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  • Deutsche Bank: Here's why the US dollar will continue to rally

    From businessinsider.com

    The bull market in the US dollar – something that began in the June quarter of 2011 – is likely to last for an additional two years and see the currency gain by a further 10% in trade weighted terms. That’s the bullish forecast offered by Alan Ruskin and George Saravelos, macro strategists at Deutsche Bank, who suggest that bull market in the buck still has some way to run yet Here’s why they believe that the bull market in the US dollar is only two-thirds complete at present. Since the fall of Bretton Woods, big USD down cycles of 9 to 10 years have been followed by big USD upswings of 6 to 7 years. While ... (full story)

Well, as Deutsche Bank has ca. 25% market share on FX, I would surely do the opposite of what they are saying .....
EURUSD will go to parity 1.0000
All posts are my personal opinion
Hope to see 1.18 before parity
Quoting Conscript
Hope to see 1.18 before parity
Lol, maybe by 2020.
We are now at 1.086 almost half way between 1.00 and 1.18, so both targets are just as probable.Also it seems to have trouble getting past 1.04xx.It could make a lower low than March 2015... 1.04 but still I think it will go to 1.18 before going lower to maybe 0,8xxx eventually.
Quoting Conscript
We are now at 1.086 almost half way between 1.00 and 1.18, so both targets are just as probable.Also it seems to have trouble getting past 1.04xx.It could make a lower low than March 2015... 1.04 but still I think it will go to 1.18 before going lower to maybe 0,8xxx eventually.
That does not make either number probable. There are many other varibles, known and unknown that will cause price to move to one number with a higher probability. As it stands now based on monetary policy divergence parity is much more probable to hit first than 1.18
All posts are my personal opinion
GBPUSD is still going down, yet EURUSD is not - it's going up. EURGBP is clearly breaking north from a retest setup. [edit: I'm looking at the monthly]

The danger is clearly to the upside here on the Euro.
Boj is full of shit, they lie from time to time so fuck forexfactory and Kuroda and BOJ, 7 months ago when i have a beautifol account they commed with a opozite new, now breake monthly level and noone comme to say us why so f..k Boj and Kuroda and that garbage pound.
Quoting cristmaster
Boj is full of shit, they lie from time to time so fuck forexfactory and Kuroda and BOJ, 7 months ago when i have a beautifol account they commed with a opozite new, now breake monthly level and noone comme to say us why so f..k Boj and Kuroda and that garbage pound.

Ssssshhhhhh...... be quiet. LOL
Quoting Rtm
That does not make either number probable. There are many other varibles, known and unknown that will cause price to move to one number with a higher probability. As it stands now based on monetary policy divergence parity is much more probable to hit first than 1.18
Your right about the probability but anyway the fed just hiked and EURUSD didn't move much, and in March Draghi started QE and EURUSD Went up from there... so maybe everything is again priced in and we will go to retest the highs
Quoting Conscript
Your right about the probability but anyway the fed just hiked and EURUSD didn't move much, and in March Draghi started QE and EURUSD Went up from there... so maybe everything is again priced in and we will go to retest the highs
We not just once and done, oh no, central bank is full of surprises, FED said they going to do at least 2 more hike next year. AND EUR probably opposite, didn't say specifically non descript like the fed but they not going anywhere. USD is an easy bet long.
All posts are my personal opinion
DEUTSCHE BANK: I know why you are wrong because you can't be right.
Found this on the history of Inflation.
Makes very interesting reading.
"As countries gradually removed gold and silver from their national monetary systems, and replaced them with paper, inflation resulted. The world will never go back to the Gold Standard. But it can return to a world in which most of the world’s currencies are linked to several central currencies, such as the Dollar, Euro and Yen, or possibly to a single Eurodollar currency. Whether these reserve currencies return to relative price stability, and can avoid the problems of the Twentieth century remains uncertain, but it is a goal to aim for."
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Ha! Are these the same clowns that called for gold to reach $2500?? Or was that Morgan Stanley?... Or Goldman Sachs... Or Citi?..............................
  •  Guest
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Has anyone found a way to actually make money on forex or are we just gutting each other on a pipe dream???
Quoting Guest
Ha! Are these the same clowns that called for gold to reach $2500?? Or was that Morgan Stanley?... Or Goldman Sachs... Or Citi?..............................
ALL OF THEM. ))
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Dec 21, 2015 12:49am
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 16  /  Views: 6,860