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Fed Liftoff Has Futures and Economists at Odds for Next Week
Many economists are sticking to predictions the Federal Reserve will lift interest rates next week. Money-market derivative traders still need convincing. Thirty-eight of 78 economists surveyed by Bloomberg predict the central bank will increase its target when policy makers gather on Sept. 16-17, after holding it close to zero since 2008 to support the economy. Yet the probability of such a move as gauged by federal funds futures contracts, a bellwether for traders for decades, is 28 percent, signaling fewer people in that market are buying the argument that a tightening is just days away. “The reason for the low ... (full story)
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