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  • The Australian dollar hasn't been this cheap since the GFC

    From businessinsider.com.au

    The Australian dollar hasn’t been this undervalued against the greenback since the depths of the global financial crisis, with fears over a potential escalation in the US-China trade conflict largely to blame. According to Joseph Capurso, Senior Currency Strategist at the Commonwealth Bank, the AUD/USD is now extremely cheap based on the bank’s fair value model. The model’s inputs include commodity prices priced in US dollars, the three-month interest rate spread between Australia and the US, and Australia’s current account deficit as a percent of Australian nominal GDP,” he says. “Using this equation, we ... (full story)

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  • Post #1
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  • Dec 7, 2018 12:43am Dec 7, 2018 12:43am
  •  LuKa12
  • | Joined Sep 2014 | Status: Member | 78 Comments
it was cheaper in October no need to go back to 08.
  • Post #2
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  • Dec 7, 2018 1:07am Dec 7, 2018 1:07am
  •  Blessed-man
  • | Joined Apr 2016 | Status: Member | 304 Comments | Online Now
After gaining 370 pips from Year low of 0.7023, gaining 1000 pips against Euro (from 1.6352 - 1.5350)

This analyst just woke up.

And it may test year low again if interest is raised by Fed with more to come with 2019
1
  • Post #3
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  • Dec 7, 2018 6:27am Dec 7, 2018 6:27am
  •  icog
  • | Joined Dec 2018 | Status: Member | 37 Comments
If it closes below 0.7185, it is going to test the year low. The iH&S targeting 0.75 did not make it so the old thesis -"if one pattern does not happen, then the opposite will happen" is now in charge. But first a pullback to 0.73 is possible.
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XX.179.251
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Dec 6, 2018 11:48pm
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 3  /  Views: 2,325
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