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  • Here's what 22 top Wall Street forecasters are predicting for Friday's jobs report

    From businessinsider.com

    As we close in on Friday's US jobs report, Wall Street's top economists are weighing in with their expectations for payroll growth and the unemployment rate. The consensus expectation is for the economy to have added 182,000 jobs in October, bringing the unemployment rate down to 5.0% from 5.1% in September. In recent months, the US economy has been defined by two stories: 1) deterioration in industries exposed to slowing overseas economies and falling commodity prices, and 2) growth in industries exposed to the healthy US consumer. A proxy for this story has been the divergence in the ISM manufacturing and services ... (full story)

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  • Comment #1
  • Quote
  • Nov 5, 2015 3:17pm Nov 5, 2015 3:17pm
  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XXX.104.172
my forecast for non Farm Employment about 100k
 
 
  • Comment #2
  • Quote
  • Nov 5, 2015 3:37pm Nov 5, 2015 3:37pm
  •  str8bullish
  • | Joined Mar 2008 | Status: ~The consititution~ | 200 Comments
My forecast is 200k+ .... they ll raise rate in December and that's where the trouble will start for the economy....
 
 
  • Comment #3
  • Quote
  • Nov 5, 2015 8:14pm Nov 5, 2015 8:14pm
  •  ThunderHeart
  • | Membership Revoked | Joined Jun 2015 | 715 Comments
If the numbers today are any where south of last months, kiss a December rate hike goodbye. In the bigger picture of things, a weakened dollar is not a bad thing in the long term, as balance in the global economy especially in the Forex markets will trade on par. As speculators, it is always a good thing to be vigilant of any abrupt changes during this news release, to see how the market plays this out, and being on the sidelines is the safe bet imo. As other currencies are talking of a possible rate cut, any rate increase before 2016 will certainly be a game changer in the short term, but the projected .25 basis points in which the US will first try to get to, will not destabilize the global economy as most will be fearing, rather most markets will just adjust. That being said, my gut feeling on this is that, 2016 lift off seems to be a more prudent and safer bet, especially given BOE's, BOJ's, and ECB's, recent perspective on projected inflation growth.
 
 
  • Comment #4
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2015 1:59am Nov 6, 2015 1:59am
  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XX.158.13
my wish is for ambiguous, conflicting numbers that send the HFT algos on a path of chaos and destruction searching for stops, long red and green candles with a range of around -10% and +10% on the instruments that I trade, and then prices revert to were before NFP. this would provide the ideal opportunity to enter into a position at the price and direction that I have predetermined.

remember at last NFP, markets were wrong footed for about 30 minutes.
 
 
  • Comment #5
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2015 2:11am Nov 6, 2015 2:11am
  •  gc44
  • | Joined Apr 2015 | Status: Member | 517 Comments
Quoting Guest
Disliked
my wish is for ambiguous, conflicting numbers that send the HFT algos on a path of chaos and destruction searching for stops, long red and green candles with a range of around -10% and +10% on the instruments that I trade, and then prices revert to were before NFP. this would provide the ideal opportunity to enter into a position at the price and direction that I have predetermined.

remember at last NFP, markets were wrong footed for about 30 minutes.
Ignored
lol, not sure I share your anticipation. currencies only seem to be going one direction against the dollar. Happy Trading
 
 
  • Comment #6
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2015 2:13am Nov 6, 2015 2:13am
  •  Stockman
  • | Joined Oct 2014 | Status: Member | 116 Comments
They want dollar up, with a weak 180K forecast, gold will get destroyed with the slightest beat...any excuse to destroy gold and spike the USD

Even if the jobs number are 80K gain and 9% unemployment gold will spike the get pulveraized as usual, phuck gold I hate it because I'm a pathetic bag holder.
 
 
  • Comment #7
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2015 3:24am Nov 6, 2015 3:24am
  •  kiwis
  • | Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Observation mode... | 71 Comments
I cannot recall reading anything really positive about the US economy and all we see is how the Fed appears to be unable to raise interest rates; and of course how detrimental it will be to the US economy if it does.
Can someone explain then if it is to be such a cluster when interest rates rise; even if only a quarter point, then how come the Fed is actually considering it?
Or is there something else that I am not seeing and that there is going to be short and long term benefit to interest rate rise - or is it going to be short term pain for long term benefit; well for the US at least?
Thanks,
In the tempest of a fast moving market; not everyone is happy.
 
 
  • Comment #8
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2015 5:48am Nov 6, 2015 5:48am
  •  Ill-b-back
  • Joined May 2011 | Status: Get to the Chopper | 3897 Comments
OMG, 22 (23) forcasters???

There aren't that many numbers on a dart board

Close your eyes and throw......

I see $ strengthening over coming weeks.
There you go, just one prediction.

Surely less confusing.....
Come with me if you want to live....
 
 
  • Comment #9
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2015 6:22am Nov 6, 2015 6:22am
  •  momochi
  • | Joined Aug 2013 | Status: eating smarties | 78 Comments
no surprise they will revise last months numbers up
Do what's right for you
 
 
  • Comment #10
  • Quote
  • Nov 6, 2015 10:45am Nov 6, 2015 10:45am
  •  Ill-b-back
  • Joined May 2011 | Status: Get to the Chopper | 3897 Comments
The Trendline is gone

and so is the Pound...
Come with me if you want to live....
 
 
  • New Comment
  •  Guest
  • | IP XX.XXX.107.142
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  • Story Stats
  • Posted: Nov 5, 2015 2:49pm
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 10  /  Views: 4,522
  • Linked events:
    USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m
    USD Non-Farm Employment Change
    USD Unemployment Rate
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