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  • Canadian Dollar Hits 11-yr Low vs. USD on Wholesales Trade Data Miss & Macro Factors

    From dailyfx.com

    The Canadian Dollar is definitively the weakest currency within the G10 as pressures mount on the Bank of Canada to potentially ease again. Oil is causing further pressure on the economy and another January rate hike may be in the cards should the price of Oil, which the Canadian economy relies heavily upon, fall below the 2008 intraday low of $32.40. That fear, along with the market’s favor of the US Dollar after Wednesday’s FOMC decision to raise rates and project four hikes in 2016 cased The Canadian dollar to fall to C$1.40 per US Dollar for the first time since 2004. Inflation in Canada has been rather ... (full story)

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  • Post #1
  • Quote
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:38pm Dec 18, 2015 8:38pm
  •  fiberman
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Swollen Member | 16 Comments
another case of - " the more things change, the more the stay the same"
  • Post #2
  • Quote
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:45pm Dec 18, 2015 8:45pm
  •  glenngie
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 1,283 Comments
it will just take either one bit of turmoil in the middle east or one hint a production reduction and bang ..off the 11 year lows
  • Post #3
  • Quote
  • Dec 18, 2015 8:52pm Dec 18, 2015 8:52pm
  •  fiberman
  • | Joined Apr 2012 | Status: Swollen Member | 16 Comments
yes, you are right. Hopefully that happens soon. The job prospects in Alberta are starting to suck, big time.
  • Post #4
  • Quote
  • Dec 19, 2015 10:39am Dec 19, 2015 10:39am
  •  Zer0sum
  • | Joined Oct 2015 | Status: Member | 156 Comments
Quoting glenngie
Disliked
it will just take either one bit of turmoil in the middle east or one hint a production reduction and bang ..off the 11 year lows
Ignored
The CAD (or AUD) sure look ugly on a chart, but most Canadians (or Australians) are barely aware of this since both economies are modern and diversified.

That is not the case with Russia. Putin's 15 year dream of rebuilding the Soviet Empire is dead with oil at $35. So Vlad must engineer a Black Swan like (a) sudden, hot conflict in the Mid-East or (b) a sudden default on Russian debt like 1998.
  • Post #5
  • Quote
  • Dec 19, 2015 12:58pm Dec 19, 2015 12:58pm
  •  pippiphooray
  • | Joined Jul 2008 | Status: Member | 324 Comments
Quoting Zer0sum
Disliked
The CAD (or AUD) sure look ugly on a chart, but most Canadians (or Australians) are barely aware of this since both economies are modern and diversified.

That is not the case with Russia. Putin's 15 year dream of rebuilding the Soviet Empire is dead with oil at $35. So Vlad must engineer a Black Swan like (a) sudden, hot conflict in the Mid-East or (b) a sudden default on Russian debt like 1998.
Ignored
Now this is a conspiracy theory worth it's weight! I like it!
  • Post #6
  • Quote
  • Dec 19, 2015 2:05pm Dec 19, 2015 2:05pm
  •  glenngie
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Member | 1,283 Comments
Quoting Zer0sum
Disliked
The CAD (or AUD) sure look ugly on a chart, but most Canadians (or Australians) are barely aware of this since both economies are modern and diversified.

That is not the case with Russia. Putin's 15 year dream of rebuilding the Soviet Empire is dead with oil at $35. So Vlad must engineer a Black Swan like (a) sudden, hot conflict in the Mid-East or (b) a sudden default on Russian debt like 1998.
Ignored
I agree....is OPEC under pressure by US and other not to decrease production to neg. affect Russia and Iran?
  • Post #7
  • Quote
  • Dec 19, 2015 3:24pm Dec 19, 2015 3:24pm
  •  bel3ouchi
  • Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 112 Comments
any chance for usdcad back to 1.37 next week . please tell me
  • Post #8
  • Quote
  • Dec 19, 2015 4:31pm Dec 19, 2015 4:31pm
  •  Rtm
  • Joined Jan 2011 | Status: dump and pump | 913 Comments
Canada is in a recession on the borderline of depression, the central bank of Canada are actually debating slashing rates to negative.
  • Post #9
  • Quote
  • Dec 20, 2015 8:50am Dec 20, 2015 8:50am
  •  Dr.Zain
  • Joined Sep 2008 | Status: Member | 1,471 Comments
Not due to Whole sale data, its all due to OIL Prices
  • Post #10
  • Quote
  • Dec 20, 2015 8:51am Dec 20, 2015 8:51am
  •  Dr.Zain
  • Joined Sep 2008 | Status: Member | 1,471 Comments
Quoting bel3ouchi
Disliked
any chance for usdcad back to 1.37 next week . please tell me
Ignored
Wait for 145 before reversal to 137 my dear!!
  •  Guest
  • | IP X.XXX.88.35
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Dec 18, 2015 8:30pm
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 10  /  Views: 4,074
  • Linked events:
    CAD CPI m/m
    CAD Core CPI m/m
    CAD Wholesale Sales m/m
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