likely to put upward pressure on bond yields and downward pressure on the economy at a time when the rest of the financial market reflects a strong economy. ...
Euro futures print their steepest rally since May 15. Bob Iaccino has more.
A probable pickup in euro-zone inflation this month is unlikely to derail the juggernaut of an imminent interest-rate cut by the European Central Bank. Data next Friday will show consumer prices rose 2.5% from a year earlier, up from 2.4% in April, ...
Whenever I try to get a feel for the direction of natural gas prices, the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report is the first place I stop. This report provides an update on the levels of natural gas in storage ...
We can continue our pre-election journey through the UK economy as this morning we received the Retail Sales numbers. As we were getting used to better news the contrary nature of this series produced this. Retail sales volumes (quantity bought) ...
post: Japan Top Currency Diplomat Kanda: Told G7 That Speculative And Excessive FX Moves Were Undesirable, Need Monitoring - Must Respond Appropriately To Excessive, Disorderly Moves In FX post: Japan Top Currency Diplomat Kanda: Declines To Comment On Recent JPY Moves - Japan Is Ready To Take Appropriate Action If There Are Excessive Moves In FX Market
Investors who ran from Turkey in droves over the last several years may want to start heading back, the latest report from Citi on the country’s nascent signals. After more than half a decade of dramatically depreciating currency, burning through FX ...
Canadian consumer spending sharply rebounded last month, according to preliminary data, after weaker-than-expected retail sales in the first quarter. Receipts for retailers jumped 0.7% in April, the fastest pace since September, according to the ...
post: ECB'S NAGEL: THE ECB CAN PROBABLY CUT RATES IN JUNE. post: ECB'S NAGEL: AFTER JUNE, WE PROBABLY HAVE TO WAIT ON THE NEXT MOVE UNTIL SEPTEMBER. post: ECB'S NAGEL: THERE NO AUTOPILOT ON RATE CUTS. post: ECB'S NAGEL: THE WAGE UPTICK WASN'T A SURPRISE. post: ECB'S NAGEL: CORE AND HEADLINE INFLATION ARE BOTH DECELERATING.
The pace of Japanese inflation slowed in April to 2.2 percent as gas bills fell, government data showed Friday, with the figure remaining above the Bank of Japan’s two percent target. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding volatile fresh food ...
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment final for May is showing: • Consumer sentiment 69.1 vs 67.5 estimate and 67.4 preliminary. Last month 77.2. • Expectations 68.8 versus 66.5 preliminary. Last month 76.0 • Current conditions 69.5 versus ...
Thank you for the invitation to be here and speak to you today.1 I want to step away from shorter-term questions about the economic outlook and monetary policy to delve into a subject of longer-term significance—r*. While there are many concepts of r*, I interpret it to be the real policy interest rate that is neither stimulating nor restricting economic activity with inflation anchored at the central bank's inflation target. In the short term, policymakers must judge whether a given policy setting is restrictive or otherwise, and while this judgment is made with some idea of r*, a number of factors can influence the economy in the near term so that the current setting of policy usually differs from the value of r*. At the same time, policymakers continually update their view of the appropriate value of r*. Recently, for example, discussions have focused on whether or not r* has risen, which has important implications for the conduct of monetary policy. For the purposes of this discussion, I am going to be talking about the long-run, real value of r*, when inflation and employment have reached the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) goals. Because of that, an estimate of r* points toward where monetary policy is headed over the longer run. This is important for policymakers deciding the best way to get there and also for investors and other members of the public who make decisions in the near term based on their expectations of future economic conditions. Much has been written on this topic, and different methods have been developed to estimate r*. My goal today is not to debate which statistical estimate of r* is best but rather describe what I believe are the economic factors behind the secul post: <=USD>:*WALLER: ONLY TIME WILL TELL HOW IMPORTANT FISCAL WILL BE FOR R* *WALLER: FINANCING PRESSURES MAY PUSH R* HIGHER IN COMING YEARS *WALLER: HELPFUL TO LOOK AT REAL 10Y YIELD FOR MARKET VIEW ON R* *WALLER: FACTORS THAT LOWERED NEUTRAL RATE MAY REVERSE IN FUTURE
post: <EUR=>:*ECB'S MULLER: GDP REBOUND DOESN'T ENDANGER DOWN TREND IN PRICES *MULLER: IF INFLATION SLOWS MORE, ECB HAS SCOPE TO EASE FURTHER *ECB'S MULLER: WAGE JUMP DOESN’T DERAIL SLOWDOWN IN INFLATION *MULLER: ECB MUST STAY CAUTIOUS AS PRICES CAN SURPRISE TO UPSIDE
U.K. retail sales volumes dropped 2.3% in April as wet weather deterred shoppers, the Office for National Statistics said Friday. Economists polled by Reuters expected a smaller fall of 0.4%. “Sales volumes fell across most sectors, with clothing ...
US durable goods orders for April • Prior month +0.9% • Durable goods orders for April 0.7% versus -0.8% expected. Prior month 0.8% • Ex-transport +0.4% versus 0.1% expected. Last month 0.0%. • Ex-defense MoM was 0.0% vs 1.2% last month • Nondefense ...
Retail sales decreased 0.2% to $66.4 billion in March. Sales were down in seven of nine subsectors and were led by decreases at furniture, home furnishings, electronics and appliances retailers. Core retail sales—which exclude gasoline stations and ...
Canadian corporations reported an increase of $898 million (+0.6%) in net income before taxes (NIBT) in the first quarter of 2024, reaching $160.1 billion. This gain was driven by the financial sector (+4.9%) and was partially offset by the ...