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  • Boris Johnson on Track for Win, With Majority on Knife Edge, Odds Say

    From bnnbloomberg.ca

    If you listen to bookmakers, the central question in the U.K. general election is not whether Boris Johnson will win, but by how much. Johnson is the overwhelming favorite to remain as prime minister after the Dec. 12 poll, according to bookmaker Paddy Power. At 3/1 on to lead the next government, punters would need to bet three pounds ($3.84) to win one pound -- effectively meaning the betting firm gives Johnson a 75% chance to keep his job. While that looks like good news for Johnson, odds suggest he’s not guaranteed an overall majority in Parliament -- which he has repeatedly said he needs to end the impasse ... (full story)

He may get a nasty surprise, no other polls around the world have been accurate as of late, in fact they have been dead wrong, maybe because the MSM are a lying bunch of mongrels with no morals.
bookmakers are often right , but we ' ll see the actual results
With the UK populatiion as confused now as they have ever been the most likely outcome of this election is little to no change with no clear majority to any party. Then the question turns to what on earth happens next, this deadlock can not be allowed to carry on.
Quoting 05renegade
He may get a nasty surprise, no other polls around the world have been accurate as of late, in fact they have been dead wrong, maybe because the MSM are a lying bunch of mongrels with no morals.
well, the polls for yesterday's general election in Spain were almost exactly right. Not sure if that is good or bad. When polls are wrong (assuming there is no hidden agenda or corruption) it is generally in favour of less "socially acceptable" choices, eg: brexit, trump, far right parties, because people dont like to make public their support for this option
Difficult to say if support for BJ or Corbyn is less socially acceptable. I would say they are similarly embarassing for different reasons.
It takes time
Polls can be fixed depending on what questions are asked.
brexshit again?
Not every victory means winning.
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According to the latest poll conducted by ICM for Reuters, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative Party is now at 39%, 1 point higher than the previous poll, and the main opposition Labour Party is unchanged at 31%.

Further details of the poll showed that Liberal Democrats are unchanged at 15% and Brexit Party is down 1 point at 8%.(fxstreet)
BUT ONTHING-CONSERVATIVE-39%,(LABOUR-31%,LIBERAL-15%,BREXIT PARTY-8%)=54%.SO BORIS DOWN SIDE.
Finally, Brexit WITHOUT DEAL will occur on 31st of January 2020. Good job!
Boris needs more than just a win to get the Brexit job done.
What are his chances of a majority?
Come with me if you want to live....
Quoting galactico
{quote} well, the polls for yesterday's general election in Spain were almost exactly right. Not sure if that is good or bad. When polls are wrong (assuming there is no hidden agenda or corruption) it is generally in favour of less "socially acceptable" choices, eg: brexit, trump, far right parties, because people dont like to make public their support for this option Difficult to say if support for BJ or Corbyn is less socially acceptable. I would say they are similarly embarassing for different reasons.
I think you're right about the social acceptability in the past but on this occasion Corbyn is just far too left wing, militant, and anti-Semitic for most people, the SNP are shouty and highly annoying, and Jo Swinson is too vile and hypocritical to stomach. Quite frankly, you'd have to be mental to vote for anyone but Boris.
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Nov 11, 2019 5:23am
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 11  /  Views: 11,800