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  • Krugman 'Really, Really' Worried Abenomics Might Fail

    From bloomberg.com

    Nobel laureate Paul Krugman said risks of failure are growing for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s "Abenomics" campaign to end Japan’s two-decade slump. “I’m still really, really worried,” Krugman said at a conference in Tokyo on Wednesday. A big problem remains building enough momentum in the economy to escape deflation, he said. Krugman said he is concerned that Abenomics is getting bogged down as the Bank of Japan fails to spur inflation to a 2 percent target, hampered by falling oil prices. The economy is struggling to rebound after a contraction last quarter, while the central bank’s main gauge of ... (full story)

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  • Comment #1
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  • Sep 10, 2015 12:02pm Sep 10, 2015 12:02pm
  •  Sossos
  • Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Member | 38 Comments
He's worried that it MIGHT fail. What does he call the last 30 years?
 
 
  • Comment #2
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  • Sep 10, 2015 12:45pm Sep 10, 2015 12:45pm
  •  Graviton
  • Joined Apr 2010 | Status: Member | 30 Comments
Ha ha, good point! It's a case of too little too late. The US Fed proved that massive QE intervention can quickly pull an economy out of recession. The problem has been that the BOJ's timid approach has not worked. The trick is to get the newly printed Yen working in the economy. Other than loading up the helicopters with Yen and sprinkling them across the countryside, it's something that even the Fed struggled with. Basically, they just decided to keep flooding the economy with newly printed greenbacks until some spilled over from the financial sectors into the working economy. Yes, the vast majority of the new money went into driving up the price of financial instruments, but some small part overflowed into the working economy, and that was enough to pull the U.S. out of deflation. So if they feel they need the equivalent of $83 billion injected into the working economy to halt deflation in it's tracks, they probably need to print $400 billion, assuming 80% would just flow into financials and only 20% would ever make it into the working economy. As always with the BOJ, too little too late. They could easily have fixed this 20 years ago if they just had the guts to take the plunge.
 
 
  • Comment #3
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  • Sep 10, 2015 2:36pm Sep 10, 2015 2:36pm
  •  Subdude
  • | Joined Aug 2007 | Status: If it walks like a duck... | 540 Comments
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The US Fed proved that massive QE intervention can quickly pull an economy out of recession.

Define "pull" please. Is it the same as artificially inflating and supporting the price of just about every asset class available, becoming an implicit and in many cases explicit underwriter of those assets, and mostly enriching those making massive speculative bets on those instruments with impunity, but without contributing anything tangible to the real economy, e.g. improving the country's crumbling infrastructure, education and health care (did I just describe Goldman here?) - or something else?
 
 
  • Comment #4
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  • Sep 10, 2015 2:44pm Sep 10, 2015 2:44pm
  •  frx_trader
  • | Joined Jun 2012 | Status: Analyst | 3129 Comments
Since talking about FED hikes rate is so boring.
 
 
  • Comment #5
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  • Sep 10, 2015 3:06pm Sep 10, 2015 3:06pm
  •  toptrader11
  • | Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Member | 537 Comments
SUddenly we have all this funny speakers make comment out of Japan. What they want attention now, since The market been just ignore them and pay attention to EUro, US, China lol.
 
 
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  • Posted: Sep 10, 2015 11:29am
  • Submitted by:
     Newsstand
    Category: Fundamental Analysis
    Comments: 5  /  Views: 1,714
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