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  • Fed expected to keep rates unchanged, may signal year-end hike

    From reuters.com

    The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday amid tepid inflation and recent weak economic data, but could signal an increased likelihood of a hike by the end of the year. The U.S. central bank raised its benchmark overnight interest rate to a range of 0.25 percent to 0.50 percent in December, the first hike in nearly a decade, but has held rates steady this year. Economists polled by Reuters see a slim chance of a rate increase at the conclusion of the Fed's two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, with the majority expecting one at the meeting in December. "The last thing the Fed ... (full story)

translation: if no hike, usd goes up either way because of December expectation.
Invest in alarm clocks
Quoting Tony112
translation: if no hike, usd goes up either way because of December expectation.
That's what I expect. If no rate hike, then on conference Yellen will push it up on expectation. BOJ really unexpected. I already expect they won't cut, but didn't expect introducing QQE.
Quoting Tony112
translation: if no hike, usd goes up either way because of December expectation.
First half hour usd will go down cause rate unchanged then Yellen Speak and press conference with a very HAWKISH tone will make USD goes up .GOOD LUCK
Quoting Ghassforex
First half hour usd will go down cause rate unchanged then Yellen Speak and press conference with a very HAWKISH tone will make USD goes up .GOOD LUCK
Why must USD go down if no rate hike? 80% already expect it won't hike, so no hike will not move the market a lot but a rate hike will be beyond expectation.
This is how the mofos linger their decision.
Rate hike BS hope started since January, Fed feeding the market hope till now.
Whenever USD becoming weaker, some mofos coming to say SEE... THERE IS A RATE HIKE COMING SO KEEP BUYING USD. When market done buying or Rate decision coming nearer Fed uses their ass sucking media to minimize the risk of disappointment.
So old trick but people still loving to fall on their trick.
You cannot learn better without losing
Quoting ChinaTraderz
Why must USD go down if no rate hike? 80% already expect it won't hike, so no hike will not move the market a lot but a rate hike will be beyond expectation.
I agree, rate unchanged will not move market a lot around 100 pips not more but good to speculate it then HAWKISH speak will move market around 200/300 pips
Quoting forexings
This is how the mofos linger their decision.
Rate hike BS hope started since January, Fed feeding the market hope till now.
Whenever USD becoming weaker, some mofos coming to say SEE... THERE IS A RATE HIKE COMING SO KEEP BUYING USD. When market done buying or Rate decision coming nearer Fed uses their ass sucking media to minimize the risk of disappointment.
So old trick but people still loving to fall on their trick.
Probably some might see as a trick but to me, you must have economy backing for a rate hike. Previous couple meeting, I really don't see any hike opportunity and I am laughing as well when Yellen mentioning 4 hike this year. I believe they can't avoid this time.
I think a surprise hike is due
20 Pips a day keeps centerlink away
Quoting PaulDaemon
I think a surprise hike is due
Anything can happen and I still believe a surprise today to punish all those who expect they won't hike this month. Most currencies futures premium are 50% expensive between contract. For instance, Offshore Yuan are 350 pips higher than the usual at 200 pips. Gold selloff for the last 10 days are pretty good signs as well.
Quoting Ghassforex
First half hour usd will go down cause rate unchanged then Yellen Speak and press conference with a very HAWKISH tone will make USD goes up .GOOD LUCK
I fully agree.
Spikes, jumps and all manner of activities expected too.
GL
Beware of robber banks (RB), bad advisors.
Quoting PaulDaemon
I think a surprise hike is due
Surprise change in rate is very rare for U.S. It has only happened 4 times in last 16 years. Last surprise rate cut was 8 years ago.
Surprise Hike?.. not even close
What would you say if there really is a surprise on Yellen?
Would you say .... yes indeed should there should be an increase?
Everyone and his dog expects no hike and hawkish statement (for the last 2 years or so). So just about everything else would be a surprise.
I think the Fed should raise rates, but greater than 0.5%, and they must do so for a long time as the initial process to repair all the damage they caused to the US economy
Quoting althar
Everyone and his dog expects no hike and hawkish statement (for the last 2 years or so). So just about everything else would be a surprise.
To put it another way. There's one reason to hike (Fed's credibility) and there are zillion reasons not to, or even cut (starting with languishing US economy). So the only thing they can do until the elections is to keep rates steady (to keep their fairytale alive) and to talk about hiking in the future (to keep their credibility, well, not entirely dead).
Quoting ChinaTraderz
Probably some might see as a trick but to me, you must have economy backing for a rate hike. Previous couple meeting, I really don't see any hike opportunity and I am laughing as well when Yellen mentioning 4 hike this year. I believe they can't avoid this time.
Their shit game started since then. Last time speech in Jackson Hole was to keep the BS rate hike hope up to date. Fed just trying to avoid reaction of their action but this kind of fraudulent way is unacceptable.
They don't even keep their promise. and 4 rate hikes? Even a fool haven't dream on
You cannot learn better without losing
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.X.12.131
The Gold market appears to confirm this thinking at the current stage as we project that current fluctuations will operate to avoid breaching 1302$ (the estimated turning point down) and instead drive price higher on a trajectory that includes the 1400$ handle. But of course there can be no firm bets until the FOMC call. Nonetheless, astute traders have been long Gold since the start of the week and one remains confident that this early entry will pay off massively in pips won (with comparatively negligible risk if we turn down on the news given the long-term nature of this approach).

The Crow (-_-)
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XXX.113.181
25 bps rate hike maybe the fed make suprise in market in fomc meeting
Quoting Guest
25 bps rate hike maybe the fed make suprise in market in fomc meeting
50 bps
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XXX.81.44
Oh that's great if the fed rate hike 50 bps in fomc meeting september,the fed should make inflation stable and bring inflation under 2%,inflation start up n now inflation 2,3% it's high
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XXX.119.235
50 bps ?well if yellen i kiss her very much hahaha..25 bps it's enough to make suprise in fomc meeting september,she is likely hold interest rate she is cement
  •  Guest
  • | IP XXX.XX.66.16
Exactly 24 hours full of bearish signals for gold according to my approach but keeps going higher. Hike or no hike all these past levels are already sold and price has to make a fresh low before making a fresh high on Daily's range.
I am ready to buy usd/jpy and other usd majors 3 min before news and hope for a good profit!
  • New Comment
  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XX.14.89
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Sep 21, 2016 3:20am
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 24  /  Views: 6,642